skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


Title: Relative Roles of Preconditioning Moistening and Global Circumnavigating Mode on the MJO Convective Initiation During DYNAMO
Abstract The relative importance of preconditioning moistening and global circumnavigating mode in the convective initiation of the October 2011 Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) event observed during the Dynamics of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (DYNAMO) field campaign is investigated using a series of convection‐permitting regional model simulations. It is demonstrated that the MJO convective initiation is largely controlled by the global circumnavigating mode at the intraseasonal scales. Rapid moistening closely related to this eastward propagating mode a few days prior to the MJO active phase is crucial to the initiation of deep convection and enhanced rainfall. This moistening process nevertheless cannot be accurately described by the “discharge‐recharge” hypothesis, which speculates the importance a gradual moisture buildup over an approximately 2‐week period leading to the arrival of the active MJO phase.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1712290
PAR ID:
10457240
Author(s) / Creator(s):
 ;  
Publisher / Repository:
DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Geophysical Research Letters
Volume:
46
Issue:
2
ISSN:
0094-8276
Page Range / eLocation ID:
p. 1079-1087
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Abstract Previous studies demonstrate that the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) modulates tropical cyclone (TC) activity over various locations worldwide. Since TCs are associated with anomalous large‐scale circulations, they can influence the development of the MJO. However, the impact of TC on the MJO has not been thoroughly examined. This study investigates the influence of TC‐associated processes on the MJO development based on the analysis of a case observed during the Dynamics of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation field campaign. During the suppressed phase before the December 2011 MJO initiation, two TCs were active in the southern Tropical Indian Ocean (TIO). A dry air band within 10°S‐Eq is sustained by TC‐induced horizontal advection and descent, inhibiting large‐scale convection in the southern equatorial IO. Consequently, convection is triggered and develops only in the northern TIO around Eq‐10°N. The MJO initiates as convection develops south of the equator after the TCs dissipate. 
    more » « less
  2. Abstract Two analytical models with different starting points of convective parameterizations, the Fuchs and Raymond model on one hand and the Khairoutdinov and Emanuel model on the other, are used to develop “minimal difference” models for the MJO. The main physical mechanisms that drive the MJO in both models are wind-induced surface heat exchange (WISHE) and cloud–radiation interactions (CRI). The dispersion curves for the modeled eastward-propagating mode, the MJO mode, are presented for an idealized case with zero meridional wind and for the realistic cases with higher meridional numbers. In both cases, the two models produce eastward-propagating modes with the growth rate greatest at the largest wavelengths despite having different representations of cumulus convection. We show that the relative contributions of WISHE and CRI are sensitive to how the convection and entropy/moisture budgets are represented in models like these. Significance StatementThe Madden–Julian oscillation is the largest weather disturbance on our planet. It propagates eastward encompassing the whole tropical belt. It influences weather all around the globe by modulating hurricanes, atmospheric rivers, and other phenomena. Numerical models that forecast the Madden–Julian oscillation need improvement. Here we explore the physics behind the Madden–Julian oscillation using simple analytical models. Our models are based on the assumption that surface enthalpy fluxes and cloud–radiation interactions are responsible for the Madden–Julian oscillation but it should be borne in mind that other physical mechanisms have been proposed for the MJO. The impact of this research is to better understand the Madden–Julian oscillation mechanism. 
    more » « less
  3. Previous studies demonstrate that the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) modulates tropical cyclone (TC) activity over various locations worldwide. Since TCs are associated with anomalous large-scale circulations, they can influence the development of the MJO. However, the impact of TC on the MJO has not been thoroughly examined. This study investigates the influence of TC-associated processes on the MJO development based on the analysis of a case observed during the Dynamics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation field campaign. During the suppressed phase before the December 2011 MJO initiation, two TCs were active in the southern Tropical Indian Ocean (TIO). A dry air band within 10°S-Eq is sustained by TC-induced horizontal advection and descent, inhibiting large-scale convection in the southern equatorial IO. Consequently, convection is triggered and develops only in the northern TIO around Eq-10°N. The MJO initiates as convection develops south of the equator after the TCs dissipate. 
    more » « less
  4. Abstract Previous observational and modeling studies have suggested that moisture plays a dominant role in Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) evolution. Using a realistic MJO simulation by incorporating the role of mesoscale stratiform heating in the Zhang–McFarlane deep convection scheme in the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Atmosphere Model, version 5.3 (NCAR CAM5.3), this study investigates the factors responsible for the improved MJO simulation by examining moisture variations during different MJO phases. The results of column moist static energy (MSE) and moisture budgets show that during the suppressed phases of MJO, vertical advection acts to increase MSE anomalies for the development of deep convection while radiative heating and surface heat flux decrease MSE. The opposite holds true at the MJO mature phase. However, their roles largely cancel each other, leaving horizontal advection to play a major role in the low-level MSE increase during the suppressed phase of the MJO and MSE decrease after the MJO mature phase. A further analysis combining moisture and temperature budget equations is performed to demonstrate the effects of vertical advection and cloud processes within the column at each level. The vertical profiles of column-confined moisture tendency show that large-scale vertical advection induced by latent heat release and evaporation within shallow convective clouds is also important to the lower-tropospheric moistening during suppressed phases. This confirms the role of shallow convection in low-level moistening ahead of MJO deep convection. Radiative heating is vital across all MJO phases, and its warming effects keep the column humidity anomaly maintained in mature phases. None of these features are reproduced by the standard CAM5.3. 
    more » « less
  5. Abstract The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) propagates eastward as a disturbance of mostly zonal wind and precipitation along the equator. The initial diagnosis of the MJO spectral peak at 40–50-day periods suggests a reduction in amplitude associated with slower MJO events that occur at lower frequencies. If events on the low-frequency side of the spectral peak continued to grow in amplitude with reduced phase speed, the spectrum would just be red. Wavelet regression analysis of slow and fast eastward-propagating MJO signals during northern winter assesses how associated moisture and wind patterns could explain why slow MJO events achieve lower amplitude in tracers of moist convection. Results suggest that slow MJO events favor a ridge anomaly over Europe, which drives cool dry air equatorward over Africa and Arabia as the active convection develops over the Indian Ocean. We hypothesize that dry air tracing back to this source, together with a longer duration of the events, leads to associated convection diminishing along the equator and instead concentrating in the Rossby gyres off the equator. Significance StatementThe Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) dominates the subseasonal variability of the tropical atmosphere. This work suggests that it favors maximum convective activity in the 40–50-day period range because lower-frequency MJO signals tend to import more cool dry air from the extratropics and along the equator, thereby weakening the slower events. 
    more » « less