Soil organic carbon (SOC) represents the largest terrestrial carbon pool. Effectively monitoring SOC at high spatial resolution is crucial for estimating carbon budgets at the ecosystem scale and informing climate change mitigation efforts at the regional scale. Traditional soil sampling methods, however, are laborious and expensive. Remote sensing platforms can be used to survey large landscapes to meet the need for rapid and cost-effective approaches for quantifying SOC at landscape to regional scales, if relationships between remotely sensed variables and SOC can be established. We developed a workflow to analyze and predict SOC content based on National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) Airborne Observation Platform (AOP) remote sensing data. First, we benchmarked related tools and developed reproducible workflows using NEON remote sensing datasets. Hyperspectral data were extracted from the locations where NEON soil data exist. Additional variables from the LiDAR data and key metadata (climate and land cover) were extracted for those locations. Random Forest and Partial Least Squares Regression techniques were then used to create models for fine-scale SOC prediction. Cross-validation was embedded in the model creation step. The most important covariates were selected through recursive feature elimination, stepwise selection, and expert judgment. Preliminary results indicate that machine learning models can re-produce SOC measurements in testing datasets. Key predictors include topographic variables, vegetation indices, and specific wavelength bands in hyperspectral images. We are further validating our algorithms using SOC data from ISCN (International Soil Carbon Network) and SoDaH (SOils DAta Harmonization database) that are co-located with NEON sites. We are creating high-resolution SOC maps for 0-30 cm depth at NEON sites and testing our algorithms for different land use types. Our work paves the way for a broader assessment of SOC stocks using remote sensing observations, and our high-resolution SOC maps will potentially help quantify carbon budgets across heterogeneous landscapes.
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This content will become publicly available on August 1, 2026
Combining Observations and Models: A Review of the CARDAMOM Framework for Data‐Constrained Terrestrial Ecosystem Modeling
ABSTRACT The rapid increase in the volume and variety of terrestrial biosphere observations (i.e., remote sensing data and in situ measurements) offers a unique opportunity to derive ecological insights, refine process‐based models, and improve forecasting for decision support. However, despite their potential, ecological observations have primarily been used to benchmark process‐based models, as many past and current models lack the capability to directly integrate observations and their associated uncertainties for parameterization. In contrast, data assimilation frameworks such as the CARbon DAta MOdel fraMework (CARDAMOM) and its suite of process‐based models, known as the Data Assimilation Linked Ecosystem Carbon Model (DALEC), are specifically designed for model‐data fusion. This review, motivated by a recent CARDAMOM community workshop, examines the development and applications of CARDAMOM, with an emphasis on its role in advancing ecosystem process understanding. CARDAMOM employs a Bayesian approach, using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to enable data‐driven calibration of DALEC parameters and initial states (i.e., carbon pool sizes) through observation operators. CARDAMOM's unique ability to retrieve localized model process parameters from diverse datasets—ranging from in situ measurements to global satellite observations—makes it a highly flexible tool for analyzing spatially variable ecosystem responses to environmental change. However, assimilating these data also presents challenges, including data quality issues that propagate into model skill, as well as trade‐offs between model complexity, parameter equifinality, and predictive performance. We discuss potential solutions to these challenges, such as reducing parameter equifinality by incorporating new observations. This review also offers community recommendations for incorporating emerging datasets, integrating machine learning techniques, strengthening collaboration with remote sensing, field, and modeling communities, and expanding CARDAMOM's relevance for localized ecosystem monitoring and decision‐making. CARDAMOM enables a deep, mechanistic understanding of terrestrial ecosystem dynamics that cannot be achieved through empirical analyses of observational datasets or weakly constrained models alone.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2003205
- PAR ID:
- 10636691
- Author(s) / Creator(s):
- ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; more »
- Publisher / Repository:
- Wiley
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Global Change Biology
- Volume:
- 31
- Issue:
- 8
- ISSN:
- 1354-1013
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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