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This paper develops a unified Lyapunov framework for finite-sample analysis of a Markovian stochastic approximation (SA) algorithm under a contraction operator with respect to an arbitrary norm. The main novelty lies in the construction of a valid Lyapunov function called the generalized Moreau envelope. The smoothness and an approximation property of the generalized Moreau envelope enable us to derive a one-step Lyapunov drift inequality, which is the key to establishing the finite-sample bounds. Our SA result has wide applications, especially in the context of reinforcement learning (RL). Specifically, we show that a large class of value-based RL algorithms can be modeled in the exact form of our Markovian SA algorithm. Therefore, our SA results immediately imply finite-sample guarantees for popular RL algorithms such as n-step temporal difference (TD) learning, TD(𝜆), off-policy V-trace, and Q-learning. As byproducts, by analyzing the convergence bounds of n-step TD and TD(𝜆), we provide theoretical insight into the problem about the efficiency of bootstrapping. Moreover, our finite-sample bounds of off-policy V-trace explicitly capture the tradeoff between the variance of the stochastic iterates and the bias in the limit.
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This content will become publicly available on February 20, 2026
Uncertainty quantification for Markov chains with application to temporal difference learning
Markov chains are fundamental to statistical machine learning, underpinning key methodologies such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling and temporal difference (TD) learning in reinforcement learning (RL). Given their widespread use, it is crucial to establish rigorous probabilistic guarantees on their convergence, uncertainty, and stability. In this work, we develop novel, high-dimensional concentration inequalities and Berry-Esseen bounds for vector- and matrix-valued functions of Markov chains, addressing key limitations in existing theoretical tools for handling dependent data. We leverage these results to analyze the TD learning algorithm, a widely used method for policy evaluation in RL. Our analysis yields a sharp high-probability consistency guarantee that matches the asymptotic variance up to logarithmic factors. Furthermore, we establish a O(T−14logT) distributional convergence rate for the Gaussian approximation of the TD estimator, measured in convex distance. These findings provide new insights into statistical inference for RL algorithms, bridging the gaps between classical stochastic approximation theory and modern reinforcement learning applications.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2505865
- PAR ID:
- 10631827
- Publisher / Repository:
- stat.ml
- Date Published:
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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