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Abstract The encroachment of woody plants into grasslands is a global phenomenon with implications for biodiversity and ecosystem function. Understanding and predicting the pace of expansion and the underlying processes that control it are key challenges in the study and management of woody encroachment. Theory from spatial population biology predicts that the occurrence and speed of expansion should depend sensitively on the nature of conspecific density dependence. If fitness is maximized at the low‐density encroachment edge, then shrub expansion should be “pulled” forward. However, encroaching shrubs have been shown to exhibit positive feedbacks, whereby shrub establishment modifies the environment in ways that facilitate further shrub recruitment and survival. In this case there may be a fitness cost to shrubs at low density causing expansion to be “pushed” from behind the leading edge. We studied the spatial dynamics of creosotebush (Larrea tridentata), which has a history of encroachment into Chihuahuan Desert grasslands over the past century. We used demographic data from observational censuses and seedling transplant experiments to test the strength and direction of density dependence in shrub fitness along a gradient of shrub density at the grass–shrub ecotone. We also used seed‐drop experiments and wind data to construct a mechanistic seed‐dispersal kernel, then connected demography and dispersal data within a spatial integral projection model (SIPM) to predict the dynamics of shrub expansion. Contrary to expectations based on potential for positive feedbacks, the shrub encroachment wave is “pulled” by maximum fitness at the low‐density front. However, the predicted pace of expansion was strikingly slow (ca. 8 cm/year), and this prediction was supported by independent resurveys of the ecotone showing little to no change in the spatial extent of shrub cover over 12 years. Encroachment speed was acutely sensitive to seedling recruitment, suggesting that this population may be primed for pulses of expansion under conditions that are favorable for recruitment. Our integration of observations, experiments, and modeling reveals not only that this ecotone is effectively stalled under current conditions but also why that is so and how that may change as the environment changes.
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This content will become publicly available on August 6, 2025
Shrub encroachment of coastal ecosystems depends on dune elevation
Woody plant encroachment is infuenced by interactions between the physical environment and vegetation, which create heterogenous microenvironments some of which favor shrub recruitment through mitigation of the abiotic environment. Encroachment of native shrub, Morella cerifera into grasslands on Hog Island, Virginia has been attributed to warmer winter temperature; however, recruitment of seedlings in grasslands may be impacted by multiple factors at the level of the microhabitat. Our study focuses on a critical gap in understanding factors specifcally infuencing M. cerifera seedling recruitment and survival. By experimentally planting M. cerifera seedlings at varying dune elevations and grass densities, we tested hypotheses that dune elevation infuences the microclimate, soil characteristics and vegetation cover and that grass cover/density is related to shrub establishment. We tested these hypotheses through gathering data from temperature data loggers, conducting soil water content and chloride analyses, and determining percent cover of grasses relative to dune elevation. Results indicate that dune elevation was positively related to moderated temperatures with reduced temperature extremes and vegetation cover/composition that led to favorable locations for M. cerifera establishment and growth. Where dune elevation is>2 m, we document an upper limit of grass cover on natural seedling establishment, suggesting a switch from facilitative to competitive efects with grass density. Overall, our work demonstrates interactions between dune elevation and medium grass density has a facilitative infuence on M. cerifera establishment and can be used for future predictions of shrub growth with rising sea-levels.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1832221
- PAR ID:
- 10534139
- Publisher / Repository:
- Plant Ecology, Springer
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Plant Ecology
- ISSN:
- 1385-0237
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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{"Abstract":["The encroachment of woody plants into grasslands is a global\n phenomenon with implications for biodiversity and ecosystem\n function. Understanding and predicting the pace of expansion and the\n underlying processes that control it are key challenges in the study\n and management of woody encroachment. Theory from spatial population\n biology predicts that the occurrence and speed of population\n expansion should depend sensitively on the nature of conspecific\n density dependence. If fitness is maximized at the low-density\n encroachment edge then shrub expansion should be "pulled"\n forward. However, encroaching shrubs have been shown to exhibit\n positive feedbacks, whereby shrub establishment modifies the\n environment in ways that facilitate further shrub recruitment and\n survival. In this case there may be a fitness cost to shrubs at low\n density causing expansion to be "pushed" from behind the\n leading edge. We studied the spatial dynamics of creosotebush\n (Larrea tridentata), which has a history of\n encroachment into Chihuahuan Desert grasslands over the past\n century. We used demographic data from observational censuses and\n seedling transplant experiments to test the strength and direction\n of density dependence in shrub fitness along a gradient of shrub\n density at the grass-shrub ecotone. We also used seed-drop\n experiments and wind data to construct a mechanistic seed dispersal\n kernel, then connected demography and dispersal data within a\n spatial integral projection model (SIPM) to predict the dynamics of\n shrub expansion. The SIPM predicted that, contrary to expectations\n based on potential for positive feedbacks, the shrub encroachment\n wave is "pulled" by maximum fitness at the low-density\n front. However, the predicted pace of expansion was strikingly slow\n (ca. 8 cm/yr), and this prediction was supported by independent\n re-surveys of the ecotone showing little to no change in spatial\n extent of shrub cover over 12 years. Encroachment speed was acutely\n sensitive to seedling recruitment, suggesting that this population\n may be primed for pulses of expansion under conditions that are\n favorable for recruitment. Our integration of observations,\n experiments, and modeling reveals not only that this ecotone is\n effectively stalled under current conditions, but also\n why that is so and how that may change as the\n environment changes."]}more » « less
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