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1. Assessing the effectiveness of vegetation indices in detecting forest disturbances in the southeast Amazon

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-77924-3  

   Marques, Eduardo Q; Silvério, Divino V; Galvão, Lenio S; Aragão, Luiz_E_O C; Uribe, Maria R; Macedo, Marcia N; Rattis, Ludmila; Alencar, Ane_A C; Brando, Paulo M (December 2024, Scientific Reports)

   Amazon forests are becoming increasingly vulnerable to disturbances such as droughts, fires, windstorms, logging, and forest fragmentation, all of which lead to forest degradation. Nevertheless, quantifying the extent and severity of disturbances and their cumulative impact on forest degradation remains a significant challenge. In this study, we combined multispectral data from Landsat sensors with hyperspectral data from the Earth Observing-One (Hyperion/EO-1) sensor to evaluate the efficacy of multiple vegetation indices in detecting forest responses to disturbances in an experimentally burned forest in southeastern Amazonia. Our experimental area was adjacent to an agricultural field and consisted of three 50-ha treatments – an unburned Control, a plot burned every three years, and a plot burned annually from 2004 to 2010. All plots were monitored to assess vegetation recovery after fire disturbance. These areas were also affected by three drought events (2007, 2010, and 2016) over the study period. We evaluated a total of 18 Vegetation Indices (VI), one unique to Landsat, 12 unique to Hyperion/EO-1, and five commons to both satellites (i.e., 6 total from Landsat and 17 from Hyperion). We used linear models (LM) to evaluate how changes in ground observations of forest structure (biomass, leaf area index [LAI], and litter production) associated with fire were captured by the two VIs most sensitive to forest degradation. Our results indicate that the Plant Senescence Reflectance Index (PSRI) derived from Hyperion/EO-1 was the most sensitive to vegetation changes associated with forest fires, increasing by 94% in burned vs. unburned forests. Of the Landsat-derived VIs, we found that the Green-Red Normalized Difference (GRND) were the most sensitive to forest degradation by fire, showing a marked decline (87%) in the burned plots compared with the unburned Control. However, compared to PSRI, the GRND was a better predictor of changes associated with fire, both in the forest interior or forest edge, for the three ground variables: biomass stocks (r2 =0.5–0.8), LAI (r2=0.8–0.9), and litter production (r2=0.4–0.7). This study demonstrate that VIs can detect forest responses to fire and other disturbances over time, highlighting the relative strengths of each VI. In doing so, it shows how the integration of multispectral and hyperspectral data can be useful for monitoring tropical forest degradation and recovery. Moreover, it provides valuable insights into the limitations of existing approaches, which can inform the design of next-generation sensors for global forest monitoring. 

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2. Eco-hydrological responses to recent droughts in tropical South America

   https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac507a  

   Jiang, Yelin; Yang, Meijian; Liu, Weiguang; Mohammadi, Koushan; Wang, Guiling (February 2022, Environmental Research Letters)

   Abstract This study assesses the ecohydrological effects of recent meteorological droughts in tropical South America based on multiple sources of data, and investigates the possible mechanisms underlying the drought response and recovery of different ecohydrological systems. Soil drought response and recovery lag behind the meteorological drought, with delays longer in the dry region (Nordeste) than in the wet region (Amazonia), and longer in deep soil than in shallow soil. Evapotranspiration (ET) and vegetation in Nordeste are limited by water under normal conditions and decrease promptly in response to the onset of shallow soil drought. In most of the Amazon where water is normally abundant, ET and vegetation indices follow an increase-then-decrease pattern, increase at the drought onset due to increased sunshine and decrease when the drought is severe enough to cause a shift from an energy-limited regime to a water-limited regime. After the demise of meteorological droughts, ET and vegetation rapidly recover in Nordeste with the replenishment of shallow soil moisture (SM), but take longer to recover in southern Amazon due to their dependence on deep SM storage. Following severe droughts, the negative anomalies of ET and vegetation indices in southern Amazon tend to persist well beyond the end of soil drought, indicating drought-induced forest mortality that is slow to recover from. Findings from this study may have implications on the possibility of a future forest dieback as drought is projected to become more frequent and more severe in a warmer climate. 

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3. A climatic dipole drives short- and long-term patterns of postfire forest recovery in the western United States

   https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2007434117  

   Littlefield, Caitlin E.; Dobrowski, Solomon Z.; Abatzoglou, John T.; Parks, Sean A.; Davis, Kimberley T. (November 2020, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences)

   null (Ed.)

