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The Caribbean through-flow (CTF) is a vital component of Earth’s climate system, facilitating and impacted by heat and salt fluxes from major circulation systems like the North Atlantic Subtropical Gyre (NASTG) and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Here, we show significant changes have occurred in upper ocean water mass properties of the CTF since 1960, including subsurface warming of ~ 0.2 °C decade−1, surface freshening of ~ 0.13 g kg−1 decade−1, and subsurface salinification of ~ 0.05 g kg−1 decade−1. In the upper 0–200 m, temperature and stability increases are nearly 3 and 20 times larger than globally averaged trends, respectively, with implications for tropical cyclones, sea level rise, and marine ecosystems. We show these upper ocean changes are likely impacting water mass formation in the NASTG, thereby indirectly influencing the AMOC. These findings highlight the CTF as a bottleneck for climatically important water masses and emphasize the need for sustained subsurface observations here.
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This content will become publicly available on January 1, 2026
Monitoring Impacts of the Gulf Stream and its Rings on the Physics, Chemistry, and Biology of the Middle Atlantic Bight Shelf and Slope from CMV Oleander
Sustained observation is key to measuring physical and ecological variability in the Northwest Atlantic. Here we illustrate how a partnership with a merchant marine container vessel in service between New Jersey and Bermuda twice per week gives scientists a unique window into upper ocean currents, water properties, and marine ecology. Scientific observations collected from CMV Oleander, operated by Bermuda Container Line/Neptune Group, enable cross-disciplinary research, complement satellite measurements, and contribute to global observing programs—including the Global eXpendable BathyThermograph (XBT) Network, the Surface Ocean CO2 Atlas (SOCAT), and the Continuous Plankton Recorder (CPR) Survey. Recent co-located measurements along the Oleander Line document that fronts in temperature, salinity, and carbon dioxide concentrations align with the (sub)mesoscale circulation patterns. The sustained observations show warming and shrinking of the Slope Sea, a northward shift of the Gulf Stream, and warming of the “18°C water” (subtropical North Atlantic mode water) to 19°C.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2241601
- PAR ID:
- 10573261
- Publisher / Repository:
- Oceanography
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Oceanography
- ISSN:
- 1042-8275
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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