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1. Variation in body size drives spatial and temporal variation in lobster–urchin interaction strength

   https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.13918  

   DiFiore, Bartholomew P.; Stier, Adrian C. (May 2023, Journal of Animal Ecology)

   Abstract How strongly predators and prey interact is both notoriously context dependent and difficult to measure. Yet across taxa, interaction strength is strongly related to predator size, prey size and prey density, suggesting that general cross‐taxonomic relationships could be used to predict how strongly individual species interact.Here, we ask how accurately do general size‐scaling relationships predict variation in interaction strength between specific species that vary in size and density across space and time?To address this question, we quantified the size and density dependence of the functional response of the California spiny lobsterPanulirus interruptus, foraging on a key ecosystem engineer, the purple sea urchinStrongylocentrotus purpuratus, in experimental mesocosms. Based on these results, we then estimated variation in lobster–urchin interaction strength across five sites and 9 years of observational data. Finally, we compared our experimental estimates to predictions based on general size‐scaling relationships from the literature.Our results reveal that predator and prey body size has the greatest effect on interaction strength when prey abundance is high. Due to consistently high urchin densities in the field, our simulations suggest that body size—relative to density—accounted for up to 87% of the spatio‐temporal variation in interaction strength. However, general size‐scaling relationships failed to predict the magnitude of interactions between lobster and urchin; even the best prediction from the literature was, on average, an order of magnitude (+18.7×) different than our experimental predictions.Harvest and climate change are driving reductions in the average body size of many marine species. Anticipating how reductions in body size will alter species interactions is critical to managing marine systems in an ecosystem context. Our results highlight the extent to which differences in size‐frequency distributions can drive dramatic variation in the strength of interactions across narrow spatial and temporal scales. Furthermore, our work suggests that species‐specific estimates for the scaling of interaction strength with body size, rather than general size‐scaling relationships, are necessary to quantitatively predict how reductions in body size will alter interaction strengths. 

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2. Range‐wide study in a sexually polymorphic wild strawberry reveals climatic and soil associations of sex ratio, sexual dimorphism and sex chromosomes

   https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.70056  

   Cullen, Nevin; Richardson, Ethan; Budinsky, Trezalka; Reeb, Rachel; Mortimer, Sebastian; Liston, Aaron; Ashman, Tia‐Lynn (July 2025, Journal of Ecology)

   Abstract Climatic and soil features influence resources and mate availability for plants. Because of different resource/mating demands of the male and female reproductive pathways, environmental variation can drive geographic patterns of sex‐specific factors in sexually polymorphic species. Yet, the relationship between environment and sex, sexual dimorphism or sex chromosomes at the range‐wide scale is underexamined.Using ~7000 herbarium and iNaturalist specimens we generate a landscape‐scale understanding of how sex ratio and sexual dimorphism vary with geographic, climatic and soil gradients in the sexually polymorphic wild strawberry (Fragaria virginiana) and test whether these conform to predictions from theory. Then, for ~300 specimens we use genotyping of the sex‐determining region (SDR haplotypes) to reveal geographic and phenotypic patterns in sex chromosome types.Across North America, the sex ratio was hermaphrodite/male‐biased and was associated more with soil attributes than climate. Sex ratio‐environment associations matched predictions for subdioecy in the West but for gynodioecy in the East. Climatic factors correlated with sexual dimorphism in traits related to carbon acquisition (leaf size and runnering while flowering) but not mate access (petal size, flowering time). Variation in sexual dimorphism was due to one sex being more responsive to the environmental variation than the other. Specifically, leaf length in females was more responsive to variation in precipitation than in hermaphrodite/males, but the probability of runnering while flowering in hermaphrodite/males was more responsive to variation in temperature than in females. The ancestral sex chromosome type was most common overall. But the frequency of the more derived sex chromosomes varied with environmental factors that differed between East–West regions.Synthesis. A landscape‐level perspective revealed that variation in soil and climate factors can explain geospatial variation in sex ratio and sexual dimorphism in a wild strawberry. Variation in sex ratio was associated more with soil resources than climate, while variation in sexual dimorphism was the result of sex‐differential responses to climate for vegetative traits but a similar response to abiotic factors in mate access traits. Finally, sex chromosome types were associated with soil moisture and precipitation in ways that could contribute to the evolution of sex determination. 

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3. Droughts reshape apex predator space use and intraguild overlap

   https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.14192  

   West, Leigh; Rafiq, Kasim; Converse, Sarah J; Wilson, Alan M; Jordan, Neil R; Golabek, Krystyna A; McNutt, J Weldon; Abrahms, Briana (November 2024, Journal of Animal Ecology)

