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Abstract We use the Space Weather Modeling Framework Geospace configuration to simulate a total of 122 storms from the period 2010–2019. With the focus on the storm main phase, each storm period was run for 54 hr starting from 6 hr prior to the start of the Dst depression. The simulation output of ground magnetic variations, ΔBHin particular, were compared with ground magnetometer station data provided by SuperMAG to statistically assess the Geospace model regional magnetic perturbation prediction performance. Our results show that the regional predictions at mid‐latitudes are quite accurate, but the high‐latitude regional disturbances are still difficult to predict.
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Dayside Magnetic Depression Following Interplanetary Shock Arrivals During the February 1958 and July 1959 Superstorms
Abstract The present study investigates mid‐ and low‐latitude ground magnetic disturbances observed following the arrival of three interplanetary (IP) shocks during the super‐geomagnetic storms of February 1958 and July 1959. One may expect that after IP shocks, the H (northward) magnetic component increases globally but especially on the dayside. However, in each event, the H component was depressed sharply for 1–2 hr in the dawn‐to‐noon sector, whereas it increased in other local time (LT) sectors. Observed magnetic deflections suggest that there existed field‐aligned currents (FACs) flowing into and out of the auroral zone around the western and eastern edges of the LT sector of the dayside H depression. These features strongly suggests that the observed H depression was a remote effect of a R1‐sense FAC system. It was previously reported that similar ground magnetic disturbances were observed after the SSC of the 2003 Halloween storm, which reveals striking similarities to the well‐known H depression observed at Colaba during the 1859 Carrington storm. It is therefore suggested that the external driving behind IP shocks, especially those associated with major storms, is most optimum for the sharp reduction of the dayside H component through the formation and intensification of the dayside FAC system. Associated magnetic disturbances are considered to be larger in magnitude with increasing magnetic latitude, and oriented azimuthally as well as meridionally. Such magnetic disturbances in dayside midlatitudes may not be discussed very often as a target of space weather, but their potential impacts on ground infrastructures probably require closer attention.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2224986
- PAR ID:
- 10544691
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Space Weather
- Volume:
- 22
- Issue:
- 10
- ISSN:
- 1542-7390
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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