More Like this

1. Enhancing Soil and Water Assessment Tool Snow Prediction Reliability with Remote-Sensing-Based Snow Water Equivalent Reconstruction Product for Upland Watersheds in a Multi-Objective Calibration Process

   https://doi.org/10.3390/w12113190  

   Liu, Zhu ; Yin, Jina ; E. Dahlke, Helen ( November 2020 , Water)

   null (Ed.)

   Precipitation occurs in two basic forms defined as liquid state and solid state. Different from rain-fed watershed, modeling snow processes is of vital importance in snow-dominated watersheds. The seasonal snowpack is a natural water reservoir, which stores snow water in winter and releases it in spring and summer. The warmer climate in recent decades has led to earlier snowmelt, a decline in snowpack, and change in the seasonality of river flows. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) could be applied in the snow-influenced watershed because of its ability to simultaneously predict the streamflow generated from rainfall and from the melting of snow. The choice of parameters, reference data, and calibration strategy could significantly affect the SWAT model calibration outcome and further affect the prediction accuracy. In this study, SWAT models are implemented in four upland watersheds in the Tulare Lake Basin (TLB) located across the Southern Sierra Nevada Mountains. Three calibration scenarios considering different calibration parameters and reference datasets are applied to investigate the impact of the Parallel Energy Balance Model (ParBal) snow reconstruction data and snow parameters on the streamflow and snow water-equivalent (SWE) prediction accuracy. In addition, the watershed parameters and lapse rate parameters-led equifinality is also evaluated. The results indicate that calibration of the SWAT model with respect to both streamflow and SWE reference data could improve the model SWE prediction reliability in general. Comparatively, the streamflow predictions are not significantly affected by differently lumped calibration schemes. The default snow parameter values capture the extreme high flows better than the other two calibration scenarios, whereas there is no remarkable difference among the three calibration schemes for capturing the extreme low flows. The watershed and lapse rate parameters-induced equifinality affects the flow prediction more (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) varies between 0.2–0.3) than the SWE prediction (NSE varies less than 0.1). This study points out the remote-sensing-based SWE reconstruction product as a promising alternative choice for model calibration in ungauged snow-influenced watersheds. The streamflow-reconstructed SWE bi-objective calibrated model could improve the prediction reliability of surface water supply change for the downstream agricultural region under the changing climate. 

   more » « less
2. Sensitivity of Streamflow Metrics to Infiltration‐Based Stormwater Management Networks

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR026555  

   Avellaneda, P. M. ; Jefferson, A. J. ( June 2020 , Water Resources Research)

   As stormwater control measures (SCMs) capture surface runoff from impervious areas, a shift in the water balance and flow regime components may emerge in urban watersheds, but the amount of SCM treatment needed to detectably shift these components may vary. We used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrologic model to assess the sensitivity of 16 hydrologic metrics as an increasingly dense rain garden SCM network was applied across the West Creek watershed, near Cleveland, Ohio (USA). As the area treated by SCMs increased, annual baseflow increases matched decreases in surface runoff, while water yield and evapotranspiration changes remained small. The stream's peak response to rainfall decreased with SCM implementation across storm sizes, ranging from the threshold rainfall depth (4.8 mm) to values higher than the design storm of a single rain garden (19 mm). SCM networks draining >20% of directly connected impervious area (DCIA) significantly decreased the magnitude of discharges with a return period of less than 1 year, the percentage of time above mean flow, and flashiness. Recession slopes and annual 1‐ and 7‐day low flows exhibited a slight response that fell within uncertainty limits of the model. Water balance and rainfall response metrics exhibited the greatest sensitivity to different intensities of stormwater management, while infrequent high and low flows were resistant to detectable change even at high levels of SCM treatment when model uncertainty was included.

    

   more » « less
3. Accounting for Uncertainty in regional flow-ecology relationships

   Morgan, B. ; Lane, B. ( January 2022 , Journal of water resources planning and management)

   Flow–ecology relationships are critical for developing and adaptively managing environmental flows. However, uncertainty often arises from data limitations and an incomplete understanding of the spatial and temporal attributes inherent to each relationship. Accounting for sources of uncertainty is critical given the mounting interest in implementing environmental flows at large scales, often with limited information. We used the South Fork Eel River watershed in northern California as a case study to demonstrate how data gaps and uncertainty in flow–ecology relationships may be better quantified. A rigorous literature review revealed that few flow–ecology relationships related directly to the flow regime, and none spanned the full range of hydrologic or geomorphic variability exhibited across the watershed. Identified data gaps informed several sensitivity analyses within a Bayesian network model which showed that the modeled ecological outcome differed by as much as 50% depending on the type and magnitude of uncertainty. This study presents a general regional framework for quantifying spatial and temporal data gaps that can be applied to other watersheds and information types to improve representation of uncertainty in flow–ecology relationships and to inform environmental flow design. 

