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Microbial populations generally evolve in volatile environments, under conditions fluctuating between harsh and mild, e.g. as the result of sudden changes in toxin concentration or nutrient abundance. Environmental variability (EV) thus shapes the long-time population dynamics, notably by influencing the ability of different strains of microorganisms to coexist. Inspired by the evolution of antimicrobial resistance, we study the dynamics of a community consisting of two competing strains subject to twofold EV. The level of toxin varies in time, favouring the growth of one strain under low drug concentration and the other strain when the toxin level is high. We also model time-changing resource abundance by a randomly switching carrying capacity that drives the fluctuating size of the community. While one strain dominates in a static environment, we show that species coexistence is possible in the presence of EV. By computational and analytical means, we determine the environmental conditions under which long-lived coexistence is possible and when it is almost certain. Notably, we study the circumstances under which environmental and demographic fluctuations promote, or hinder, the strains coexistence. We also determine how the make-up of the coexistence phase and the average abundance of each strain depend on the EV.
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This content will become publicly available on August 1, 2026
Integrating metabolic scaling and coexistence theories
Abstract Metabolic scaling theory has been pivotal in formalizing the expected energy expenditures across populations as a function of body size. Coexistence theory has provided a mathematization of the environmental conditions compatible with multispecies coexistence. Yet, it has been challenging to explain how observed community‐wide patterns, such as the inverse relationship between population abundance density and body size, can be unified under both theories. Here, we provide the foundation for a tractable, scalable, and extendable framework to study the coexistence of resource‐mediated competing populations as a function of their body size. For a given thermal domain and response, this integration reveals that the metabolically predicted 1/4 power dependence of carrying capacity of biomass density on body size can be understood as the average distribution of carrying capacities across feasible environmental conditions, especially for large communities. In line with empirical observations, our integration predicts that such average distribution leads to communities in which population biomass densities at equilibrium are independent from body size, and consequently, population abundance densities are inversely related to body size. This integration opens new opportunities to increase our understanding of how metabolic scaling relationships at the population level can shape processes at the community level under changing environments.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2133863
- PAR ID:
- 10645291
- Publisher / Repository:
- Wiley
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Ecology
- Volume:
- 106
- Issue:
- 8
- ISSN:
- 0012-9658
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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