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1. Relationships of temperature and biodiversity with stability of natural aquatic food webs

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-38977-6  

   Zhao, Qinghua; Van den Brink, Paul J.; Xu, Chi; Wang, Shaopeng; Clark, Adam T.; Karakoç, Canan; Sugihara, George; Widdicombe, Claire E.; Atkinson, Angus; Matsuzaki, Shin-ichiro S.; et al (December 2023, Nature Communications)

   Abstract Temperature and biodiversity changes occur in concert, but their joint effects on ecological stability of natural food webs are unknown. Here, we assess these relationships in 19 planktonic food webs. We estimate stability as structural stability (using the volume contraction rate) and temporal stability (using the temporal variation of species abundances). Warmer temperatures were associated with lower structural and temporal stability, while biodiversity had no consistent effects on either stability property. While species richness was associated with lower structural stability and higher temporal stability, Simpson diversity was associated with higher temporal stability. The responses of structural stability were linked to disproportionate contributions from two trophic groups (predators and consumers), while the responses of temporal stability were linked both to synchrony of all species within the food web and distinctive contributions from three trophic groups (predators, consumers, and producers). Our results suggest that, in natural ecosystems, warmer temperatures can erode ecosystem stability, while biodiversity changes may not have consistent effects. 

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2. Mechanistic links between biodiversity effects on ecosystem functioning and stability in a multi‐site grassland experiment

   https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.13725  

   Yan, Ying; Connolly, John; Liang, Maowei; Jiang, Lin; Wang, Shaopeng (July 2021, Journal of Ecology)

   Abstract Although the positive effects of biodiversity on ecosystem functioning and stability have been extensively documented in the literature, previous studies have mostly explored the mechanisms of functioning and stability independently. It is unclear how biodiversity effects on functioning may covary with those on stability.Here we developed an integrated framework to explore links between mechanisms underlying biodiversity effects on functioning and those on stability. Specifically, biodiversity effects on ecosystem functioning were partitioned into complementarity effects (CE) and selection effects (SE), and those on stability were partitioned into species asynchrony and species stability. We investigated howCEandSEwere linked to species asynchrony and stability and how their links might be mediated by species evenness, using a multi‐site grassland experiment.Our mixed‐effects models showed that a higher community productivity was mainly due toCEand a higher community stability was mainly due to species asynchrony. Moreover,CEwas positively related to species asynchrony, thus leading to a positive association between ecosystem productivity and stability.We used a structural equation model to illustrate how species evenness might mediate links between the various mechanisms. Communities with a higher evenness exhibited a higherCEand species asynchrony, but a lowerSEand species stability. These evenness‐mediated associations enhanced the positive relationship betweenCEand species asynchrony, but blurred that betweenSEand species asynchrony.Synthesis. Our findings demonstrate mechanistic links between biodiversity effects on ecosystem functioning and stability. By doing so, our study contributes a novel framework for understanding ecological mechanisms of the functioning–stability relationship, which has important implications for developing management plans focused on strengthening synergies between ecosystem functioning and stability over the long term. 

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3. Plant traits modulate grassland stability during drought and post‐drought periods

   https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.14409  

   Luo, Wentao; Shi, Yuan; Wilkins, Kate; Song, Lin; Te, Niwu; Chen, Jiaqi; Zhang, Hongxiang; Yu, Qiang; Wang, Zhengwen; Han, Xingguo; et al (July 2023, Functional Ecology)

   Abstract Grasslands are subject to climate change, such as severe drought, and an important aspect of their functioning is temporal stability in response to extreme climate events. Previous research has explored the impacts of extreme drought and post‐drought periods on grassland stability, yet the mechanistic pathways behind these changes have rarely been studied.Here, we implemented an experiment with 4 years of drought and 3 years of recovery to assess the effects of drought and post‐drought on the temporal stability of above‐ground net primary productivity (ANPP) and its underlying mechanisms. To do so, we measured community‐weighted mean (CWM) of six plant growth and nine seed traits, functional diversity, population stability and species asynchrony across two cold, semiarid grasslands in northern China. We also performed piecewise structural equation models (SEMs) to assess the relationships between ANPP stability and its underlying mechanisms and how drought and post‐drought periods alter the relative contribution of these mechanisms to ANPP stability.We found that temporal stability of ANPP was not reduced during drought due to grasses maintaining productivity, which compensated for increased variation of forb productivity. Moreover, ANPP recovered rapidly after drought, and both grasses and forbs contributed to community stability during the post‐drought period. Overall, ANPP stability decreased during the combined drought and post‐drought periods because of rapid changes in ANPP from drought to post‐drought. SEMs revealed that the temporal stability of ANPP during drought and post‐drought periods was modulated by functional diversity and community‐weighted mean traits directly and indirectly by altering species asynchrony and population stability. Specifically, the temporal stability of ANPP was positively correlated with functional divergence of plant communities. CWMs of seed traits (e.g. seed width and thickness), rather than plant growth traits (e.g. specific leaf area and leaf nutrient content), stabilized grassland ANPP. Productivity of plant communities with large and thick seeds was less sensitive to precipitation changes over time.These results emphasize the importance of considering both the functional trait distribution among species and seed traits of dominant species since their combined effects can stabilize ecosystem functions under global climate change scenarios. Read the freePlain Language Summaryfor this article on the Journal blog. 

