Abstract Global firms finance themselves through foreign subsidiaries, often shell companies in tax havens, which obscures their true economic location in official statistics. We associate the universe of traded securities issued by firms in tax havens with their issuer's ultimate parent and restate bilateral investment positions to better reflect the financial linkages connecting countries around the world. Bilateral portfolio investment from developed countries to firms in large emerging markets is dramatically larger than previously thought. The national accounts of the United States, for example, understate the U.S. position in Chinese firms by nearly $600 billion. Further, we demonstrate how offshore issuance in tax havens affects our understanding of the currency composition of external portfolio liabilities and the nature of foreign direct investment. Finally, we provide additional restatements of bilateral investment positions, including one based on the geographic distribution of sales.
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China in Tax Havens
We document the rise of China in offshore capital markets. Chinese firms use global tax havens to access foreign capital in both equity and bond markets. In the last 20 years, China's presence went from raising a negligible amount of capital in these markets to accounting for more than half of equity issuance and around a fifth of global corporate bonds outstanding in tax havens. Using rich micro data, we show that a range of Chinese firms, including both tech giants and state-owned enterprises, use these offshore centers. We conclude by discussing the macroeconomic and financial stability implications of these patterns.
more » « less- Award ID(s):
- 1653917
- PAR ID:
- 10489442
- Publisher / Repository:
- AEA Papers and Proceedings
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- AEA Papers and Proceedings
- Volume:
- 113
- ISSN:
- 2574-0768
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 114-119
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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ABSTRACT An employee's annual earnings fall by 13% in the first full calendar year after her firm's bankruptcy, and the present value of lost earnings from bankruptcy to six years following bankruptcy is 87% of pre‐bankruptcy annual earnings. More worker earnings are lost in thin labor markets and among small firms. Ex ante compensating wage differentials for this “bankruptcy risk” are up to 2% of firm value for a firm whose credit rating falls from AA to BBB, comparable in magnitude to debt tax benefits. Thus, wage premia for expected costs of bankruptcy are sufficiently large to be an important consideration in capital structure decisions.
- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20231001
