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1. Global MHD Simulations of the Time-dependent Corona

   https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ad00be  

   Lionello, Roberto; Downs, Cooper; Mason, Emily I; Linker, Jon A; Caplan, Ronald M; Riley, Pete; Titov, Viacheslav S; DeRosa, Marc L (December 2023, The Astrophysical Journal)

   Abstract We describe, test, and apply a technique to incorporate full-Sun, surface flux evolution into an MHD model of the global solar corona. Requiring only maps of the evolving surface flux, our method is similar to that of Lionello et al., but we introduce two ways to correct the electric field at the lower boundary to mitigate spurious currents. We verify the accuracy of our procedures by comparing to a reference simulation, driven with known flows and electric fields. We then present a thermodynamic MHD calculation lasting one solar rotation driven by maps from the magnetic flux evolution model of Schrijver & DeRosa. The dynamic, time-dependent nature of the model corona is illustrated by examining the evolution of the open flux boundaries and forward-modeled EUV emission, which evolve in response to surface flows and the emergence and cancellation flux. Although our main goal is to present the method, we briefly investigate the relevance of this evolution to properties of the slow solar wind, examining the mapping of dipped field lines to the topological signatures of the “S-Web” and comparing charge state ratios computed in the time-dependently driven run to a steady-state equivalent. Interestingly, we find that driving on its own does not significantly improve the charge state ratios, at least in this modest resolution run that injects minimal helicity. Still, many aspects of the time-dependently driven model cannot be captured with traditional steady-state methods, and such a technique may be particularly relevant for the next generation of solar wind and coronal mass ejection models. 

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2. Magnetic Connectivity in the Time-dependent Corona and Heliosphere

   https://doi.org/10.3847/2041-8213/ae5791  

   Lionello, Roberto; Downs, Cooper; Mason, Emily I; Linker, Jon A; Riley, Pete; Owens, Mathew J (April 2026, The Astrophysical Journal Letters)

   Abstract Magnetic flux fills the heliosphere, expands outward from the solar corona, and is fundamentally related to the structure and dynamics of the solar corona and solar wind. Open magnetic flux and the fast wind are thought to originate from open magnetic field lines in coronal holes. Less understood processes in the streamer belt and the boundaries of coronal holes, associated with the more variable slow wind, may be formed by interchange reconnection between open and closed magnetic flux. Interchange reconnection is thought to give rise to field lines that are “folded,” i.e., that turn back on themselves. The properties of strahl electrons measured in the solar wind give clues to the heliospheric magnetic connectivity. Unidirectionally outward strahl indicates open field lines, while bidirectional strahl is associated with closed magnetic flux and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Inward-directed, unidirectional strahl is believed to indicate folded flux. We use two time-dependent, flux-evolutionary magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models of the combined corona and heliosphere, one for a solar-minimum configuration and one for the 2024 total solar eclipse, to investigate the magnetic connectivity of the corona/heliosphere system. We examine how magnetic connectivity varies with distance from the Sun in the two configurations. We evaluate the evolutionary effects by contrasting time-dependent results with the corresponding steady-state calculations and compare the model connectivities with statistical studies of strahl. The connectivities in the time-evolving simulations are roughly consistent with observed strahl occurrence rates, while those from the steady-state models are not. Our results suggest that complex magnetic connectivities are ubiquitous in the heliosphere. 

