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1. Modeling glacier extents and equilibrium line altitudes in the Rwenzori Mountains, Uganda, over the last 31,000 yr

   Doughty AM, Kelly MA (April 2021, Special paper Geological Society of America)

   Waitt RB, Thackray GD (Ed.)

   Mountain glacier moraine sequences and their chronologies allow us to evaluate the timing and climate conditions that underpin changes in the equilibrium line altitudes (ELAs), which can provide valuable information on the paleoclimatology of understudied regions such as tropical East Africa. However, moraine sequences are inherently discontinuous, and the precise climate conditions that they represent can be ambiguous due to the sensitivity of mountain glaciers to temperature, precipitation, and other environmental variables. Here, we used a two-dimensional (2-D) iceflow and mass-balance model to simulate glacier extents and ELAs in the Rwenzori Mountains in East Africa over the past 31,000 yr (31 k.y.), including the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), late glacial period, and the Holocene Epoch. We drove the glacier model with two independent, continuous temperature reconstructions to simulate possible glacier length changes through time. Model input paleoclimate values came from branched glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraether (brGDGT) temperature reconstructions from alpine lakes on Mount Kenya for the last ~31 k.y., and precipitation reconstructions for the LGM came from various East African locations. We then compared the simulated fluctuations with the positions and ages (where known) of the Rwenzori moraines. The simulated glacier extents reached within 1.1 km of the dated LGM moraines in one valley (93% of the full LGM extent) when forced by the brGDGT temperature reconstructions (maximum cooling of 6.1 °C) and a decrease in precipitation (-10% than modern amounts). These simulations suggest that the Rwenzori glaciers required a cooling of at least 6.1 °C to reach the dated LGM moraines. Based on the model output, we predict an age of 12–11 ka for moraines located halfway between the LGM and modern glacier extents. We also predict ice-free conditions in the Rwenzori Mountains for most of the early to middle Holocene, followed by a late Holocene glacier readvance within the last 2000 yr. 

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2. Biotic interactions help explain variation in elevational range limits of birds among Bornean mountains

   https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.13784  

   Burner, Ryan C.; Boyce, Andy J.; Bernasconi, David; Styring, Alison R.; Shakya, Subir B.; Boer, Chandradewana; Rahman, Mustafa Abdul; Martin, Thomas E.; Sheldon, Frederick H. (January 2020, Journal of Biogeography)

   Abstract AimPhysiological tolerances and biotic interactions along habitat gradients are thought to influence species occurrence. Distributional differences caused by such forces are particularly noticeable on tropical mountains, where high species turnover along elevational gradients occurs over relatively short distances and elevational distributions of particular species can shift among mountains. Such shifts are interpreted as evidence of the importance of spatial variation in interspecific competition and habitat or climatic gradients. To assess the relative importance of competition and compression of habitat and climatic zones in setting range limits, we examined differences in elevational ranges of forest bird species among four Bornean mountains with distinct features. LocationBornean mountains Kinabalu, Mulu, Pueh and Topap Oso. TaxonRain forest bird communities along elevational gradients. MethodsWe surveyed the elevational ranges of rain forest birds on four mountains in Borneo to test which environmental variables—habitat zone compression or presence of likely competitors—best predicted differences in elevational ranges of species among mountains. For this purpose, we used two complementary tests: a comparison of elevational range limits between pairs of mountains, and linear mixed models with naïve occupancy as the response variable. ResultsWe found that lowland species occur higher in elevation on two small mountains compared to Mt. Mulu. This result is inconsistent with the expectation that distributions of habitats are elevationally compressed on small mountains, but is consistent with the hypothesis that a reduction in competition (likely diffuse) on short mountains, which largely lack montane specialist species, allows lowland species to occur higher in elevation. The relative influence of competition changes with elevation, and the correlation between lower range limits of montane species and the distribution of their competitors was weaker than in lowland species. Main conclusionsThese findings provide support for the importance of biotic interactions in setting elevational range limits of tropical bird species, although abiotic gradients explain the majority of distribution patterns. Thus, models predicting range shifts under climate change scenarios must include not only climatic variables, as is currently most common, but also information on potentially resulting changes in species interactions, especially for lowland species. 

