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Abstract The rapid development of modeling techniques has brought many opportunities for data‐driven discovery and prediction. However, this also leads to the challenge of selecting the most appropriate model for any particular data task. Information criteria, such as the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC), have been developed as a general class of model selection methods with profound connections with foundational thoughts in statistics and information theory. Many perspectives and theoretical justifications have been developed to understand when and how to use information criteria, which often depend on particular data circumstances. This review article will revisit information criteria by summarizing their key concepts, evaluation metrics, fundamental properties, interconnections, recent advancements, and common misconceptions to enrich the understanding of model selection in general. This article is categorized under:Data: Types and Structure > Traditional Statistical DataStatistical Learning and Exploratory Methods of the Data Sciences > Modeling MethodsStatistical and Graphical Methods of Data Analysis > Information Theoretic MethodsStatistical Models > Model Selection
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Machine learning for hydrologic sciences: An introductory overview
Abstract The hydrologic community has experienced a surge in interest in machine learning in recent years. This interest is primarily driven by rapidly growing hydrologic data repositories, as well as success of machine learning in various academic and commercial applications, now possible due to increasing accessibility to enabling hardware and software. This overview is intended for readers new to the field of machine learning. It provides a non‐technical introduction, placed within a historical context, to commonly used machine learning algorithms and deep learning architectures. Applications in hydrologic sciences are summarized next, with a focus on recent studies. They include the detection of patterns and events such as land use change, approximation of hydrologic variables and processes such as rainfall‐runoff modeling, and mining relationships among variables for identifying controlling factors. The use of machine learning is also discussed in the context of integrated with process‐based modeling for parameterization, surrogate modeling, and bias correction. Finally, the article highlights challenges of extrapolating robustness, physical interpretability, and small sample size in hydrologic applications. This article is categorized under:Science of Water
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- Award ID(s):
- 1931297
- PAR ID:
- 10446851
- Publisher / Repository:
- Wiley Blackwell (John Wiley & Sons)
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- WIREs Water
- Volume:
- 8
- Issue:
- 5
- ISSN:
- 2049-1948
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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