We investigate the determinants of radical (“creative”) innovations that break new ground in knowledge creation. We develop a model focusing on the choice between incremental and radical innovation and on how managers of different ages and human capital are sorted across firms. Firm- and patent-level evidence reveals that firms that are more “open to disruption” are significantly more likely to engage in radical innovation and hire younger managers and inventors with a comparative advantage in radical innovation. However, once the effect of the sorting is factored in, the (causal) impact of manager age on creative innovations, though positive, is small. (JEL D22, L26, M10, M14, O31, O34)
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Missing Novelty in Drug Development
Abstract We provide evidence that risk aversion leads pharmaceutical firms to underinvest in radical innovation. We introduce a new measure of drug novelty based on chemical similarity and show that firms face a risk-reward trade-off: novel drug candidates are less likely to obtain FDA approval but are based on more valuable patents. Consistent with a simple model of costly external finance, we show that a positive shock to firms’ net worth leads firms to develop more novel drugs. This suggests that even large firms may behave as though they are risk averse, reducing their willingness to investment in potentially valuable radical innovation.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1564368
- PAR ID:
- 10400565
- Editor(s):
- Koijen, Ralph
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- The Review of Financial Studies
- Volume:
- 35
- Issue:
- 2
- ISSN:
- 0893-9454
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 636 to 679
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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