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3. Hot Air, Hot Lakes, or Both? Exploring Mid‐Holocene African Temperatures Using Proxy System Modeling

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033269  

   Dee, Sylvia G.; Morrill, Carrie; Kim, Seung Hye; Russell, James M. (May 2021, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres)

   Abstract Climate models predict Africa will warm by up to 5°C in the coming century, stressing African societies. To provide independent constraints on model predictions, this study compares two notable reconstructions of East African temperatures to those predicted by Paleoclimate Model Intercomparison Project (PMIP3) and transient TraCE (Transient Climate Evolution) simulations, focusing on the Mid‐Holocene (MH, 5–8 kyr B.P.). Reconstructions of tropical African temperature derived from lake sedimentary archives indicate 1–2.5°C of warming during the MH relative to the 20th century, but most climate models do not replicate the warming observed in these paleoclimate data. We investigate this discrepancy using a new lake proxy system model, with attention to the (potentially non‐stationary) relationship between lake temperature and air temperature. We find amplified lake surface temperature changes compared to air temperature during the MH due to heightened seasonality and precessional forcing. Lacustrine processes account for some of the warming, and highlight how the lake heat budget leads to a rectification of the seasonal cycle; however, the simulated lake heating bias is insufficient to reconcile the full discrepancy between the models and the proxy‐derived MH warming. We find further evidence of changes in mixing depth over time, potentially driven by changes in cloud cover and shortwave radiative fluxes penetrating the lake surface. This may confound interpretation for glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraethers (GDGT) compounds which exist in the mixed layer, and suggests a need for independent constraints on mixed layer depth. This work provides a new interpretive framework for invaluable paleoclimate records of temperature changes over the African continent. 

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4. Similar Holocene glaciation histories in tropical South America and Africa

   https://doi.org/10.1130/G48059.1  

   Vickers, Anthony C.; Shakun, Jeremy D.; Goehring, Brent M.; Gorin, Andrew; Kelly, Meredith A.; Jackson, Margaret S.; Doughty, Alice; Russell, James (September 2020, Geology)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract Tropical glaciers have retreated alongside warming temperatures over the past century, yet the way in which these trends fit into a long-term geological context is largely unclear. Here, we present reconstructions of Holocene glacier extents relative to today from the Quelccaya ice cap (Peru) and the Rwenzori Mountains (Uganda) based on measurements of in situ14C and 10Be from recently exposed bedrock. Ice-extent histories are similar at both sites and suggest that ice was generally smaller than today during the first half of the Holocene and larger than today for most, if not all, of the past several millennia. The similar glaciation history in South America and Africa suggests that large-scale warming followed by cooling of the tropics during the late Holocene primarily drove ice extent, rather than regional changes in precipitation. Our results also imply that recent tropical ice retreat is anomalous in a multimillennial context. 

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5. An abrupt temperature and hydroclimate transition in eastern Africa during Termination V

   Ramirez, B.; Castañeda, I.S.; Salacup, J.M.; Johnson, T.C. (July 2023, XXI INQUA Congress)

   Over the last few million years, Africa’s climate exhibits a long-term drying trend with episodes of high climate variability coinciding with the intensification of glacial-interglacial cycles. Of particular interest, is a shift to drier and more variable conditions noted in the Olorgesailie Formation (Kenya) between 500 and 300 thousand years ago (ka) in which Potts et al. (2018) observed a turnover of ~85% of large-body mammalian fauna to smaller-body related taxa and suggested that the shift was an evolutionary response to better adapt to the changing climate. However, an erosional gap in the Olorgesailie record during this time interval means that the cause of this faunal shift is still an outstanding question. To understand East African climate variability during the Mid-Pleistocene, we analyze Lake Malawi drill core MAL 05–1 (~11ºS, 34ºE) to investigate if a specific climatic event stands out as a possible driver of the dramatic change observed in the East African mammal community. We use organic geochemical proxies including branched glycerol diaklyl glycerol tetraethers (brGDGTs; the MBT′5ME index) andleaf wax carbon and deuterium isotopes to develop high-resolution temperature, vegetation, and precipitation records, respectively, between 600 and 200 ka. Results show an abrupt temperature increase of ~9°C occurring in less than 3000 years during Glacial Termination V, which is the Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 12 to MIS 11 transition at ~330 ka. Preliminary leaf wax deuterium isotopic values show an enrichment that coincides with deglacial warmings suggesting a shift to more arid conditions during interglacial than in glacial periods. This change from a cold/wet glacial to a warm/dry interglacial contrast with the cool/dry pattern of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) in East Africa which transitioned to a warm/wet Holocene. Leaf wax carbon isotopes are presently being analyzed to understand past shifts in C3 vs C4 vegetation type, which can be related to climatic conditions. We propose that the major warming and drying during Termination V in East Africa represents a significant abrupt change in the climate of eastern Africa and was a likely driver of the major faunal turnover noted in the region. 

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