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1. Decadal‐scale time series highlight the role of chronic disturbances in driving ecosystem collapse in the Anthropocene

   https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.4360  

   Edmunds, Peter J (June 2024, Ecology)

   Aronson, R (Ed.)

   Abstract Biome degradation characterizes the Anthropocene Epoch, and modern ecology is deeply involved with describing the changes underway. Most research has focused on the role of acute disturbances in causing conspicuous changes in ecosystem structure, which leads to an underappreciation of the chronic effects causing large changes through the cumulative effects of small perturbations over decades. Coral reefs epitomize this trend, because the changes in community structure are profound, yet the data to quantify these effects are usually insufficient to evaluate the relative roles of different disturbance types. Here, four decades of surveys from two coral reefs (9 and 14 m depth) off St. John, US Virgin Islands, are used to quantify the associations of acute and chronic events with the changes in benthic community structure. These reefs profoundly changed over 36 years, with coral death altering species assemblages to depress abundances of the ecologically important coralOrbicellaspp. and elevating the coverage of macroalgae and crustose coralline algae/turf/bare space (CTB). Linear mixed models revealed the prominent role of chronic variation in temperature in accounting for changes in coverage of corals, macroalgae, and CTB, with rising temperature associated with increases in coral cover on the deep reef, and declines on the shallow reef. Hurricanes were also associated with declines in coral cover on the shallow reef, and increases on the deep reef. Multivariate analyses revealed strong associations between community structure and temperature, but weaker associations with hurricanes, bleaching, and diseases. These results highlight the overwhelming importance of chronically increasing temperature in altering the benthic community structure of Caribbean reefs. 

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2. Sea urchin mass mortalities 40 y apart further threaten Caribbean coral reefs

   https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2218901120  

   Levitan, Don R.; Best, Rachael M.; Edmunds, Peter J. (March 2023, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences)

   Knowlton, N (Ed.)

   In 1983 to 1984, a mass mortality event caused a Caribbean-wide, >95% population reduction of the echinoid grazer, Diadema antillarum . This led to blooms of algae contributing to the devastation of scleractinian coral populations. Since then, D. antillarum exhibited only limited and patchy population recovery in shallow water, and in 2022 was struck by a second mass mortality reported over many reef localities in the Caribbean. Half-a-century time-series analyses of populations of this sea urchin from St. John, US Virgin Islands, reveal that the 2022 event has reduced population densities by 98.00% compared to 2021, and by 99.96% compared to 1983. In 2021, coral cover throughout the Caribbean was approaching the lowest values recorded in modern times. However, prior to 2022, locations with small aggregations of D. antillarum produced grazing halos in which weedy corals were able to successfully recruit and become the dominant coral taxa. The 2022 mortality has eliminated these algal-free halos on St. John and perhaps many other regions, thereby increasing the risk that these reefs will further transition into coral-free communities. 

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3. Decadal-scale variation in coral calcification on coral-depleted Caribbean reefs

   https://doi.org/10.3354/meps14345  

   Edmunds, PJ; Perry, CT (June 2023, Marine Ecology Progress Series)

   Over recent decades, many Caribbean reefs have transitioned to states where stony corals are no longer spatially dominant. The community dynamics culminating in this outcome are well known, but its functional implications remain incompletely understood. Here we used annual surveys from 1992 to 2019 to describe coral communities at 6 sites off St. John, US Virgin Islands, and explored how their ecological dynamics interact with their capacity to sustain estimated coral community calcification (G, kg CaCO 3 m -2 yr -1 ). These communities had low coral cover (≤4.4%), but they changed through small and incremental events that summed to a slight decline in coral cover and changes in species assemblages favoring biotic homogenization and weedy species. Estimated coral G remained low, between 0.3 and 1.3 kg CaCO 3 m -2 yr -1 (8.2-35.6 mmol CaCO 3 m -2 d -1 ), but it differed among sites and years. The dominant contributors to G were Siderastrea siderea (1 site), Porites astreoides (1 site), and Orbicella spp. (4 sites), but higher G only occurred where Orbicella spp. remained relatively common; G dramatically declined at 1 site when the abundance of this genus decreased. These results suggest that some coral-depleted reefs may maintain low G that could be sufficient to avoid transitions into net negative budget states, provided that biological and physical erosion and dissolution of CaCO 3 (not recorded here) are minimal. Further mortalities of the few coral species remaining on these reefs through disturbances like stony coral tissue loss disease would compromise this delicate production-erosion balance, and likely see transitions of such reefs into negative carbonate budget states. 

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4. Recruitment hotspots and bottlenecks mediate the distribution of corals on a Caribbean reef

   https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2021.0149  

   Edmunds, Peter J. (July 2021, Biology Letters)

   Recruitment hotspots are locations where organisms are added to populations at high rates. On tropical reefs where coral abundance has declined, recruitment hotspots are important because they have the potential to promote population recovery. Around St. John, US Virgin Islands, coral recruitment at five sites revealed a hotspot that has persistent for 14 years. Recruitment created a hotspot in density of juvenile corals that was 600 m southeast of the recruitment hotspot. Neither hotspot led to increased coral cover, thus revealing the stringency of the demographic bottleneck impeding progression of recruits to adult sizes and preventing population growth. Recruitment hotspots in low-density coral populations are valuable targets for conservation and sources of corals for restoration. 

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5. Widespread Deposition in a Coastal Bay Following Three Major 2017 Hurricanes (Irma, Jose, and Maria)

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-43062-4  

   Browning, Trevor N.; Sawyer, Derek E.; Brooks, Gregg R.; Larson, Rebekka A.; Ramos-Scharrón, Carlos E.; Canals-Silander, Miguel (May 2019, Scientific Reports)

   Abstract In 2017, three major hurricanes (Irma, Jose, and Maria) impacted the Northeastern Caribbean within a 2-week span. Hurricane waves can cause physical damage to coastal ecosystems, re-suspend and transport antecedent seafloor sediment, while the associated intense rainfall can yield large influxes of land-derived sediment to the coast (e.g. burial of ecosystems). To understand sedimentation provenance (terrestrial or marine) and changes induced by the hurricanes, we collected bathymetry surveys and sediment samples of Coral Bay, St. John, US Virgin Islands in August 2017, (pre-storms) and repeated it in November 2017 (post-storms). Comparison reveals morphologic seafloor changes and widespread aggradation with an average of ~25 cm of sediment deposited over a 1.28 km²benthic zone. Despite an annual amount of precipitation between surveys, sediment yield modeling suggests watersheds contributed <0.2% of the total depositional volume. Considering locally established accumulation rates, this multi-hurricane event equates to ~1–3 centuries of deposition. Critical benthic communities (corals, seagrasses) can be partially or fully buried by deposits of this thickness and previous studies demonstrate that prolonged burial of similar organisms often leads to mortality. This study illuminates how storm events can result in major sediment deposition, which can significantly impact seafloor morphology and composition and benthic ecosystems. 

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