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1. Beyond Deforestation: Carbon Emissions From Land Grabbing and Forest Degradation in the Brazilian Amazon

   https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2021.645282  

   Kruid, Sanne; Macedo, Marcia N.; Gorelik, Seth R.; Walker, Wayne; Moutinho, Paulo; Brando, Paulo M.; Castanho, Andrea; Alencar, Ane; Baccini, Alessandro; Coe, Michael T. (July 2021, Frontiers in Forests and Global Change)

   null (Ed.)

   Carbon losses from forest degradation and disturbances are significant and growing sources of emissions in the Brazilian Amazon. Between 2003 and 2019, degradation and disturbance accounted for 44% of forest carbon losses in the region, compared with 56% from deforestation (forest clearing). We found that land tenure played a decisive role in explaining these carbon losses, with Undesignated Public Forests and Other Lands (e.g., private properties) accounting for the majority (82%) of losses during the study period. Illegal deforestation and land grabbing in Undesignated Public Forests widespread and increasingly are important drivers of forest carbon emissions from the region. In contrast, indigenous Territories and Protected Natural Areas had the lowest emissions, demonstrating their effectiveness in preventing deforestation and maintaining carbon stocks. These trends underscore the urgent need to develop reliable systems for monitoring and reporting on carbon losses from forest degradation and disturbance. Together with improved governance, such actions will be crucial for Brazil to reduce pressure on standing forests; strengthen Indigenous land rights; and design effective climate mitigation strategies needed to achieve its national and international climate commitments. 

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2. Intensification of fire regimes and forest loss in the Território Indígena do Xingu

   https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5713  

   Silvério, Divino V; Oliveira, Robson Santana; Flores, Bernardo Monteiro; Brando, Paulo M; Almada, Hellen Kezia; Furtado, Marco Túlio; Moreira, Fabio Garcia; Heckenberger, Michael; Ono, Katia Yukari; Macedo, Marcia N (March 2022, Environmental Research Letters)

   Abstract The contemporary fire regime of southern Amazonian forests has been dominated by interactions between droughts and sources of fire ignition associated with deforestation and slash-and-burn agriculture. Until recently, wildfires have been concentrated mostly on private properties, with protected areas functioning as large-scale firebreaks along the Amazon’s agricultural frontier. However, as the climate changes, protected forests have become increasingly flammable. Here, we have quantified forest degradation in the Território Indígena do Xingu (TIX), an iconic area of 2.8 million hectares where over 6000 people from 16 different ethnic Indigenous groups live across 100 villages. Our main hypothesis was that forest degradation, defined here as areas with lower canopy cover, inside the TIX is increasing due to pervasive sources of fire ignition, more frequent extreme drought events, and changing slash-and-burn agricultural practices. Between 2001 and 2020, nearly 189 000 hectares (∼7%) of the TIX became degraded by recurrent drought and fire events that were the main factors driving forest degradation, particularly in seasonally flooded forests. After three fire events, the probability of forest loss was higher in seasonally flooded areas (63%) compared to upland areas (41%). Given the same fire frequency, areas that have not suffered with extreme droughts showed a 24% lower probability of forest loss compared to areas that experienced three drought events. Distance from villages and human density also had a marked effect on forest cover loss, which was generally higher in areas close to the largest villages. In one of the most culturally diverse Indigenous lands of the Amazon, in a landscape highly threatened by deforestation, our findings demonstrate that climate change may have already exceeded the conditions to which the system has adapted. 

