Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) has been shown to provide a flexible framework for decision making under uncertainty and statistical estimation. For example, recent works in DRO have shown that popular statistical estimators can be interpreted as the solutions of suitable formulated data-driven DRO problems. In turn, this connection is used to optimally select tuning parameters in terms of a principled approach informed by robustness considerations. This paper contributes to this growing literature, connecting DRO and statistics, by showing how boosting algorithms can be studied via DRO. We propose a boosting type algorithm, named DRO-Boosting, as a procedure to solve our DRO formulation. Our DRO-Boosting algorithm recovers Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost) in particular, thus showing that AdaBoost is effectively solving a DRO problem. We apply our algorithm to a financial dataset on credit card default payment prediction. Our approach compares favorably to alternative boosting methods which are widely used in practice. 
                        more » 
                        « less   
                    
                            
                            Statistical Limit Theorems in Distributionally Robust Optimization
                        
                    
    
            The goal of this paper is to develop a methodology for the systematic analysis of asymptotic statistical properties of data-driven DRO formulations based on their corresponding non-DRO counterparts. We illustrate our approach in various settings, including both phidivergence and Wasserstein uncertainty sets. Different types of asymptotic behaviors are obtained depending on the rate at which the uncertainty radius decreases to zero as a function of the sample size and the geometry of the uncertainty sets. 
        more » 
        « less   
        
    
    
                            - PAR ID:
- 10483211
- Publisher / Repository:
- arxiv
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- arXivorg
- ISSN:
- 2331-8422
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
- 
            
- 
            Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a powerful framework for training robust models against data distribution shifts. This paper focuses on constrained DRO, which has an explicit characterization of the robustness level. Existing studies on constrained DRO mostly focus on convex loss function, and exclude the practical and challenging case with non-convex loss function, e.g., neural network. This paper develops a stochastic algorithm and its performance analysis for non-convex constrained DRO. The computational complexity of our stochastic algorithm at each iteration is independent of the overall dataset size, and thus is suitable for large-scale applications. We focus on the general Cressie-Read family divergence defined uncertainty set which includes chi^2-divergences as a special case. We prove that our algorithm finds an epsilon-stationary point with an improved computational complexity than existing methods. Our method also applies to the smoothed conditional value at risk (CVaR) DRO.more » « less
- 
            Abstract In this paper, we study distributionally risk-receptive and distributionally robust (or risk-averse) multistage stochastic mixed-integer programs (denoted by DRR- and DRO-MSIPs). We present cutting plane-based and reformulation-based approaches for solving DRR- and DRO-MSIPs without and with decision-dependent uncertainty to optimality. We show that these approaches are finitely convergent with probability one. Furthermore, we introduce generalizations of DRR- and DRO-MSIPs by presenting multistage stochastic disjunctive programs and algorithms for solving them. These frameworks are useful for optimization problems under uncertainty where the focus is on analyzing outcomes based on multiple decision-makers’ differing perspectives, such as interdiction problems that are attacker-defender games having non-cooperative players. To assess the performance of the algorithms for DRR- and DRO-MSIPs, we consider instances of distributionally ambiguous multistage maximum flow and facility location interdiction problems that are important in their own right. Based on our computational results, we observe that the cutting plane-based approaches are 2800% and 2410% (on average) faster than the reformulation-based approaches for the foregoing instances with distributional risk-aversion and risk-receptiveness, respectively. Additionally, we conducted out-of-sample tests to showcase the significance of the DRR framework in revealing network vulnerabilities and also in mitigating the impact of data corruption.more » « less
- 
            null (Ed.)Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has been introduced for solving stochastic programs in which the distribution of the random variables is unknown and must be estimated by samples from that distribution. A key element of DRO is the construction of the ambiguity set, which is a set of distributions that contains the true distribution with a high probability. Assuming that the true distribution has a probability density function, we propose a class of ambiguity sets based on confidence bands of the true density function. As examples, we consider the shape-restricted confidence bands and the confidence bands constructed with a kernel density estimation technique. The former allows us to incorporate the prior knowledge of the shape of the underlying density function (e.g., unimodality and monotonicity), and the latter enables us to handle multidimensional cases. Furthermore, we establish the convergence of the optimal value of DRO to that of the underlying stochastic program as the sample size increases. The DRO with our ambiguity set involves functional decision variables and infinitely many constraints. To address this challenge, we apply duality theory to reformulate the DRO to a finite-dimensional stochastic program, which is amenable to a stochastic subgradient scheme as a solution method.more » « less
- 
            https://youtu.be/79Py8KU4_k0 (Ed.)We consider statistical methods that invoke a min-max distributionally robust formulation to extract good out-of-sample performance in data-driven optimization and learning problems. Acknowledging the distributional uncertainty in learning from limited samples, the min-max formulations introduce an adversarial inner player to explore unseen covariate data. The resulting distributionally robust optimization (DRO) formulations, which include Wasserstein DRO formulations (our main focus), are specified using optimal transportation phenomena. Upon describing how these infinite-dimensional min-max problems can be approached via a finite-dimensional dual reformulation, this tutorial moves into its main component, namely, explaining a generic recipe for optimally selecting the size of the adversary’s budget. This is achieved by studying the limit behavior of an optimal transport projection formulation arising from an inquiry on the smallest confidence region that includes the unknown population risk minimizer. Incidentally, this systematic prescription coincides with those in specific examples in high-dimensional statistics and results in error bounds that are free from the curse of dimensions. Equipped with this prescription, we present a central limit theorem for the DRO estimator and provide a recipe for constructing compatible confidence regions that are useful for uncertainty quantification. The rest of the tutorial is devoted to insights into the nature of the optimizers selected by the min-max formulations and additional applications of optimal transport projections.more » « less
 An official website of the United States government
An official website of the United States government 
				
			 
					 
					
 
                                    