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4. Nitrogen and CO2 enrichment interact to decrease biodiversity impact on complementarity and selection effects

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-62691-0  

   Huang, Mengjiao; Reich, Peter B; Wang, Shaopeng; Feng, Yanhao; Hong, Pubin; Barry, Kathryn E; He, Miao; Lyu, Shengman; Zhou, Shurong; Mohanbabu, Neha; et al (December 2025, Nature Communications)

   Abstract Global environmental change is causing a decline in biodiversity with profound implications for ecosystem functioning and stability. It remains unclear how global change factors interact to influence the effects of biodiversity on ecosystem functioning and stability. Here, using data from a 24-year experiment, we investigate the impacts of nitrogen (N) addition, enriched CO₂(eCO₂), and their interactions on the biodiversity-ecosystem functioning relationship (complementarity effects and selection effects), the biodiversity-ecosystem stability relationship (species asynchrony and species stability), and their connections. We show that biodiversity remains positively related to both ecosystem productivity (functioning) and its stability under N addition and eCO₂. However, the combination of N addition and eCO₂diminishes the effects of biodiversity on complementarity and selection effects. In contrast, N addition and eCO₂do not alter the relationship between biodiversity and either species asynchrony or species stability. Under ambient conditions, both complementarity and selection effects are negatively related to species asynchrony, but neither are related to species stability; these links persist under N addition and eCO₂. Our study offers insights into the underlying processes that sustain functioning and stability of biodiverse ecosystems in the face of global change. 

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5. Climate and local environment structure asynchrony and the stability of primary production in grasslands

   https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13094  

   Gilbert, Benjamin; MacDougall, Andrew S.; Kadoya, Taku; Akasaka, Munemitsu; Bennett, Joseph R.; Lind, Eric M.; Flores‐Moreno, Habacuc; Firn, Jennifer; Hautier, Yann; Borer, Elizabeth T.; et al (April 2020, Global Ecology and Biogeography)

   Abstract AimClimate variability threatens to destabilize production in many ecosystems. Asynchronous species dynamics may buffer against such variability when a decrease in performance by some species is offset by an increase in performance of others. However, high climatic variability can eliminate species through stochastic extinctions or cause similar stress responses among species that reduce buffering. Local conditions, such as soil nutrients, can also alter production stability directly or by influencing asynchrony. We test these hypotheses using a globally distributed sampling experiment. LocationGrasslands in North America, Europe and Australia. Time periodAnnual surveys over 5 year intervals occurring between 2007 and 2014. Major taxa studiedHerbaceous plants. MethodsWe sampled annually the per species cover and aboveground community biomass [net primary productivity (NPP)], plus soil chemical properties, in 29 grasslands. We tested how soil conditions, combined with variability in precipitation and temperature, affect species richness, asynchrony and temporal stability of primary productivity. We used bivariate relationships and structural equation modelling to examine proximate and ultimate relationships. ResultsClimate variability strongly predicted asynchrony, whereas NPP stability was more related to soil conditions. Species richness was structured by both climate variability and soils and, in turn, increased asynchrony. Variability in temperature and precipitation caused a unimodal asynchrony response, with asynchrony being lowest at low and high climate variability. Climate impacted stability indirectly, through its effect on asynchrony, with stability increasing at higher asynchrony owing to lower inter‐annual variability in NPP. Soil conditions had no detectable effect on asynchrony but increased stability by increasing the mean NPP, especially when soil organic matter was high. Main conclusionsWe found globally consistent evidence that climate modulates species asynchrony but that the direct effect on stability is low relative to local soil conditions. Nonetheless, our observed unimodal responses to variability in temperature and precipitation suggest asynchrony thresholds, beyond which there are detectable destabilizing impacts of climate on primary productivity. 

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