skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


Title: A simple but powerful simulated certainty equivalent approximation method for dynamic stochastic problems
We introduce a novel simulated certainty equivalent approximation (SCEQ) method for solving dynamic stochastic problems. Our examples show that SCEQ can quickly solve high-dimensional finite- or infinite-horizon, stationary or nonstationary dynamic stochastic problems with hundreds of state variables, a wide state space, and occasionally binding constraints. With the SCEQ method, a desktop computer will suffice for large problems, but it can also use parallel tools efficiently. The SCEQ method is simple, stable, and can utilize any solver, making it suitable for solving complex economic problems that cannot be solved by other algorithms.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1739909
PAR ID:
10464664
Author(s) / Creator(s):
;
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Quantitative economics
Volume:
14
ISSN:
1759-7323
Page Range / eLocation ID:
651-687
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. null (Ed.)
    Stochastic Programming (SP) is used in disaster management, supply chain design, and other complex problems. Many of the real-world problems that SP is applied to produce large-size models. It is important but challenging that they are optimized quickly and efficiently. Existing optimization algorithms are limited in capability of solving these larger problems. Sample Average Approximation (SAA) method is a common approach for solving large scale SP problems by using the Monte Carlo simulation. This paper focuses on applying clustering algorithms to the data before the random sample is selected for the SAA algorithm. Once clustered, a sample is randomly selected from each of the clusters instead of from the entire dataset. This project looks to analyze five clustering techniques compared to each other and compared to the original SAA algorithm in order to see if clustering improves both the speed and the optimal solution of the SAA method for solving stochastic optimization problems. 
    more » « less
  2. A stochastic algorithm is proposed, analyzed, and tested experimentally for solving continuous optimization problems with nonlinear equality constraints. It is assumed that constraint function and derivative values can be computed but that only stochastic approximations are available for the objective function and its derivatives. The algorithm is of the sequential quadratic optimization variety. Distinguishing features of the algorithm are that it only employs stochastic objective gradient estimates that satisfy a relatively weak set of assumptions (while using neither objective function values nor estimates of them) and that it allows inexact subproblem solutions to be employed, the latter of which is particularly useful in large-scale settings when the matrices defining the subproblems are too large to form and/or factorize. Conditions are imposed on the inexact subproblem solutions that account for the fact that only stochastic objective gradient estimates are employed. Convergence results are established for the method. Numerical experiments show that the proposed method vastly outperforms a stochastic subgradient method and can outperform an alternative sequential quadratic programming algorithm that employs highly accurate subproblem solutions in every iteration. Funding: This material is based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation [Awards CCF-1740796 and CCF-2139735] and the Office of Naval Research [Award N00014-21-1-2532]. 
    more » « less
  3. null (Ed.)
    Bayesian optimization is a sequential decision making framework for optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions. Computing a full lookahead policy amounts to solving a highly intractable stochastic dynamic program. Myopic approaches, such as expected improvement, are often adopted in practice, but they ignore the long-term impact of the immediate decision. Existing nonmyopic approaches are mostly heuristic and/or computationally expensive. In this paper, we provide the first efficient implementation of general multi-step lookahead Bayesian optimization, formulated as a sequence of nested optimization problems within a multi-step scenario tree. Instead of solving these problems in a nested way, we equivalently optimize all decision variables in the full tree jointly, in a "one-shot" fashion. Combining this with an efficient method for implementing multi-step Gaussian process "fantasization," we demonstrate that multi-step expected improvement is computationally tractable and exhibits performance superior to existing methods on a wide range of benchmarks. 
    more » « less
  4. Stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (SGHMC) is a variant of stochastic gradients with momentum where a controlled and properly scaled Gaussian noise is added to the stochastic gradients to steer the iterates toward a global minimum. Many works report its empirical success in practice for solving stochastic nonconvex optimization problems; in particular, it has been observed to outperform overdamped Langevin Monte Carlo–based methods, such as stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD), in many applications. Although the asymptotic global convergence properties of SGHMC are well known, its finite-time performance is not well understood. In this work, we study two variants of SGHMC based on two alternative discretizations of the underdamped Langevin diffusion. We provide finite-time performance bounds for the global convergence of both SGHMC variants for solving stochastic nonconvex optimization problems with explicit constants. Our results lead to nonasymptotic guarantees for both population and empirical risk minimization problems. For a fixed target accuracy level on a class of nonconvex problems, we obtain complexity bounds for SGHMC that can be tighter than those available for SGLD. 
    more » « less
  5. Oja’s rule [Oja, Journal of mathematical biology 1982] is a well-known biologically-plausible algorithm using a Hebbian-type synaptic update rule to solve streaming principal component analysis (PCA). Computational neuroscientists have known that this biological version of Oja’s rule converges to the top eigenvector of the covariance matrix of the input in the limit. However, prior to this work, it was open to prove any convergence rate guarantee. In this work, we give the first convergence rate analysis for the biological version of Oja’s rule in solving streaming PCA. Moreover, our convergence rate matches the information theoretical lower bound up to logarithmic factors and outperforms the state-of-the-art upper bound for streaming PCA. Furthermore, we develop a novel framework inspired by ordinary differential equations (ODE) to analyze general stochastic dynamics. The framework abandons the traditional \textit{step-by-step} analysis and instead analyzes a stochastic dynamic in \textit{one-shot} by giving a closed-form solution to the entire dynamic. The one-shot framework allows us to apply stopping time and martingale techniques to have a flexible and precise control on the dynamic. We believe that this general framework is powerful and should lead to effective yet simple analysis for a large class of problems with stochastic dynamics. 
    more » « less