Abstract The shear-wave velocity time averaged over the upper 30 m (VS30) is widely used as a proxy for site effects, forms the basis of seismic site class, and underpins site-amplification factors in empirical ground-motion models. Many earthquake simulations, therefore, require VS30. This presents a challenge at regional scale, given the infeasibility of subsurface testing over vast areas. Although various models for predicting VS30 have thus been proposed, the most popular U.S. national, or “background,” model is a regression equation based on just one variable. Given the growth of community data sets, satellite remote sensing, and algorithmic learning, more advanced and accurate solutions may be possible. Toward that end, we develop national VS30 models and maps using field data from over 7000 sites and machine learning (ML), wherein up to 17 geospatial parameters are used to predict subsurface conditions (i.e., VS30). Of the two models developed, that using geologic data performs marginally better, yet such data are not always available. Both models significantly outperform existing solutions in unbiased testing and are used to create new VS30 maps at ∼220 m resolution. These maps are updated in the vicinity of field measurements using regression kriging and cover the 50 U.S. states and Puerto Rico. Ultimately, and like any model, performance cannot be known where data is sparse. In this regard, alternative maps that use other models are proposed for steep slopes. More broadly, this study demonstrates the utility of ML for inferring below-ground conditions from geospatial data, a technique that could be applied to other data and objectives.
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Intersectional Impacts of the 2021 Mw 7.2 Nippes, Haiti, Earthquake from Geotechnical and Social Perspectives
The Mw 7.2 Nippes, Haiti, earthquake occurred on 14 August 2021 in Haiti’s southwest peninsula and in the midst of significant social, economic, and political crises. A hybrid reconnaissance mission (i.e., combined remote and field investigation) was coordinated to document damage to the built environment after the event. This article evaluates two ground‐motion records available in Haiti in the context of the geology of the region and known areas with significant damage, such as Les Cayes. We also present a new map of time‐averaged shear‐wave velocity values to 30 m depth (VS30 ) for Les Cayes and Port‐au‐Prince based on the geostatistical approach of kriging and accounting for region‐specific geology proxies and field measurements of VS30 . Case studies of ground failure observations, including landslides and liquefaction triggering, are described as well as the intersection of social and engineering observations. Maps depicting this important intersection are provided to facilitate the assessment of how natural hazards and social conflicts have influenced the vulnerability of Haiti’s population to earthquakes.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2145466
- NSF-PAR ID:
- 10441201
- Editor(s):
- Eric Calais; Silvia Chacón-Barrantes; Roby Douilly; O’Leary Gonzalez; Xyoli Pérez-Campos; Richard Robertson, Elizabeth Vanacore
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
- Volume:
- 113
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 0037-1106
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 73-98
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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On 14th August 2021, a magnitude 7.2 earthquake struck the Tiburon Peninsula in the Caribbean nation of Haiti, approximately 150 km west of the capital Port-au-Prince. Aftershocks up to moment magnitude 5.7 followed and over 1,000 landslides were triggered. These events led to over 2,000 fatalities, 15,000 injuries and more than 137,000 structural failures. The economic impact is of the order of US$1.6 billion. The on-going Covid pandemic and a complex political and security situation in Haiti meant that deploying earthquake engineers from the UK to assess structural damage and identify lessons for future building construction was impractical. Instead, the Earthquake Engineering Field Investigation Team (EEFIT) carried out a hybrid mission, modelled on the previous EEFIT Aegean Mission of 2020. The objectives were: to use open-source information, particularly remote sensing data such as InSAR and Optical/Multispectral imagery, to characterise the earthquake and associated hazards; to understand the observed strong ground motions and compare these to existing seismic codes; to undertake remote structural damage assessments, and to evaluate the applicability of the techniques used for future post-disaster assessments. Remote structural damage assessments were conducted in collaboration with the Structural Extreme Events Reconnaissance (StEER) team, who mobilised a group of local non-experts to rapidly record building damage. The EEFIT team undertook damage assessment for over 2,000 buildings comprising schools, hospitals, churches and housing to investigate the impact of the earthquake on building typologies in Haiti. This paper summarises the mission setup and findings, and discusses the benefits, and difficulties, encountered during this hybrid reconnaissance mission.
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Observations of strong ground motion during large earthquakes are generally made with strong-motion accelerometers. These observations have a critical role in early warning systems, seismic engineering, source physics studies, basin and site amplification, and macroseismic intensity estimation. In this manuscript, we present a new observation of strong ground motion made with very high rate (>= 5 Hz) Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) derived velocities. We demonstrate that velocity observations recorded on GNSS instruments are consistent with existing ground motion models and macroseismic intensity observations. We find that the ground motion predictions using existing NGA-West2 models match our observed peak ground velocities with a median log total residual of 0.03-0.33 and standard deviation of 0.72-0.79, and are statistically significant following normality testing. We finish by deriving a Ground Motion Model for peak ground velocity from GNSS and find a total residual standard deviation 0.58, which can be improved by ~2% when considering a simple correction for Vs30.
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Remote reconnaissance missions are promising solutions for the assessment of earthquake-induced structural damage and cascading geological hazards. Space-borne remote sensing can complement in-field missions when safety and accessibility concerns limit post-earthquake operations on the ground. However, the implementation of remote sensing techniques in post-disaster missions is limited by the lack of methods that combine different techniques and integrate them with field survey data. This paper presents a new approach for rapid post-earthquake building damage assessment and landslide mapping, based on Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data. The proposed texture-based building damage classification approach exploits very high resolution post-earthquake SAR data integrated with building survey data. For landslide mapping, a backscatter intensity-based landslide detection approach, which also includes the separation between landslides and flooded areas, is combined with optical-based manual inventories. The approach was implemented during the joint Structural Extreme Event Reconnaissance, GeoHazards International and Earthquake Engineering Field Investigation Team mission that followed the 2021 Haiti Earthquake and Tropical Cyclone Grace.more » « less
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Earthquakes pose a major threat to the people of Haiti, as tragically shown by the catastrophic 2010 Mw 7.0 earthquake and more recently by the 2021 Mw 7.2 earthquake. Both events occurred within the transpressional Enriquillo–Plantain Garden fault zone (EPGFZ), which runs through the southern peninsula of Haiti and is a major source of seismic hazard for the region. Satellite-based Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data are used to illuminate the ground deformation patterns associated with the 2021 event. The analysis of Sentinel-1 and Advanced Land Observation Satellite (ALOS)-2 InSAR data shows (1) the broad coseismic deformation field; (2) detailed secondary fault structures as far as 12 km from the main Enriquillo–Plantain Garden fault (EPGF), which are active during and after the earthquake; and (3) postseismic shallow slip, which migrates along an ∼40 km unruptured section of the EPGF for approximately two weeks following the earthquake. The involvement of secondary faults in this rupture requires adjustments to the representation of hazard that assumes a simple segmented strike-slip EPGF. This work presents the first successful use of phase gradient techniques to map postseismic deformation in a vegetated region, which opens the door to future studies of a larger number of events in a wider variety of climates.more » « less
- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1785/0120220118