   Researchers are increasingly examining patterns and drivers of postfire forest recovery amid growing concern that climate change and intensifying fires will trigger ecosystem transformations. Diminished seed availability and postfire drought have emerged as key constraints on conifer recruitment. However, the spatial and temporal extent to which recurring modes of climatic variability shape patterns of postfire recovery remain largely unexplored. Here, we identify a north–south dipole in annual climatic moisture deficit anomalies across the Interior West of the US and characterize its influence on forest recovery from fire. We use annually resolved establishment models from dendrochronological records to correlate this climatic dipole with short-term postfire juvenile recruitment. We also examine longer-term recovery trajectories using Forest Inventory and Analysis data from 989 burned plots. We show that annual postfire ponderosa pine recruitment probabilities in the northern Rocky Mountains (NR) and the southwestern US (SW) track the strength of the dipole, while declining overall due to increasing aridity. This indicates that divergent recovery trajectories may be triggered concurrently across large spatial scales: favorable conditions in the SW can correspond to drought in the NR that inhibits ponderosa pine establishment, and vice versa. The imprint of this climatic dipole is manifest for years postfire, as evidenced by dampened long-term likelihoods of juvenile ponderosa pine presence in areas that experienced postfire drought. These findings underscore the importance of climatic variability at multiple spatiotemporal scales in driving cross-regional patterns of forest recovery and have implications for understanding ecosystem transformations and species range dynamics under global change. 

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4. Long‐term drought promotes invasive species by reducing wildfire severity

   https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.4265  

   Kimball, Sarah; Rath, Jessica; Coffey, Julie E; Perea‐Vega, Moises R; Walsh, Matthew; Fiore, Nicole M; Ta, Priscilla M; Schmidt, Katharina T; Goulden, Michael L; Allison, Steven D (April 2024, Ecology)

   Abstract Anthropogenic climate change has increased the frequency of drought, wildfire, and invasions of non‐native species. Although high‐severity fires linked to drought can inhibit recovery of native vegetation in forested ecosystems, it remains unclear how drought impacts the recovery of other plant communities following wildfire. We leveraged an existing rainfall manipulation experiment to test the hypothesis that reduced precipitation, fuel load, and fire severity convert plant community composition from native shrubs to invasive grasses in a Southern California coastal sage scrub system. We measured community composition before and after the 2020 Silverado wildfire in plots with three rainfall treatments. Drought reduced fuel load and vegetation cover, which reduced fire severity. Native shrubs had greater prefire cover in added water plots compared to reduced water plots. Native cover was lower and invasive cover was higher in postfire reduced water plots compared to postfire added and ambient water plots. Our results demonstrate the importance of fuel load on fire severity and plant community composition on an ecosystem scale. Management should focus on reducing fire frequency and removing invasive species to maintain the resilience of coastal sage scrub communities facing drought. In these communities, controlled burns are not recommended as they promote invasive plants. 

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5. Forest Management Under Megadrought: Urgent Needs at Finer Scale and Higher Intensity

   https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2020.502669  

   Field, Jason P.; Breshears, David D.; Bradford, John B.; Law, Darin J.; Feng, Xiao; Allen, Craig D. (December 2020, Frontiers in Forests and Global Change)

   null (Ed.)

   Drought and warming increasingly are causing widespread tree die-offs and extreme wildfires. Forest managers are struggling to improve anticipatory forest management practices given more frequent, extensive, and severe wildfire and tree die-off events triggered by “hotter drought”—drought under warmer than historical conditions. Of even greater concern is the increasing probability of multi-year droughts, or “megadroughts”—persistent droughts that span years to decades, and that under a still-warming climate, will also be hotter than historical norms. Megadroughts under warmer temperatures are disconcerting because of their potential to trigger more severe forest die-off, fire cycles, pathogens, and insect outbreaks. In this Perspective, we identify potential anticipatory and/or concurrent options for non-timber forest management actions under megadrought, which by necessity are focused more at finer spatial scales such as the stand level using higher-intensity management. These management actions build on silvicultural practices focused on growth and yield (but not harvest). Current management options that can be focused at finer scales include key silvicultural practices: selective thinning; use of carefully selected forward-thinking seed mixes; site contouring; vegetation and pest management; soil erosion control; and fire management. For the extreme challenges posed by megadroughts, management will necessarily focus even more on finer-scale, higher-intensity actions for priority locations such as fostering stand refugia; assisted stand recovery via soil amendments; enhanced root development; deep soil water retention; and shallow water impoundments. Drought-induced forest die-off from megadrought likely will lead to fundamental changes in the structure, function, and composition of forest stands and the ecosystem services they provide. 

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