   Abstract Droughts are increasing in frequency and severity globally due to climate change, leading to changes in resource availability that may have cascading effects on animal ecology. Resource availability is a key driver of animal space use, which in turn influences interspecific interactions like intraguild competition. Understanding how climate‐induced changes in resource availability influence animal space use, and how species‐specific responses scale up to affect intraguild dynamics, is necessary for predicting broader community‐level responses to climatic changes.Although several studies have demonstrated the ecological impacts of drought, the behavioural responses of individuals that scale up to these broader‐scale effects are not well known, particularly among animals in top trophic levels like large carnivores. Furthermore, we currently lack understanding of how the impacts of climate variability on individual carnivore behaviour are linked to intraguild dynamics, in part because multi‐species datasets collected at timescales relevant to climatic changes are rare.Using 11 years of GPS data from four sympatric large carnivore species in southern Africa—lions (Panthera leo), leopards (Panthera pardus), African wild dogs (Lycaon pictus) and cheetahs (Acinonyx jubatus)—spanning 4 severe drought events, we test whether drought conditions impact (1) large carnivore space use, (2) broad‐scale intraguild spatial overlap and (3) fine‐scale intraguild interactions.Drought conditions expanded space use across species, with carnivores increasing their monthly home range sizes by 35% (wild dogs) to 66% (leopards). Drought conditions increased the amount of spatial overlap between lions and subordinate felids (cheetahs and leopards) by up to 119%, but only lion‐cheetah encounter rates were affected by these changes, declining in response to drought.Our findings reveal that drought has a clear signature on the space use of multiple sympatric large carnivore species, which can alter spatiotemporal partitioning between competing species. Our study thereby illuminates the links between environmental change, animal behaviour and intraguild dynamics. While fine‐scale avoidance strategies may facilitate intraguild coexistence during periodic droughts, large carnivore conservation may require considerable expansion of protected areas or revised human‐carnivore coexistence strategies to accommodate the likely long‐term increased space demands of large carnivores under projected increases in drought intensity. 

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4. Mutational load and adaptive variation are shaped by climate and species range dynamics in Vitis arizonica

   https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.70238  

   Fiscus, Christopher J; Aguirre‐Liguori, Jonás A; Gaut, Garren_R J; Gaut, Brandon S (July 2025, New Phytologist)

   Summary Genetic load can reduce fitness and hinder adaptation. While its genetic underpinnings are well established, the influence of environmental variation on genetic load is less well characterized, as is the relationship between genetic load and putatively adaptive genetic variation. This study examines the interplay among climate, species range dynamics, adaptive variation, and mutational load – a genomic measure of genetic load – inVitis arizonica, a wild grape native to the American Southwest.We estimated mutational load and identified climate‐associated adaptive genetic variants in 162 individuals across the species' range. Using a random forest model, we analyzed the relationship between mutational load, climate, and range shifts.Our findings linked mutational load to climatic variation, historical dispersion, and heterozygosity. Populations at the leading edge of range expansion harbored higher load and fewer putatively adaptive alleles associated with climate. Climate projections suggest thatV. arizonicawill expand its range by the end of the century, accompanied by a slight increase in mutational load at the population level.This study advances understanding of how environmental and geographic factors shape genetic load and adaptation, highlighting the need to integrate deleterious variation into broader models of species response to climate change. 

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5. Ecological niche models based on occurrence records of the amphibian chytrid fungus overestimate lethal chytridiomycosis risk

   https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.70022  

   Thumsová, Barbora; Zarzo‐Arias, Alejandra; Roces‐Díaz, José V; Martínez‐Silvestre, Albert; Rohr, Jason R; Bosch, Jaime (April 2025, Journal of Applied Ecology)

   Abstract Ecological niche models (ENMs) have been used frequently to predict the distribution and future spread of the pathogenic chytrid fungusBatrachochytrium dendrobatidis(Bd). Based on the assumption that chytridiomycosis outbreaks are most likely to occur where the conditions are ideal for Bd, many studies have identified high‐risk areas for chytridiomycosis and its associated mortality risk using only known Bd occurrences. However, the presence of a pathogen does not necessarily indicate high infection, disease or associated mortality.We used the BIOMOD2 package implemented in R, 19 bioclimatic variables, and 267 locality records, covering three levels of infection progress (occurrence, high infection loads and disease‐associated mortality), to calculate the potential areas where: (1) Bd is likely to be present, (2) amphibians are prone to harbour high infections and (3) chytridiomycosis‐related mortalities are likely to occur. We evaluate discrepancies among the three potential areas projected by the models, encompassing their spatial extent and associated environmental conditions.When all the Bd occurrences were used, the predicted area subjected to Bd risk covered 17% of the study area. However, when just mortality records were used, the predicted area decreased three‐fold. Notably, the three predicted areas only overlapped in 3% of the total study area, suggesting that the region at risk of mortality plus high infections constituted only one‐fifth of the predicted area for Bd presence. Mean temperature during the wettest and warmest 3 months of the year together with isothermality emerged as the most robust negative predictors in each of the three models.Synthesis and applications. Ecological niche models (ENMs) based on the presence data ofBatrachochytrium dendrobatidis(Bd) can overestimate the mortality risk of chytridiomycosis because the environmental conditions suitable for Bd presence do not always correspond to those conducive to significant host mortality. Distribution modelling can be a powerful tool when used correctly, and this study highlights the significance of careful data selection to ensure alignment with intended objectives. Considering the widespread use of ENMs to inform policy, meticulous design and comprehensive evaluation are imperative. 

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