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1. Assessing coincident neutrino detections using population models

   https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202243116  

   Capel, F.; Burgess, J. M.; Mortlock, D. J.; Padovani, P. (December 2022, Astronomy & Astrophysics)

   Several tentative associations between high-energy neutrinos and astrophysical sources have been recently reported, but a conclusive identification of these potential neutrino emitters remains challenging. We explore the use of Monte Carlo simulations of source populations to gain deeper insight into the physical implications of proposed individual source–neutrino associations. In particular, we focus on the IC170922A–TXS 0506+056 observation. Assuming a null model, we find a 7.6% chance of mistakenly identifying coincidences between γ -ray flares from blazars and neutrino alerts in 10-year surveys. We confirm that a blazar–neutrino connection based on the γ -ray flux is required to find a low chance coincidence probability and, therefore, a significant IC170922A–TXS 0506+056 association. We then assume this blazar–neutrino connection for the whole population and find that the ratio of neutrino to γ -ray fluxes must be ≲10 −2 in order not to overproduce the total number of neutrino alerts seen by IceCube. For the IC170922A–TXS 0506+056 association to make sense, we must either accept this low flux ratio or suppose that only some rare sub-population of blazars is capable of high-energy neutrino production. For example, if we consider neutrino production only in blazar flares, we expect the flux ratio of between 10 −3 and 10 −1 to be consistent with a single coincident observation of a neutrino alert and flaring γ -ray blazar. These constraints should be interpreted in the context of the likelihood models used to find the IC170922A–TXS 0506+056 association, which assumes a fixed power-law neutrino spectrum of E −2.13 for all blazars. 

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2. Multimessenger observations of a flaring blazar coincident with high-energy neutrino IceCube-170922A

   https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aat1378  

   The IceCube Collaboration, Fermi-LAT (July 2018, Science)

   Neutrinos interact only very weakly with matter, but giant detectors have succeeded in detecting small numbers of astrophysical neutrinos. Aside from a diffuse background, only two individual sources have been identified: the Sun and a nearby supernova in 1987. A multiteam collaboration detected a high-energy neutrino event whose arrival direction was consistent with a known blazar—a type of quasar with a relativistic jet oriented directly along our line of sight. The blazar, TXS 0506+056, was found to be undergoing a gamma-ray flare, prompting an extensive multiwavelength campaign. Motivated by this discovery, the IceCube collaboration examined lower-energy neutrinos detected over the previous several years, finding an excess emission at the location of the blazar. Thus, blazars are a source of astrophysical neutrinos. 

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3. Search for Neutrino Emission from Hard X-Ray AGN with IceCube

   https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ada94b  

   Abbasi, R; Ackermann, M; Adams, J; Agarwalla, S K; Aguilar, J A; Ahlers, M; Alameddine, JM; Amin, N M; Andeen, K; Argüelles, C; et al (March 2025, The Astrophysical Journal)

   Abstract Active galactic nuclei (AGN) are promising candidate sources of high-energy astrophysical neutrinos, since they provide environments rich in matter and photon targets where cosmic-ray interactions may lead to the production of gamma rays and neutrinos. We searched for high-energy neutrino emission from AGN using the Swift-BAT Spectroscopic Survey catalog of hard X-ray sources and 12 yr of IceCube muon track data. First, upon performing a stacked search, no significant emission was found. Second, we searched for neutrinos from a list of 43 candidate sources and found an excess from the direction of two sources, the Seyfert galaxies NGC 1068 and NGC 4151. We observed NGC 1068 at flux ${\varphi }_{{\nu }_{\mu }+{\overline{\nu }}_{\mu }}$= $4.02_{-1.52}^{+1.58}\times 10^{-11}$TeV⁻¹cm⁻²s⁻¹normalized at 1 TeV, with a power-law spectral indexγ= 3.10 ${}_{-0.22}^{+0.26}$, consistent with previous IceCube results. The observation of a neutrino excess from the direction of NGC 4151 is at a posttrial significance of 2.9σ. If interpreted as an astrophysical signal, the excess observed from NGC 4151 corresponds to a flux ${\varphi }_{{\nu }_{\mu }+{\overline{\nu }}_{\mu }}$= $1.51_{-0.81}^{+0.99}\times 10^{-11}$TeV⁻¹cm⁻²s⁻¹normalized at 1 TeV andγ= 2.83 ${}_{-0.28}^{+0.35}$. 

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4. Establishing accretion flares from supermassive black holes as a source of high-energy neutrinos

   https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stae610  

   van Velzen, Sjoert; Stein, Robert; Gilfanov, Marat; Kowalski, Marek; Hayasaki, Kimitake; Reusch, Simeon; Yao, Yuhan; Garrappa, Simone; Franckowiak, Anna; Gezari, Suvi; et al (February 2024, Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society)

   ABSTRACT The origin of cosmic high-energy neutrinos remains largely unexplained. For high-energy neutrino alerts from IceCube, a coincidence with time-variable emission has been seen for three different types of accreting black holes: (1) a gamma-ray flare from a blazar (TXS 0506+056), (2) an optical transient following a stellar tidal disruption event (TDE; AT2019dsg), and (3) an optical outburst from an active galactic nucleus (AGN; AT2019fdr). For the latter two sources, infrared follow-up observations revealed a powerful reverberation signal due to dust heated by the flare. This discovery motivates a systematic study of neutrino emission from all supermassive black hole with similar dust echoes. Because dust reprocessing is agnostic to the origin of the outburst, our work unifies TDEs and high-amplitude flares from AGN into a population that we dub accretion flares. Besides the two known events, we uncover a third flare that is coincident with a PeV-scale neutrino (AT2019aalc). Based solely on the optical and infrared properties, we estimate a significance of 3.6σ for this association of high-energy neutrinos with three accretion flares. Our results imply that at least ∼10 per cent of the IceCube high-energy neutrino alerts could be due to accretion flares. This is surprising because the sum of the fluence of these flares is at least three orders of magnitude lower compared to the total fluence of normal AGN. It thus appears that the efficiency of high-energy neutrino production in accretion flares is increased compared to non-flaring AGN. We speculate that this can be explained by the high Eddington ratio of the flares. 

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5. Cosmic-ray cooling in active galactic nuclei as a new probe of inelastic dark matter

   https://doi.org/10.1103/5m57-vgt2  

   Gustafson, R Andrew; Herrera, Gonzalo; Mukhopadhyay, Mainak; Murase, Kohta; Shoemaker, Ian M (June 2025, Physical Review D)

   We present a novel way to probe inelastic dark matter using cosmic-ray (CR) cooling in active galactic nuclei (AGNs). Dark matter (DM) in the vicinity of supermassive black holes may scatter off CRs, resulting in the rapid cooling of CRs for sufficiently large cross sections. This in turn can alter the high-energy neutrino and gamma-ray fluxes detected from these sources. We show that AGN cooling bounds obtained through the multimessenger data of NGC 1068 and TXS $0506+056$allows us to reach unprecedently large mass splittings for inelastic DM ( $\gtrsim \mathrm{TeV}$), orders of magnitude larger than those probed by direct detection experiments and DM capture in neutron stars. Furthermore, we demonstrate that cooling bounds from AGNs can probe thermal light DM with small mass splittings. This provides novel and complementary constraints in parts of a parameter space accessible solely by colliders and beam-dump experiments. 

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