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1. Rates and processes controlling periglacial alluvial fan formation: Implications for martian fans

   https://doi.org/10.1130/B36459.1  

   Palucis, Marisa C.; Morgan, A.M.; Strauss, J.V.; Rivera-Hernandez, F.; Marshall, J.A.; Menio, E.; Miller, R. (July 2022, GSA Bulletin)

   Alluvial fans are found across a range of climates and are built from a combination of fluvial and debris flow processes. Correct identification of process is critical to reconstructing the climate and water histories of alluvial fans on Earth and Mars. Theory and data from subaerial Earth fans are often used to estimate paleoflow discharges and sediment fluxes for martian fans; however, most terrestrial work has been conducted on fans that are in hot, dry climates with runoff sourced from rainfall. This differs from the prevailing interpretation that martian fans were sourced from snowmelt under warming periglacial conditions. To characterize processes and rates of periglacial fan formation, we conducted a field-based study of the Black Mountain alluvial fan in the Aklavik Range, Canada. We observed active fluvial bedload transport as well as several small debris flows that had initiated from ice-filled gullies. Following a runoff event of ∼0.005 mm/hr to ∼0.2 mm/hr across the fan, we estimated sediment fluxes of ∼0.04 m3/hr. Under bankfull conditions, we estimated runoff rates between ∼0.01 mm/hr to ∼14 mm/hr and corresponding sediment fluxes of ∼0.3 m3/hr to ∼550 m3/hr. This suggests that moderate flow events, well below the maximum runoff production rates suggested for Mars, are capable of entraining and transporting appreciable amounts of sediment by fluvial processes. However, sedimentological and geomorphological observations suggest that ∼67% of the fan was deposited fluvially; the remainder was deposited by mass flows. Our results emphasize the need to take care in interpreting martian sedimentary processes and climate from fan surface morphology alone. 

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2. Avulsion dynamics determine fluvial fan morphology in a cellular model

   https://doi.org/10.1130/G51138.1  

   Martin, Harrison K.; Edmonds, Douglas A. (June 2023, Geology)

   Abstract Fluvial fans are large, low-gradient depositional systems that occur in sedimentary basins worldwide. Fluvial fans can represent much of the geologic record of foreland basins, create hazards, and record paleoclimate and tectonic signals. However, we lack an understanding of how fluvial fans grow into the variety of shapes observed around the world. We explored this aspect using a cellular model of foreland basin landscape evolution with rules for sediment transport, river avulsion, and floodplain processes. We tested the hypothesis that avulsion dynamics, namely, avulsion trigger period and abandoned channel dynamics, are a primary control on fluvial fan development. We found that shorter trigger periods lead to rounder planform fluvial fan shapes because, between avulsions, channel aggradation (and thus avulsion setup) propagates shorter distances from the upstream boundary along channel pathways. This prioritizes lateral sediment dispersion, creating shorter, rounder fans, over sediment delivery further into the basin, which would create elongated fans. Modeled fans with abandoned channel attraction (but not repulsion) generated a commonly observed abrupt fan boundary marked by a transition from distributary to tributary channel patterns. While fluvial fans are thought to be linked to climate, they can occur anywhere that rivers aggrade, lose lateral confinement, and preserve alluvial topography. Instead, fluvial fans might be more recognizable in environments that frequently trigger avulsions and preserve abandoned channels that capture future avulsions. 

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3. Risk as a process: a history informed hazard planning approach applied to the 2018 post-fire debris flows, Montecito, California

   https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2023.1183324  

   Serra-Llobet, A; Radke, J; Kondolf, GM; Gurrola, L; Rogers, JD; Lindbergh, S; Douvinet, J (July 2023, Frontiers in environmental science)

   Garcia-Ayllon_Veintimilla, Salvador (Ed.)

   Historical information about floods is not commonly used in the US to inform land use planning decisions. Rather, the current approach to managing floods is based on static maps derived from computer simulations of the area inundated by floods of specified return intervals. These maps provide some information about flood hazard, but they do not reflect the underlying processes involved in creating a flood disaster, which typically include increased exposure due to building on flood-prone land, nor do they account for the greater hazard resulting from wildfire. We developed and applied an approach to analyze how exposure has evolved in flood hazard zones in Montecito, California, an area devastated by post-fire debris flows in January 2018. By combining historical flood records of the past 200 years, human development records of the past 100 years, and geomorphological understanding of debris flow generation processes, this approach allows us to look at risk as a dynamic process influenced by physical and human factors, instead of a static map. Results show that floods after fires, in particular debris flows and debris laden floods, are very common in Montecito (15 events in the last 200 years), and that despite policies discouraging developments in hazard areas, developments in hazard zones have increased substantially since Montecito joined the National Flood Insurance Program in 1979.We also highlight the limitation of using conventional Flood Insurance Rate Maps (FIRMs) to manage land use in alluvial fan areas such as Montecito. The knowledge produced in this project can help Montecito residents better understand how they came to be vulnerable to floods and identify action they are taking now that might increase or reduce their vulnerability to the next big flood. This science-history-centric approach to understand hazard and exposure evolution using geographic information systems (GIS) and historical records, is generalizable to other communities seeking to better understand the nature of the hazard they are exposed to and some of the root causes of their vulnerabilities, in other words, both the natural and social processes producing disasters. 

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4. Lorentzian Fans

   https://doi.org/10.1093/imrn/rnad239  

   Ross, Dustin (October 2023, International Mathematics Research Notices)

   Abstract We introduce the notion of Lorentzian fans, which form a special class of tropical fans that are particularly well-suited for proving Alexandrov–Fenchel-type inequalities. To demonstrate the utility of Lorentzian fans, we prove a practical characterization of them in terms of their two-dimensional star fans. We also show that Lorentzian fans are closed under many common tropical fan operations, and we discuss how the Lorentzian property descends to the underlying tropical variety, allowing us to deduce Alexandrov–Fenchel-type inequalities in the general setting of tropical intersection theory on tropical fan varieties. 

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5. The Permeability of Volcanic Mixtures—Implications for Pyroclastic Currents

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JB016544  

   Breard, Eric C. P.; Jones, Jim R.; Fullard, Luke; Lube, Gert; Davies, Clive; Dufek, Josef (February 2019, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth)

   Abstract Geophysical fluid‐granular flows, such as pyroclastic currents and debris flows, owe much of their runout and hazard behavior to the occurrence and time‐variant decay of a flow‐internal fluid pore pressure. However, modeling the effects of fluid pore pressure to forecast hazards is challenging because a unified method in Earth Sciences to quantitatively determine the permeability of these natural mixtures is currently missing. Here we combine experiments on fluidization and defluidization of pyroclastic materials, eolian sediments, and glass beads mixtures with numerical multiphase simulations to compare previous attempts to compute the permeability of complex natural particle‐fluid mixtures. In analogy to particle‐engineering studies on simple gas‐particle mixtures, we demonstrate that the effective length‐scale in the characterization of the fluid‐particle interaction of complex natural mixtures is the product of the Sauter mean diameter and the particle sphericity. Its use in the Kozeny‐Carman equation allows accurate prediction of mixture permeability, and we suggest the routine calculation of the Sauter mean from grain size distributions of the deposits of geophysical mass flows in Earth Sciences. We also show, through defluidization experiments, that the duration of gas retention in natural mixtures is well described when using the Sauter mean as the effective particle size. Further, we show through multiphase simulations that initial bed expansion extends the pore pressure diffusion timescale up to nine times. These results can be applied to small‐to‐large volume dense pyroclastic currents where the ranges of Sauter mean diameter predict gas retention for long duration and to debris flows and snow avalanches. 

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