   more » « less
4. Fifty years of runoff response to conversion of old‐growth forest to planted forest in the H. J. Andrews Forest, Oregon, USA

   https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14168  

   Crampe, Emily A. ; Segura, Catalina ; Jones, Julia A. ( May 2021 , Hydrological Processes)

   Long‐term watershed experiments provide the opportunity to understand forest hydrology responses to past logging, road construction, forest regrowth, and their interactions with climate and geomorphic processes such as road‐related landslides. We examined a 50‐year record from paired‐watershed experiments in the H. J. Andrews Experimental Forest, Oregon, USA in which 125 to 450‐year‐old conifer forests were harvested in the 1960s and 1970s and converted to planted conifer forests. We evaluated how quickflow and delayed flow for 1222 events in treated and reference watersheds changed by season after clearcutting and road construction, including 50 years of growth of planted forest, major floods, and multi‐decade reductions in snowpack. Quickflow runoff early in the water year (fall) increased by up to +99% in the first decade, declining to below pre‐harvest levels (−1% to −15%) by the third to fifth decade after clearcutting. Fall delayed flow responded more dramatically than quickflow and fell below pre‐treatment levels in all watersheds by the fifth decade, consistent with increased transpiration in the planted forests. Quickflow increased less (+12% to 70%) during the winter and spring but remained higher than pre‐treatment levels throughout the fourth or fifth decade, potentially impacted by post‐harvest burning, roads, and landslides. Quickflow remained high throughout the 50‐year period of study, and much higher than delayed flow in the last two decades in a watershed in which road‐related changes in flow routing and debris flows after the flood of record increased network connectivity. A long‐term decline in regional snowpack was not clearly associated with responses of treated vs. reference watersheds. Hydrologic processes altered by harvest of old‐growth conifer forest more than 50 years ago (transpiration, interception, snowmelt, and flow routing) continued to modify streamflow, with no clear evidence of hydrologic recovery. These findings underscore the importance of continued long‐term watershed experiments.

    

   more » « less
5. Spatial Variation in Transit Time Distributions of Groundwater Discharge to a Stream Overlying the Northern High Plains Aquifer, Nebraska, USA

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2022WR034410  

   Humphrey, C. Eric ; Solomon, D. Kip ; Gilmore, Troy E. ; MacNamara, Markus R. ; Genereux, David P. ; Mittelstet, Aaron R. ; Zeyrek, Caner ; Zlotnik, Vitaly A. ; Jensen, Craig R. ( February 2024 , Water Resources Research)

   Groundwater transit time distributions (TTDs) describe the spectrum of flow‐weighted apparent ages of groundwater from aquifer recharge to discharge. Regional‐scale TTDs in stream baseflow are often estimated from numerical models with limited calibration from groundwater sampling and suggest much younger groundwater discharge than has been observed by discrete age‐dating techniques. We investigate both local and regional‐scale groundwater TTDs in the Upper Middle Loup watershed (5,440 km²) overlying the High Plains Aquifer in the Nebraska Sand Hills, USA. We determined flow‐weighted apparent ages of groundwater discharging through the streambed at 88 discrete points along a 99 km groundwater‐dominated stream segment using³H, noble gases,¹⁴C, and groundwater flux measurements at the point‐scale (<7.6 cm diameter). Points were organized in transects across the stream width (3–10 points per transect) and transects were clustered in five sampling areas (10–610 m in stream length) located at increasing distances along the stream. Groundwater apparent ages ranged from 0 to 8,200 years and the mean groundwater transit time along the 99 km stream is >3,000 years. TTDs from upstream sampling areas were best fit by distributions with a narrow range of apparent ages, but when older groundwater from downstream sampling areas is included, the regional TTD is scale dependent and the distribution is better described by a gamma model (α ≈ 0.4) which accommodates large fractions of millennial‐aged groundwater. Observations indicate: (a) TTDs can exhibit spatial variability within a watershed and (b) watersheds can discharge larger fractions of old groundwater (>1,000 years) than commonly assumed.

    

   more » « less