Spatial aggregation of deep convection and its possible role in larger-scale atmospheric behavior have received growing attention. Here we seek aggregation-correlated statistical properties of convective events in 5° × 5° boxes over the tropical Indian Ocean. Events are identified by box-averaged rainfall exceeding 5 mm day−1at the center of a 4-day time window, and aggregation is estimated by an index [simple convective aggregation index (SCAI)] based on contiguous cold cloud areas and their geometrical distances in infrared imagery. A physical framework using gross moist stability (GMS) helps to interpret relationships between aggregation, box-scale ascent profiles, moist static energy budgets, and time evolution both within composite events and on longer time scales. For a given precipitation rate, more-aggregated events (with fewer and larger cloud objects on average) exhibit a drier area mean, greater horizontal gradient of moisture, more bottom-heavy ascent profile, and a greater prevalence of low-altitude cloud tops, especially for lower rain rates. In the GMS budget, this bottom-heavy ascent implies net energy import into the atmospheric column during the 4-day event composite. Consistently, net energy variations filtered to reveal longer time scales do indeed exhibit more-aggregated rain events in their growth phase than in their flat and decaying phases. More-aggregated scenes also have more drying by analysis than less-aggregated scenes in MERRA-2’s assimilation budgets. This suggests that parameterized convection (lacking any organization effect) is raining out less water than nature’s real, aggregated convection in such scenes.
- NSF-PAR ID:
- 10397121
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
- Volume:
- 79
- Issue:
- 9
- ISSN:
- 0022-4928
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 2401 to 2417
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-21-0297.1
