Abstract The frequency of salt marsh dieback events has increased over the last 25 years with unknown consequences to the resilience of the ecosystem to accelerated sea level rise (SLR). Salt marsh ecosystems impacted by sudden vegetation dieback events were previously thought to recover naturally within a few months to years. In this study, we used a 13‐year collection of remotely sensed imagery to provide evidence that approximately 14% of total marsh area has not revegetated 10 years after a dieback event in Charleston, SC. Dieback onset coincided with a severe drought in 2012, as indicated by the Palmer drought stress index. A second dieback event occurred in 2016 after a historic flood influenced by Hurricane Joaquin in 2015. Unvegetated zones reached nearly 30% of the total marsh area in 2017. We used a light detection and ranging‐derived digital elevation model to determine that most affected areas were associated with lower elevation zones in the interior of the marsh. Further, restoration by grass planting was effective, with pilot‐scale restored plots having greater aboveground biomass than reference sites after two years of transplanting. A positive outcome indicated that the stressors that caused the dieback are no longer present. Despite that, many affected areas have not recovered naturally, even though they are located within the typical elevation range of healthy marshes. A mechanistic modeling approach was used to assess the effects of vegetation dieback on salt marsh resilience to SLR. Predictions indicate that a highly productive restored marsh (2000 g m−2 year−1) would persist at a moderate SLR rate of 60 cm in 100 years, whereas a nonrestored mudflat would lose all its elevation capital after 100 years. Thus, rapid restoration of marsh dieback is critical to avoid further degradation. Also, failure to incorporate the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme climatic events that trigger irreversible marsh diebacks underestimates salt marsh vulnerability to climate change. Finally, at an elevated SLR rate of 122 cm in 100 years, which is most likely an extreme climate change scenario, even highly productive ecosystems augmented by sediment placement would not keep pace with SLR. Thus, climate change mitigation actions are also urgently needed to preserve present‐day marsh ecosystems.
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Recovery from drought‐induced dieback may lead to modified salt marsh vegetation composition
Abstract Salt marshes are vital but vulnerable ecosystems. However, our understanding of disturbance‐induced dieback and recovery processes in multi‐specific marshes remains limited. This study utilized remote sensing data (2001–2021) to analyze a dieback event and subsequent recovery in the multi‐specific San Felice marsh within the Venice lagoon, Italy. A significant dieback ofSpartina maritima(Spartina) was identified in 2003, likely triggered by a drought event and heat stress. This resulted in a conversion of 4.6 ha of marsh predominantly colonized bySpartina(fractional cover ofSpartina> 50%) in 2001 to bare soil in 2003. These bare areas were then gradually encroached by vegetation, indicating the occurrence of the recovery. Despite gradually gaining ground,Spartinaonly dominated 6.4 ha marshes in 2021, significantly lower than its pre‐dieback area (21.3 ha). However, other species also encroached on the dieback area, such that the aboveground biomass returned to pre‐dieback levels, indicating that the shift in marsh species composition that occurred as a consequence of the event compensated for this ecosystem service. Vegetation recovery, spanning from 1 yr to more than 18 yr, was found to be slowest in areas of lowest elevation. This study provides evidence that dieback and recovery can modify the species composition of multi‐specific marshes over decades. These insights contribute to a better understanding of marsh resilience to drought and elevated temperature, both of which are likely to increase in the future.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2016068
- PAR ID:
- 10659482
- Publisher / Repository:
- Wiley Periodicals LLC
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Limnology and Oceanography
- Volume:
- 70
- Issue:
- 3
- ISSN:
- 0024-3590
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 792 to 805
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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