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Abstract Moist static energy (MSE) budgets and gross moist stability (GMS) have been widely used as a diagnostic tool to study the evolution of moisture and convection at different time scales. However, use of GMS is limited at shorter time scales because many points in the tropics have close-to-zero large-scale vertical motion at a given time. This is particularly true in the case of convective life cycles, which have been shown to exist with noise-like ubiquity throughout the tropics at intraseasonal time scales. This study proposes a novel phase angle–based framework as a process-level diagnostic tool to study the MSE budgets during these cycles. Using the GMS phase plane, a phase angle parameter is defined, which converts the unbound GMS into a finite ranged variable. The study finds that the convective life cycles are closely linked to evolution of moisture and effectively behave as moisture recharge–discharge cycles. Convective cycles in different datasets are studied using TOGA COARE, a mix of different satellite products and ERA-Interim. Analysis of the MSE budget reveals that the cyclic behavior is a result of transitions between wet and dry equilibrium states and is similar across different regions. Further, vertical and horizontal advection of MSE are found to act as the primary drivers behind this variability. In contrast, nonlinearities in the radiative and surface flux feedbacks are found to resist the convective evolution. A linearized model consistent with moisture mode dynamics is able to replicate the recharge–discharge cycle variability in TOGA COARE data. Significance Statement In the tropics, variability of moisture and rainfall are closely linked to each other. Through this study we aim to better understand the evolution of moisture in observed daily time series data. We present a novel phase angle–based diagnostic tool to represent and study the energy budget of the system at this time resolution. Our results suggest that similar processes and mechanisms are relevant across different regions and at different scales in the tropics with moisture dynamics being important for these processes. Further, a key role is played by the energy transport associated with the large-scale circulation that drives moisture evolution in a cyclic pattern.
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Evidence of Aggregation Dependence of 5°-Scale Tropical Convective Evolution Using a Gross Moist Stability Framework
Abstract Spatial aggregation of deep convection and its possible role in larger-scale atmospheric behavior have received growing attention. Here we seek aggregation-correlated statistical properties of convective events in 5° × 5° boxes over the tropical Indian Ocean. Events are identified by box-averaged rainfall exceeding 5 mm day−1at the center of a 4-day time window, and aggregation is estimated by an index [simple convective aggregation index (SCAI)] based on contiguous cold cloud areas and their geometrical distances in infrared imagery. A physical framework using gross moist stability (GMS) helps to interpret relationships between aggregation, box-scale ascent profiles, moist static energy budgets, and time evolution both within composite events and on longer time scales. For a given precipitation rate, more-aggregated events (with fewer and larger cloud objects on average) exhibit a drier area mean, greater horizontal gradient of moisture, more bottom-heavy ascent profile, and a greater prevalence of low-altitude cloud tops, especially for lower rain rates. In the GMS budget, this bottom-heavy ascent implies net energy import into the atmospheric column during the 4-day event composite. Consistently, net energy variations filtered to reveal longer time scales do indeed exhibit more-aggregated rain events in their growth phase than in their flat and decaying phases. More-aggregated scenes also have more drying by analysis than less-aggregated scenes in MERRA-2’s assimilation budgets. This suggests that parameterized convection (lacking any organization effect) is raining out less water than nature’s real, aggregated convection in such scenes.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1917328
- PAR ID:
- 10367135
- Publisher / Repository:
- American Meteorological Society
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
- Volume:
- 79
- Issue:
- 5
- ISSN:
- 0022-4928
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- p. 1385-1404
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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