An official website of the United States government
Abstract Arctic cyclones (ACs) are a primary driver of surface weather in the Arctic, contributing to heat and moisture transport and forcing short-term sea ice variability. Still, our understanding of the processes that drive ACs, particularly their large scales and long lifetimes, is limited. ACs are commonly associated with one or more cyclonic tropopause polar vortices (TPVs), potential vorticity (PV) anomalies in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere that may spur baroclinic development in the surface system, though the exact processes that link the two have yet to be fully explored. In this study, we investigate physical links between TPVs, especially their mesoscale structure and moisture profiles, and ACs with idealized observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs). Starting with a nature run, we simulate different types of dropsonde observations over a TPV during the nascent phase of a nearby AC. The Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) and the Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART) ensemble adjustment Kalman filter are then used to run experiments to test the impact of these detailed TPV observations. In addition to a control, five main experiments are conducted, assimilating new observations of temperature and humidity. All experiments reduce forecast errors at the surface and throughout the troposphere. Additional humidity observations alter vertical PV distributions, which in turn impact the development of the AC. Experiments with additional temperature observations exhibit improvements in TPV structure and surrounding PV features and produce stronger surface cyclones with skillful TPV forecasts for up to 36 h longer than the control. Significance StatementArctic cyclones (ACs) are a weather feature that can produce high winds, precipitation, and changes to sea ice cover in the Arctic. As a result, forecasting these storms accurately is important for human and economic interests in the region; however, there are currently gaps in our understanding of how ACs strengthen and persist. In this study, we explore potential links between ACs and weather features higher up in the atmosphere called tropopause polar vortices (TPVs) using computer modeling experiments. This study shows that there are important connections between the characteristics of TPVs and the development of ACs. These findings will be useful for making more accurate forecasts of future events and advancing our knowledge of how sea ice changes relate to the atmosphere.
more »
« less
Track Files with Characteristics and Accompanying Atmospheric Data for Long Track Tropopause Polar Vortices from 1979-2018
Tropopause polar vortices (TPVs) are closed circulations centered on the tropopause that form and predominately reside in high latitudes. Due to their attendant flow, TPVs have been shown to influence surface weather features, and thus, a greater understanding of the dynamics of these features may improve our ability to forecast impactful weather events. These data include a subset of TPVs that have lifetimes of longer than two weeks (the 95th percentile of all TPV cases between 1979 and 2018); these long-lived vortices offer a unique opportunity to study the conditions under which TPVs strengthen and analyze patterns of vortex formation and movement. These data use ERA-Interim, along with TPV tracks derived from the same reanalysis, including data on the formation, motion, and development of these long-lived vortices. Data also include long-lived TPVs that form predominately by splitting from existing vortices. Data from non-likely split genesis events are also included. Seasonal variations in the life cycles of long-lived vortices are included.
more »
« less
- Award ID(s):
- 1918557
- PAR ID:
- 10568234
- Publisher / Repository:
- NSF Arctic Data Center
- Date Published:
- Subject(s) / Keyword(s):
- tropopause polar vortex TPV Arctic meteorology long-lived tropopause polar vortex
- Format(s):
- Medium: X Other: text/xml
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
null (Ed.)Abstract Mid-latitude jet streaks are known to produce conditions broadly supportive of tornado outbreaks, including forcing for large-scale ascent, increased wind shear, and decreased static stability. Although many processes may initiate a jet streak, we focus here on the development of jet maxima by interactions between the polar jet and tropopause polar vortices (TPVs). Originating from the Arctic, TPVs are long-lived circulations on the tropopause, which can be advected into the mid-latitudes. We hypothesize that when these vortices interact with the jet, they may contribute supplemental forcing for ascent and shear to tornado outbreaks, assuming other environmental conditions supportive of tornado development exist. Using a case set of significant tornado outbreak days from three states—Oklahoma, Illinois, and Alabama—we show that a vortex-jet streak structure is present (within 1250 km) in around two-thirds of tornado outbreaks. These vortices are commonly Arctic in origin (i.e., are TPVs) and are advected through a consistent path of entry into the mid-latitudes in the week before the outbreak, moving across the Northern Pacific and into the Gulf of Alaska before turning equatorward along the North American coast. These vortices are shown to be more intense and longer-lived than average. We further demonstrate that statistically significant patterns of wind shear, quasi-geostrophic forcing for ascent, and low static stability are present over the outbreak regions on the synoptic scale. In addition, we find that TPVs associated with tornadic events occur most often in the spring and are associated with greater low-level moisture when compared to non-tornadic TPV cases.more » « less
-
This repository includes all data used in the writing of "Characteristics of long-track tropopause polar vortices," published in Weather and Climate Dynamics in March 2022 with doi https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-251-2022. These files, along with the ERA-Interim atmospheric reanalysis, should be sufficient to replicate all figures and tables produced in that publication. Data formats include csv, txt, and npy/nzp files that can be opened with the Numpy Python package.more » « less
-
Thermophotovoltaic (TPV) cells generate electricity by converting infrared radiation emitted by a hot thermal source. Air-bridge TPVs have demonstrated enhanced power conversion efficiencies by recuperating a large amount of power carried by below-bandgap (out-of-band) photons. Here, we demonstrate single-junction InGaAs(P) air-bridge TPVs that exhibit up to 44% efficiency under 1435°C blackbody illumination. The air-bridge design leads to near-unity reflectance (97-99%) of out-of-band photons for ternary and quaternary TPVs whose bandgaps range from 0.74 to 1.1 eV. These results suggest the applicability of the air-bridge cells to a range of semiconductor systems suitable for electricity generation from thermal sources found in both consumer and industrial applications, including thermal batteries.more » « less
-
Abstract The meteorological characteristics associated with thunderstorm top turbulence and tropical cyclone (TC) gigantic jets (GJ) are investigated. Using reanalysis data and observations, the large-scale environment and storm top structure of three GJ-producing TCs are compared to three non-GJ oceanic thunderstorms observed via low-light camera. Evidence of gravity wave breaking is manifest in the IR satellite images with cold ring and enhanced-V signatures prevalent in TCs Hilda and Harvey and embedded warm spots in the Dorian and Null storms. Statistics from an additional six less prodigious GJ environments are also included as a baseline. Distinguishing features of the TC GJ environment include higher tropopause, colder brightness temperatures, more stable lower stratosphere/distinct tropopause and reduced tropopause penetration. These factors support enhanced gravity wave (GW) breaking near the cloud top (overshoot). The advantage of a higher tropopause is that both electrical conductivity and GW breaking increase with altitude and thus act in tandem to promote charge dilution by increasing the rate at which the screening layer forms as well as enhancing the storm top mixing. The roles of the upper level ambient flow and shear are less certain. Environments with significant upper tropospheric shear may compensate for a lower tropopause by reducing the height of the critical layer which would also promote more intense GW breaking and turbulence near the cloud top.more » « less