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3. Evolution of Coronal Mass Ejections in Different Data-driven Solar Wind Conditions

   https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ae4348  

   Sachdeva, Nishtha; Huang, Zhenguang; Toth, Gabor; Chen, Hongfan; Manchester, Ward B; van_der_Holst, Bart (April 2026, The Astrophysical Journal)

   Abstract Numerical models of the solar wind and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) utilize photospheric magnetic field observations to prescribe the inner boundary conditions for the plasma solutions. These magnetic field data are available to the community through various observational instruments, prepared via different methodologies and/or flux transport models. The solar wind solution driven by these maps provides the ambient plasma environment into which CMEs travel. Interaction with the surrounding solar wind impacts CME evolution and propagation in the solar corona and inner heliosphere. In this work, we use different input magnetic field maps for the same time period to drive the global Alfvén Wave Solar atmosphere Model. We obtain the ambient solar wind conditions and compare the plasma properties and magnetic morphology in the corona domain to study the influence of the input maps. To understand how the resulting coronal solutions impact CMEs, we launch eruptions described by analytical flux ropes into these data-driven solutions and compare their evolution in the coronal domain (up to 24R_⊙radially). The CMEs achieve varying speeds, deceleration rates, propagation directions, mass, and energies while coupling with the background solar wind. We quantify these differences to show that the different input driving maps can significantly impact the simulated CME propagation in the solar wind plasma. This also highlights the importance of understanding the uncertainties associated with data-driven modeling that become increasingly important in operational models and space weather prediction. 

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4. Study of the Orientation of Erupting Magnetic Flux Ropes in Coronal Mass Ejections from the Solar Corona to 1 au

   https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ae2c7a  

   Wang, Ying; Chen, Yu; Zhuang, Bin; Xu, Yan; Gou, Tingyu; liu, Nian; Wang, Haimin (January 2026, The Astrophysical Journal)

   Abstract The southward component of the interplanetary magnetic field, often originating from solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs), plays a crucial role in driving geomagnetic storms. Accurate prediction of the flux rope orientation of CMEs as they arrive at Earth requires a clear understanding of how the orientation of magnetic flux ropes evolves from the solar corona to 1 au. In this study, we investigated six geoeffective CMEs, initiated either from active regions (ARs; three events) or quiet-Sun (QS) filament eruptions (three events). The orientation prior to the eruption is determined by the eruptive filament or the magnetic flux rope near the solar surface. During the CME propagation away from the Sun, the graduated cylindrical shell model and the Grad–Shafranov technique are used to estimate the orientation of the CME magnetic field structure. Our results show that the orientation of flux ropes associated with QS eruptions did not change from the Sun to 1 au. For three rotating events initiated from ARs, the direction of rotation remains consistent during the propagation from the Sun to 1 au. The trend indicates that the heliospheric current sheet has a relatively limited influence on these events. For rotating events, the direction of rotation basically follows the prediction of Lynch’s model. 

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5. Improving Coronal Hole Detections and Open Flux Estimates

   https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ad01b6  

   Caplan, Ronald M; Mason, Emily I; Downs, Cooper; Linker, Jon A (November 2023, The Astrophysical Journal)

   Abstract One systematic limitation of solar coronal hole (CH) detection at extreme ultraviolet (EUV) wavelengths is the obscuration of dark regions of the corona by brighter structures along the line of sight. Another problem arises when using CHs to compute the Sun’s open magnetic flux, where surface measurements of the radial magnetic field, $B_r^{\odot }$ , are situated slightly below the effective height of coronal EUV emission. In this paper, we explore these two limitations utilizing a thermodynamic magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of the corona for Carrington rotation (CR) 2101, where we generate CH detections from EUV 193 Å images of the corona forward-modeled from the MHD solution, and where the modeled open field is known. We demonstrate a method to combine EUV images into a full Sun map that helps alleviate CH obscuration called theminimum intensity diskmerge(MIDM). We also show the variation in measured open flux and CH area that is due to the effective height differences between EUV and $B_r^{\odot }$ measurements. We then apply the MIDM method to SDO/AIA 193 Å observations from CR 2101, and conduct an analogous analysis. In this case, the MIDM method uses time-varying images, the effects of which are discussed. We show that overall, the MIDM method and an appreciation of the effective height mismatch provide a useful new way to extract a broader view of CHs, especially near the poles. In turn, they enable improved estimates of the open magnetic flux, and help facilitate comparisons between models and observations. 

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