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Abstract We consider particle-based stochastic reaction-drift-diffusion models where particles move via diffusion and drift induced by one- and two-body potential interactions. The dynamics of the particles are formulated as measure-valued stochastic processes (MVSPs), which describe the evolution of the singular, stochastic concentration fields of each chemical species. The mean field large population limit of such models is derived and proven, giving coarse-grained deterministic partial integro-differential equations (PIDEs) for the limiting deterministic concentration fields’ dynamics. We generalize previous studies on the mean field limit of models involving only diffusive motion, with care to formulating the MVSP representation to ensure detailed balance of reversible reactions in the presence of potentials. Our work illustrates the more general set of PIDEs that arise in the mean field limit, demonstrating that the limiting macroscopic reactive interaction terms for reversible reactions obtain additional nonlinear concentration-dependent coefficients compared to the purely diffusive case. Numerical studies are presented which illustrate that two-body repulsive potential interactions can have a significant impact on the reaction dynamics, and also demonstrate the empirical numerical convergence of solutions to the PBSRDD model to the derived mean field PIDEs as the population size increases.
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This content will become publicly available on September 1, 2026
Stochastic diffusion using mean-field limits to approximate master equations
Stochastic diffusion is the noisy process through which dynamics like epidemics, or agents like animal species, disperse over a larger area. These processes are increasingly important to better prepare for pandemics and as species ranges shift in response to climate change. Unfortunately, modelling is mostly done with expensive computational simulations or inaccurate deterministic tools that ignore the randomness of dispersal. We introduce ‘mean-FLAME’ models, tracking stochastic dispersion using approximate master equations to follow the probability distribution over all possible states of an area of interest, up to states active enough to be approximated using a mean-field model. In the limit where we track all states, this approach is locally exact, and in the other limit collapses to traditional deterministic models. In predator–prey systems, we show that tracking a handful of states around key absorbing states is sufficient to accurately model extinction. In disease models, we show that classic mean-field approaches underestimate the heterogeneity of epidemics. And in nonlinear dispersal models, we show that deterministic tools fail to capture the speed of spatial diffusion. These effects are all important for marginal areas that are close to unsuitable for diffusion, like the edge of a species range or epidemics in small populations.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2019470
- PAR ID:
- 10655887
- Publisher / Repository:
- Royal Society
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Royal Society Open Science
- Volume:
- 12
- Issue:
- 9
- ISSN:
- 2054-5703
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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