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Title: The Square Root Rule for Adaptive Importance Sampling
In adaptive importance sampling and other contexts, we haveK> 1 unbiased and uncorrelated estimates μ^kof a common quantity μ. The optimal unbiased linear combination weights them inversely to their variances, but those weights are unknown and hard to estimate. A simple deterministic square root rule based on a working model that Var(μ^k) ∝k−1/2gives an unbiased estimate of μ that is nearly optimal under a wide range of alternative variance patterns. We show that if Var(μ^k)∝k−yfor an unknown rate parametery∈[0,1], then the square root rule yields the optimal variance rate with a constant that is too large by at most 9/8 for any 0 ⩽y⩽ 1 and any numberKof estimates. Numerical work shows that rule is similarly robust to some other patterns with mildly decreasing variance askincreases.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1837931
PAR ID:
10509467
Author(s) / Creator(s):
;
Publisher / Repository:
Association for Computing Machinery
Date Published:
Journal Name:
ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation
Volume:
30
Issue:
2
ISSN:
1049-3301
Page Range / eLocation ID:
1 to 12
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
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