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3. Climate change shrinks environmental suitability for a viviparous N eotropical skink

   https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.12895  

   Pio_Caetano_Machado, Laís; de_Oliveira_Caetano, Gabriel Henrique; Lacerda_Cavalcante, Vitor Hugo; B_Miles, Donald; Rinaldi_Colli, Guarino (April 2023, Conservation Science and Practice)

   Abstract Anthropogenic global warming and deforestation are significant drivers of the global biodiversity crisis. Ectothermic and viviparous animals are especially vulnerable since high environmental temperatures can impair embryonic development, but we lack knowledge about these effects upon Neotropical organisms. Here, we estimate how much of the current area with suitable habitats overlaps with protected areas and model the combined effects of climate change and deforestation on the geographic distribution of the viviparous Neotropical lizardNotomabuya frenata(Scincidae). This species ranges in Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, and Bolivia. We use environmental and physiological variables (locomotor performance and hours of activity) to predict suitable present and future areas, considering different scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions and deforestation. The most critical predictors of habitat suitability were isothermality (i.e., the ratio between mean diurnal temperature range and annual temperature range), precipitation during winter, and hours of activity under lower thermal extremes. Still, our models predict a contraction of suitable habitats in all future scenarios and the displacement of these areas towards eastern South America. In addition, protected areas are not enough to ensure suitable habitats for this species. Our findings highlight the vulnerability of tropical and viviparous ectotherms and suggest that even widely distributed species, such asN. frenata, may have their conservation compromised shortly due to the low representativeness of their suitable habitats in protected areas combined with the synergistic effects of climate change and deforestation. We stress the need for decision‐makers to consider the impact of range shifts in creating protected areas and managing endangered species. 

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4. Informational nudges in conservation auctions: A field experiment with U.S. farmers

   https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2023.102504  

   Wallander, Steven; Paul, Laura A; Ferraro, Paul J; Messer, Kent D; Iovanna, Richard (October 2023, Food Policy)

   In the U.S., the fifth largest ‘‘crop’’ is vegetation dedicated to environmental conservation. Over 22 million acres of perennial covers are planted on environmentally sensitive land enrolled in U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Conservation Reserve Program (CRP), one of the largest agricultural conservation programs in the world. About half of CRP lands are enrolled through a complex reverse auction called the General Signup. The communication of program options to participants could have an important behavioral impact. Psychologists have found that information presentation in complex decision environments can interact with the bounded rationality and cognitive biases of decision makers. We tested two changes in the status quo CRP decision environment using an incentivized, lab-in-the-field experiment with 701 prior General Signup participants. First, program participants typically make an active choice over which cover practice to plant and how much of a discount to offer, where the discount is a reduction in their annual program payment. Changing that default to an opt-out, high-scoring offer resulted in a 13 percentage point increase in selection of the best practice and a 48 percent increase in the average discount. In the actual CRP, that increase in discounting would reduce total program costs by about $30 million per signup. Second, shifting to real-time updating of offer scores modestly reduced the frequency with which participants revised their offers, suggesting a reduction in transaction costs. From a policy perspective, these results suggest that small changes in conservation auctions could both improve the quality of conservation practices and reduce program costs. 

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5. Forest policy and management approaches for carbon dioxide removal

   https://doi.org/10.1098/rsfs.2020.0001  

   vonHedemann, Nicolena; Wurtzebach, Zachary; Timberlake, Thomas J.; Sinkular, Emily; Schultz, Courtney A. (October 2020, Interface Focus)

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   Forests increasingly will be used for carbon dioxide removal (CDR) as a natural climate solution, and the implementation of forest-based CDR presents a complex public policy challenge. In this paper, our goal is to review a range of policy tools in place to support use of forests for CDR and demonstrate how concepts from the policy design literature can inform our understanding of this domain. We explore how the utilization of different policy tools shapes our ability to use forests to mitigate and adapt to climate change and consider the challenges of policy mixes and integration, taking a close look at three areas of international forest policy, including the Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism, Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD+) and voluntary carbon offset markets. As it is our expertise, we then examine in detail the case of the USA as a country that lacks aggressive implementation of national climate policies but has potential to increase CDR through reforestation and existing forest management on both public and private land. For forest-based CDR to succeed, a wide array of policy tools will have to be implemented in a variety of contexts with an eye towards overcoming the challenges of policy design with regard to uncertainty in policy outcomes, policy coherence around managing forests for carbon simultaneously with other goals and integration across governance contexts and levels. 

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