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This paper studies the problem of data collection for policy evaluation in Markov decision processes (MDPs). In policy evaluation, we are given a \textit{target} policy and asked to estimate the expected cumulative reward it will obtain in an environment formalized as an MDP. We develop theory for optimal data collection within the class of tree-structured MDPs by first deriving an oracle exploration strategy that uses knowledge of the variance of the reward distributions. We then introduce the \textbf{Re}duced \textbf{Var}iance Sampling (\rev\!) algorithm that approximates the oracle strategy when the reward variances are unknown a priori and bound its sub-optimality compared to the oracle strategy. Finally, we empirically validate that \rev leads to policy evaluation with mean squared error comparable to the oracle strategy and significantly lower than simply running the target policy.
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SaVeR: Optimal Data Collection Strategy for Safe Policy Evaluation in Tabular MDP
In this paper, we study safe data collection for the purpose of policy evaluation in tabular Markov decision processes (MDPs). In policy evaluation, we are given a target policy and asked to estimate the expected cumulative reward it will obtain. Policy evaluation requires data and we are interested in the question of what behavior policy should collect the data for the most accurate evaluation of the target policy. While prior work has considered behavior policy selection, in this paper, we additionally consider a safety constraint on the behavior policy. Namely, we assume there exists a known default policy that incurs a particular expected cost when run and we enforce that the cumulative cost of all behavior policies ran is better than a constant factor of the cost that would be incurred had we always run the default policy. We first show that there exists a class of intractable MDPs where no safe oracle algorithm with knowledge about problem parameters can efficiently collect data and satisfy the safety constraints. We then define the tractability condition for an MDP such that a safe oracle algorithm can efficiently collect data and using that we prove the first lower bound for this setting. We then introduce an algorithm SaVeR for this problem that approximates the safe oracle algorithm and bound the finite-sample mean squared error of the algorithm while ensuring it satisfies the safety constraint. Finally, we show in simulations that SaVeR produces low MSE policy evaluation while satisfying the safety constraint.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2023239
- PAR ID:
- 10533085
- Publisher / Repository:
- International Conference on Machine Learning
- Date Published:
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Location:
- Vienna, Austria
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
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