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Abstract Midlatitude weather extremes such as blocking events and Rossby wave breaking are often related to large meridional shifts in the westerly jet stream. Numerous diagnostic methods have been developed to characterize these weather events, each emphasizing different yet interrelated aspects of circulation waviness, including identifying large-amplitude ridges or persistent anomalies in geopotential height. In this study, we introduce a new metric to quantify the circulation waviness in terms of effective time scale. This is based on the Rossby wave packet from the one-point correlation map of anomalous meridional wind, applicable to jet waviness involving multiple wavenumbers. Specifically, we estimate the intrinsic frequency of Rossby waves and decay time scale of wave amplitude in the reference frame moving at the local time mean zonal wind. The resulting effective time scale, derived from linear theory, serves as a proxy for the eddy mixing time scale in jet meandering. Remarkably, its spatial distribution roughly resembles that of circulation waviness in the Northern Hemisphere winter as depicted by local wave activity (LWA). In the high-latitude regions characterized by weak zonal winds, the long time scale in waviness aligns with large values in LWA. By contrast, short waviness time scales in subtropical jet regions correspond to the suppressed amplitude in waviness despite large values in eddy kinetic energy (EKE). Furthermore, the effective time scale in waviness largely captures the interannual variability of LWA in observations and its projected future changes in climate model simulations. Thus, this relation between the waviness time scale and zonal wind provides a physical mechanism for understanding how zonal wind changes impact regional weather patterns in a changing climate. Significance StatementThe purpose of this study is to better understand what controls weather extremes in midlatitude regions such as blocking events and Rossby wave breaking. We introduce a novel concept, the effective time scale of jet stream meandering, which sheds light on these phenomena. Through analyzing Rossby waves in the reference frame moving at the local time mean zonal wind, we derive a scaling relation between circulation waviness and eddy mixing time scale. Our findings reveal that this time scale closely mirrors the spatial distribution of circulation waviness in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Importantly, it captures interannual variability and climate change responses. These insights provide a physical basis for understanding how changes in zonal wind impact regional weather patterns in observations and climate models.
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Large-Scale Eddy-Mean Flow Interaction in the Earth's Extratropical Atmosphere
Large-scale circulation of the atmosphere in the Earth's extratropics is dominated by eddies, eastward (westerly) zonal winds, and their interaction. Eddies not only bring about weather variabilities but also help maintain the average state of climate. In recent years, our understanding of how large-scale eddies and mean flows interact in the extratropical atmosphere has advanced significantly due to new dynamical constraints on finite-amplitude eddies and the related eddy-free reference state. This article reviews the theoretical foundations for finite-amplitude Rossby wave activity and related concepts. Theory is then applied to atmospheric data to elucidate how angular momentum is redistributed by the generation, transmission, and dissipation of Rossby waves and to reveal how an anomalously large wave event such as atmospheric blocking may arise from regional eddy-mean flow interaction.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2154523
- PAR ID:
- 10532251
- Publisher / Repository:
- Annual Reviews
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Annual Review of Fluid Mechanics
- Volume:
- 56
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 0066-4189
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 349 to 377
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-fluid-121021-035602
