An explanation for why some species, such as non-avian dinosaurs, became extinct, whereas others, including mammals, survived the Cretaceous/Paleogene (K/Pg) mass extinction, 66 million years ago (Ma) is still debated. What were the mechanisms behind community restructuring and the emergence of new ecological opportunities after the K/Pg event, selectively driving extinction and survivorship patterns? Using Markov networks, ecological niche partitioning and Earth System models, we reconstructed disruptions in continental food web dynamics, simulating long-term trajectories in ecospace occupancy through the latest Cretaceous (83.6–66.0 Ma) and early Paleogene (66.0–61.6 Ma). This method uses partial correlation networks to represent how different trophic groups interact in a food web and builds on empirical spatial co-variations to explore dependencies between trophic groups. Our analyses are based on a spatiotemporally and taxonomically standardized dataset, comprising more than 1,600 fossil occurrences representing more than 470 genera of fish, salamanders, frogs, albanerpetontids, lizards, snakes, champsosaurs, turtles, crocodylians, dinosaurs (including birds), and mammals across the best sampled region for this interval, the Western Interior of North America. We explicitly tested whether: 1) shifts in food web architecture underwent major restructuring before and after the K/Pg transition, including whether some trophic guilds were more prone to these shifts than others; and 2) any of these changes were associated with fluctuations in the realized niche space, helping to explain survivorship and extinction patterns at the boundary. We find a shift in latest Cretaceous dinosaur faunas, as medium-sized species counterbalanced a loss of large herbivores, but that dinosaur niches were otherwise resilient and static until the K/Pg boundary. Smaller terrestrial vertebrates, including mammals, followed a consistent trajectory of increasing trophic impact and relaxation of ecological niche limits that began in the Cretaceous and continued after the extinction. Patterns of mammalian ecological radiation and niche restructuring indicate that these taxa did not simply proliferate after the extinction; rather, their earlier ecological diversification might have helped them survive the K/Pg event, whereas the static niche of dinosaurs might have contributed to their demise. 
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                            Shifts in food webs and niche stability shaped survivorship and extinction at the end-Cretaceous
                        
                    
    
            It has long been debated why groups such as non-avian dinosaurs became extinct whereas mammals and other lineages survived the Cretaceous/Paleogene mass extinction 66 million years ago. We used Markov networks, ecological niche partitioning, and Earth System models to reconstruct North American food webs and simulate ecospace occupancy before and after the extinction event. We find a shift in latest Cretaceous dinosaur faunas, as medium-sized species counterbalanced a loss of megaherbivores, but dinosaur niches were otherwise stable and static, potentially contributing to their demise. Smaller vertebrates, including mammals, followed a consistent trajectory of increasing trophic impact and relaxation of niche limits beginning in the latest Cretaceous and continuing after the mass extinction. Mammals did not simply proliferate after the extinction event; rather, their earlier ecological diversification might have helped them survive. 
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                            - Award ID(s):
- 1654952
- PAR ID:
- 10482345
- Publisher / Repository:
- Science Advances
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Science Advances
- Volume:
- 8
- Issue:
- 49
- ISSN:
- 2375-2548
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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