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Title: Analysis of Artisanal and Small-Scale Gold Mining in Peru under Climate Impacts Using System Dynamics Modeling
In this paper, we propose a system dynamics (SD) model to examine the dynamics of an informal artisanal and small-scale gold mining (ASGM) supply chain that has interactions with the illegal gold supply chain in the Amazon rainforest region, Madre de Dios (MdD), Peru. In order to examine the system under climate impacts and validate the model, we run it under a flood scenario, which is one of the main climate impacts that causes disruption in mining activities. Our findings suggest that the dynamics of informal mines are highly affected by the illegal mercury supply, fuel supply, and availability of workers. In addition, the model under the flood scenario suggests that any external variable that could directly affect fuel and mercury supply would result in a disruption of informal and illegal gold production.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1935630
PAR ID:
10387745
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ;
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Sustainability
Volume:
14
Issue:
12
ISSN:
2071-1050
Page Range / eLocation ID:
7390
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
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