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Abstract Cloud seeding has been widely used for enhancing wintertime snowfall, particularly to augment water resources. This study examines microphysical responses to airborne glaciogenic seeding with silver iodide (AgI) during a specific case from the Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime Clouds: Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE) on 11 January 2017. Ground-based and airborne remote sensing and in situ measurements were employed to assess the impact of cloud seeding on cloud properties and precipitation formation. On 11th January, AgI propagated downwind along prevailing winds, and any potential ice and snow particles created from it were identified by ground-based radar as zigzag lines of enhanced reflectivity compared to background reflectivity. As the aircraft flew several times through these seeded clouds, microphysical properties within seeded clouds can be compared to those observed in unseeded clouds. The results indicate that seeded clouds exhibited significantly enhanced ice water content (IWC; reaching up to 0.20 g m−3) and precipitating-size (>400μm) ice particle concentrations (>7 L−1) relative to unseeded clouds. Additionally, seeded clouds exhibited a 30% decrease in the mean liquid water content (LWC) and cloud droplet concentrations, indicating efficient glaciation processes influenced by AgI. Precipitating snow development in seeded clouds occurred within 15–40 min following AgI release, marked by a transition from mixed-phase clouds with abundant supercooled liquid water (SLW) to ice clouds, with lidar-measured linear depolarization ratio (LDR) increasing to >0.3. These findings underscore the effectiveness of cloud seeding in enhancing snowfall by facilitating ice initiation and growth. Significance StatementThis study investigates the microphysical response of wintertime orographic clouds to airborne glaciogenic seeding, highlighting its role in enhancing precipitation. By introducing silver iodide (AgI) into clouds with supercooled liquid water, the seeding process facilitates ice particle formation, leading to increased snowfall. Through a detailed analysis of microphysical conditions using advanced in situ and remote sensing instruments, the study reveals enhanced ice water content and efficient conversion of liquid water to ice in seeded clouds. These findings provide critical insights into cloud-seeding efficacy, particularly in regions with abundant supercooled liquid water, offering a scientific foundation for enhancing snowpack in water-scarce mountainous areas.
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Drivers of Snowfall Accumulation in the Central Idaho Mountains Using Long-Term High-Resolution WRF Simulations
Abstract The western United States region, an economic and agricultural powerhouse, is highly dependent on winter snowpack from the mountain west. Coupled with increasing water and renewable electricity demands, the predictability and viability of snowpack resources in a changing climate are becoming increasingly important. In Idaho, specifically, up to 75% of the state’s electricity production comes from hydropower, which is dependent on the timing and volume of spring snowmelt. While we know that 1 April snowpack is declining from SNOTEL observations and is expected to continue to decline as indicated by GCM predictions, our ability to understand the variability of snowfall accumulation and distribution at the regional level is less robust. In this paper, we analyze snowfall events using 0.9-km-resolution WRF simulations to understand the variability of snowfall accumulation and distribution in the mountains of Idaho between 1 October 2016 and 31 April 2017. Various characteristics of snowfall events throughout the season are evaluated, including the spatial coverage, event durations, and snowfall rates, along with the relationship between cloud microphysical variables—particularly liquid and ice water content—on snowfall amounts. Our findings suggest that efficient snowfall conditions—for example, higher levels of elevated supercooled liquid water—can exist throughout the winter season but are more impactful when surface temperatures are near or below freezing. Inefficient snowfall events are common, exceeding 50% of the total snowfall events for the year, with some of those occurring in peak winter. For such events, glaciogenic cloud seeding could make a significant impact on snowpack development and viability in the region. Significance StatementThe purpose and significance of this study is to better understand the variability of snowfall event accumulation and distribution in the Payette Mountains region of Idaho as it relates to the local topography, the drivers of snowfall events, the cloud microphysical properties, and what constitutes an efficient or inefficient snowfall event (i.e., its ability to convert atmospheric liquid water into snowfall). As part of this process, we identify how many snowfall events in a season are inefficient to determine the number of snowfall events in a season that are candidates for enhancement by glaciogenic cloud seeding.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2015829
- PAR ID:
- 10459425
- Publisher / Repository:
- American Meteorological Society
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
- Volume:
- 62
- Issue:
- 9
- ISSN:
- 1558-8424
- Format(s):
- Medium: X Size: p. 1279-1295
- Size(s):
- p. 1279-1295
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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Abstract Cloud seeding of wintertime orographic clouds in the western United States has been attempted to enhance snow production and snowpack. Due to the scarcity of long-term, high-resolution cloud and precipitation observations over complex terrain, few studies have explored variations in orographic snowfall amounts by comparing environmental conditions and cloud characteristics with surface snowfall distribution and quantity. This study analyzes the environmental conditions and cloud characteristics in relation to surface snowfall patterns for the 24 snowfall events observed during the 2017 Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime Clouds: The Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE). The investigation aims to understand: 1) What is the influence, if any, of wind, turbulence, and updraft strength on snowfall amounts, rates, and distribution? 2) What is the relationship, if any, of cloud properties and precipitation-forming effectiveness? and 3) Can cloud seeding modify controlling cloud characteristics sufficiently to increase precipitation in otherwise inefficient orographic clouds? The analysis over a 7200-km2observational domain revealed that the accumulated liquid-equivalent snowfall was <0.9 × 107m3and snowfall rates were <0.45 mm h−1for about half of the events. Low snowfall events were characterized by cloud-top temperatures >−20°C, fewer larger droplets, higher liquid water content, and lower ice water content compared to the other events. Cases with minimal background natural snowfall also permitted radar observation of seeding lines. In these cases, cloud seeding was mainly responsible for snowfall. The amount of silver iodide (AgI) released during cloud seeding did not correlate well with snowfall amount and rate. Significance StatementThis study illustrates the complexities of estimating snowfall in wintertime orographic clouds, underscoring the frequent inefficiency of these clouds in generating snowfall—a pivotal concern for regions dependent on snowpack for water resources. By analyzing environmental and cloud characteristics against snowfall patterns during the Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime Clouds: The Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE), the research provides critical insights into the complexities of precipitation formation. The findings, particularly on the impact of cloud seeding in enhancing snowfall under specific conditions, contribute significantly to our understanding of weather modification techniques. This research not only is vital for advancing scientific knowledge in understanding wintertime mountain cloud systems but also holds profound implications for water resource management, agriculture, and disaster preparedness in snow-dependent regions.more » « less
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