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1. Low‐Latitude Plasma Drifts From the Horizontal Neutral Wind Model and a Coupled Ionosphere‐Electric Field Model

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JA029056  

   Eccles, James Vincent; Valladares, Cesar Enrique (July 2021, Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics)

   Abstract Results from a dynamo electric field model are presented to examine the consistency of the widely used empirical models of low‐latitude plasma drifts and thermospheric neutral winds. The sector defined by the Jicamarca Radar measured plasma drifts is used due to the greater certainty of the empirical vertical plasma drifts. The plasma drifts produced by the Horizontal Wind Model (HWM) in a coupled ionosphere‐electric field model for geomagnetically quiet and moderate solar conditions are compared against empirical models of equatorial plasma drifts for the Peruvian sector. The HWM generates reasonable sunset prereversal enhancement of the vertical drift in all but May, June, July, and August when no prereversal enhancement exists in the empirical results. The daytime vertical drifts are deficient during all seasons. A solar diurnal and semi‐diurnal tidal forcing are required in the E region (100–150 km) to bring the HWM into better agreement as a dynamo driver for the daytime electric fields associated with the broad Solar Quiet current system. 

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2. Explaining Solar Flare‐Induced Ionospheric Ion Upflow at Millstone Hill (42.6°N)

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JA030185  

   Liu, Xuanqing; Liu, Jing; Wang, Wenbin; Zhang, Shun‐Rong; Zhang, Kedeng; Lei, Jiuhou; Liu, Libo; Chen, Xuetao; Li, Shuhan; Zhang, Qing‐He; et al (July 2022, Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics)

   Abstract Previous studies have shown that solar flares can significantly affect Earth's ionosphere and induce ion upflow with a magnitude of ∼110 m/s in the topside ionosphere (∼570 km) at Millstone Hill (42.61°N, 71.48°W). We use simulations from the Thermosphere‐Ionosphere‐Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIEGCM) and observations from Incoherent Scatter Radar (ISR) at Millstone Hill to reveal the mechanism of ionospheric ion upflow near the X9.3 flare peak (07:16 LT) on 6 September 2017. The ISR observed ionospheric upflow was captured by the TIEGCM in both magnitude and morphology. The term analysis of the F‐region ion continuity equation during the solar flare shows that the ambipolar diffusion enhancement is the main driver for the upflow in the topside ionosphere, while ion drifts caused by electric fields and neutral winds play a secondary role. Further decomposition of the ambipolar diffusive velocity illustrates that flare‐induced changes in the vertical plasma density gradient is responsible for ion upflow. The changes in the vertical plasma density gradient are mainly due to solar extreme ultraviolet (EUV, 15.5–79.8 nm) induced electron density and temperature enhancements at the F₂‐region ionosphere with a minor and indirectly contribution from X‐ray (0–15.5 nm) and ultraviolet (UV, 79.8–102.7 nm). 

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3. Predicting Equatorial Ionospheric Convective Instability Using Machine Learning

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003505  

   Garcia, D.; Rojas, E. L.; Hysell, D. L. (December 2023, Space Weather)

   Abstract The numerical forecast methods used to predict ionospheric convective plasma instabilities associated with Equatorial Spread‐F(ESF) have limited accuracy and are often computationally expensive. We test whether it is possible to bypass first‐principle numeric simulations and forecast irregularities using machine learning models. The data are obtained from the incoherent scatter radar at the Jicamarca Radio Observatory located in Lima, Peru. Our models map vertical plasma drifts, time, and solar activity to the occurrence and location of clusters of echoes telltale of ionospheric irregularities. Our results show that these models are capable of identifying the predictive power of the tested inputs, obtaining accuracies around 75%. 

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4. Doppler signature of a possible termination shock in an off-limb solar flare

   https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stae430  

   French, Ryan J.; Yu, Sijie; Chen, Bin; Shen, Chengcai; Matthews, Sarah A. (February 2024, Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society)

   ABSTRACT We report striking Doppler velocity gradients observed during the well-observed 2017 September 10 solar flare, and argue that they are consistent with the presence of an above-the-looptop termination shock beneath the flare current sheet. Observations from the Hinode Extreme-ultraviolet Imaging Spectrometer measure plasma sheet Doppler shifts up to 35 km s−1 during the late-phase of the event. By comparing these line-of-sight flows with plane-of-sky (POS) measurements, we calculate total velocity downflows of 200+ km s−1, orientated ≈6–10° out of the POS. The observed velocities drop rapidly at the base of the hot plasma sheet seen in extreme ultraviolet, consistent with simulated velocity profiles predicted by our 2.5D magnetohydrodynamics model that features a termination shock at the same location. Finally, the striking velocity deceleration aligns spatially with the suppression of Fe xxiv non-thermal velocities, and a 35–50 keV hard X-ray looptop source observed by the Reuven Ramaty High Energy Solar Spectroscopic Imager. Together, these observations are consistent with the presence of a possible termination shock within the X8.2-class solar flare. 

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5. An electrodynamics model for Data Interpretation and Numerical Analysis of ionospheric Missions and Observations (DINAMO)

   https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-021-00462-3  

   Shidler, Samuel A.; Rodrigues, Fabiano S. (December 2022, Progress in Earth and Planetary Science)

   Abstract We introduce a new numerical model developed to assist with Data Interpretation and Numerical Analysis of ionospheric Missions and Observations (DINAMO). DINAMO derives the ionospheric electrostatic potential at low- and mid-latitudes from a two-dimensional dynamo equation and user-specified inputs for the state of the ionosphere and thermosphere (I–T) system. The potential is used to specify the electric fields and associated F -region E × B plasma drifts. Most of the model was written in Python to facilitate the setup of numerical experiments and to engage students in numerical modeling applied to space sciences. Here, we illustrate applications and results of DINAMO in two different analyses. First, DINAMO is used to assess the ability of widely used I–T climatological models (IRI-2016, NRLMSISE-00, and HWM14), when used as drivers, to produce a realistic representation of the low-latitude electrodynamics. In order to evaluate the results, model E × B drifts are compared with observed climatology of the drifts derived from long-term observations made by the Jicamarca incoherent scatter radar. We found that the climatological I–T models are able to drive many of the features of the plasma drifts including the diurnal, seasonal, altitudinal and solar cycle variability. We also identified discrepancies between modeled and observed drifts under certain conditions. This is, in particular, the case of vertical equatorial plasma drifts during low solar flux conditions, which were attributed to a poor specification of the E -region neutral wind dynamo. DINAMO is then used to quantify the impact of meridional currents on the morphology of F -region zonal plasma drifts. Analytic representations of the equatorial drifts are commonly used to interpret observations. These representations, however, commonly ignore contributions from meridional currents. Using DINAMO we show that that these currents can modify zonal plasma drifts by up to ~ 16 m/s in the bottom-side post-sunset F -region, and up to ~ 10 m/s between 0700 and 1000 LT for altitudes above 500 km. Finally, DINAMO results show the relationship between the pre-reversal enhancement (PRE) of the vertical drifts and the vertical shear in the zonal plasma drifts with implications for equatorial spread F. 

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