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Previous work has shown increased morphological variance within the forelimbs of the Permian synapsid group known as Therapsida over that of their Carboniferous and early Permian forerunners (“pelycosaurs”). Considering that disparity trends have been known to point to underlying macroevolutionary transitions, here we analyzed morphological variance alongside several additional macroevolutionary metrics to better isolate possible evolutionary mechanisms. Shape data was collected on a sample of 119 humeri and 99 ulnae comprising three major synapsid radiations with a temporal range from the Carboniferous into the Triassic. Taxonomic sample included all major groups of pelycosaur-grade synapsids, all five recognized non-cynodontian therapsid clades, and a sample of pre-prozostrodontian cynodonts. Procrustes variance - a multivariate quantification of morphospace occupation - was the chosen disparity metric for the study. Rate of phenotypic change, which considers the amount of shape change that would be necessary to achieve observed morphologies given the shape of the closely related taxa, was analyzed as the metric for evolutionary rate. Both metrics were considered through-time upon genera present in sequential 5 million year time bins. Our results expand upon previous findings that disparity increases throughout the earliest stages of the Permian, coincident with the diversification of pelycosaurs and the emergence of Therapsida. This expanded dataset further shows that disparity approaches an asymptote around 270 million years ago and only increases marginally through the late Permian, remaining between 0.018–0.021 from 275-245 mya. In contrast, evolutionary rate does not appear to asymptote during this same interval, starting at a low of 6.17e-6 (300 mya) and increasing to a peak of 1.78e-5 right before the End Permian Mass Extinction Event (252 mya). The continuing increase of evolutionary rate shows that morphological change continues across taxa, but the plateauing of morphological disparity suggests that morphospace is not expanding concurrent with this. The incongruence between these two metrics suggests a critical change in evolutionary mode, wherein morphological change continues rapidly but does not result in the evolution of novel morphologies. These results provide some of the strongest quantitative data yet of an evolutionary constraint acting upon the morphology of the synapsid forelimb through deep time.
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Socioeconomic Data for the Permian Basin
This dataset was compiled to support socioeconomic analyses of counties in the Permian Basin in Texas and New Mexico for the Permian Energy Development Lab (PEDL). The metrics in the dataset are organized into four categories: Socioeconomics, Health & Wellbeing, Jobs & Workforce, and Energy Infrastructure & Potential. The metrics originated from previously published datasets, including SLOPE, LEAD, Rural Atlas, EJScreen, and Census data.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1828902
- PAR ID:
- 10530976
- Publisher / Repository:
- National Renewable Energy Laboratory
- Date Published:
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Institution:
- National Renewable Energy Laboratory
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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