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Night-side chorus waves are often observed during plasma sheet injections, typically confined around the equator and thus potentially responsible for precipitation of Ⲡ100đđđ electrons. However, recent low-altitude observations have revealed the critical role of chorus waves in scattering relativistic electrons on the night-side. This study presents a night-side relativistic electron precipitation event induced by chorus waves at the strong diffusion regime, as observed by the ELFIN CubeSats. Through event-based modeling of wave propagation under ducted or unducted regimes, we show that a density duct is essential for guiding chorus waves to high latitudes with minimal damping, thus enabling the strong night-side relativistic electron precipitation. These findings underline both the existence and the important role of density ducts in facilitating night-side relativistic electron precipitation.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available August 22, 2025
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Abstract The full spatiotemporal distribution of chorus waveâinduced relativistic electron microburst is modeled for chorus waves originated from different L shells and MLTs, based on the newly developed numerical precipitation model (Kang et al., 2022,https://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl100841). The waveâparticle interaction process that induces each microburst is analyzed in detail, and its relation to the chorus wave propagation effects is explained. The global distribution of maximum precipitation fluxes and scale sizes of relativistic microbursts is then obtained by modeling chorus waves at different Lâshells and local times. The characteristics of dawn and midnight sector microbursts have little difference, but the noon sector has much larger maximum flux and much smaller full width at half maximum, which may be due to dayside's low electron flux in the Landau resonance range. This suggests the controlling effect of keV electrons on the MeV electron precipitation intensity and properties and the overall relativistic electron loss in the outer radiation belt.more » « less
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Abstract The present study compares a singleâband chorus wave against a banded chorus wave observed by Van Allen Probes at adjacent times, and demonstrates that the singleâband chorus wave is associated with an anisotropic electron population over a broad energy range, while the banded chorus wave is accompanied by an electron phase space density plateau and an electron anisotropy reduction around Landau resonant energies. We further compare banded chorus waves with different spectral gap widths, and show that a wider spectral gap is associated with electron isotropization extending to higher energies with respect to the equatorial Landau resonant energy. We suggest that early generated chorus waves isotropize electrons via Landau resonant acceleration, and the waves that propagate to higher latitudes isotropize electrons at higher energies. The isotropization extending to higher energies leads to a larger spectral gap of new chorus waves after electrons bounce back to the equator.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available October 1, 2025
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Abstract We investigate the response of outer radiation belt electron fluxes to different solar wind and geomagnetic indices using an interpretable machine learning method. We reconstruct the electron flux variation during 19 enhancement and 7 depletion events and demonstrate the feature attribution analysis called SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) on the superposed epoch results for the first time. We find that the intensity and duration of the substorm sequence following an initial dropout determine the overall enhancement or depletion of electron fluxes, while the solar wind pressure drives the initial dropout in both types of events. Further statistical results from a data set with 71 events confirm this and show a significant correlation between the resulting flux levels and the average AL index, indicating that the observed âdepletionâ event can be more accurately described as a ânonâenhancementâ event. Our novel SHAPâEnhanced Superposed Epoch Analysis (SHESEA) method can offer insight in various physical systems.more » « less
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Electron-acoustic waves (EAWs) as well as electron-acoustic solitary structures play a crucial role in thermalization and acceleration of electron populations in Earth's magnetosphere. These waves are often observed in association with whistler-mode waves, but the detailed mechanism of EAW and whistler wave coupling is not yet revealed. We investigate the excitation mechanism of EAWs and their potential relation to whistler waves using particle-in-cell simulations. Whistler waves are first excited by electrons with a temperature anisotropy perpendicular to the background magnetic field. Electrons trapped by these whistler waves through nonlinear Landau resonance form localized field-aligned beams, which subsequently excite EAWs. By comparing the growth rate of EAWs and the phase mixing rate of trapped electron beams, we obtain the critical condition for EAW excitation, which is consistent with our simulation results across a wide region in parameter space. These results are expected to be useful in the interpretation of concurrent observations of whistler-mode waves and nonlinear solitary structures and may also have important implications for investigation of cross-scale energy transfer in the near-Earth space environment.more » « less
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Empirical models have been previously developed using the large dataset of satellite observations to obtain the global distributions of total electron density and whistler-mode wave power, which are important in modeling radiation belt dynamics. In this paper, we apply the empirical models to construct the total electron density and the wave amplitudes of chorus and hiss, and compare them with the observations along Van Allen Probes orbits to evaluate the model performance. The empirical models are constructed using the Hp30 and SME (or SML) indices. The total electron density model provides an overall high correlation coefficient with observations, while large deviations are found in the dynamic regions near the plasmapause or in the plumes. The chorus wave model generally agrees with observations when the plasma trough region is correctly modeled and for modest wave amplitudes of 10â100 pT. The model overestimates the wave amplitude when the chorus is not observed or weak, and underestimates the wave amplitude when a large-amplitude chorus is observed. Similarly, the hiss wave model has good performance inside the plasmasphere when modest wave amplitudes are observed. However, when the modeled plasmapause location does not agree with the observation, the model misidentifies the chorus and hiss waves compared to observations, and large modeling errors occur. In addition, strong (>200 pT) hiss waves are observed in the plumes, which are difficult to capture using the empirical model due to their transient nature and relatively poor sampling statistics. We also evaluate four metrics for different empirical models parameterized by different indices. Among the tested models, the empirical model considering a plasmapause and controlled by Hp* (the maximum Hp30 during the previous 24 h) and SME* (the maximum SME during the previous 3 h) or Hp* and SML has the best performance with low errors and high correlation coefficients. Our study indicates that the empirical models are applicable for predicting density and whistler-mode waves with modest power, but large errors could occur, especially near the highly-dynamic plasmapause or in the plumes.more » « less
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Abstract Understanding and forecasting outer radiation belt electron flux dropouts is one of the top concerns in space physics. By constructing Support Vector Machine (SVM) models to predict stormâtime dropouts for both relativistic and ultraârelativistic electrons overL = 4.0â6.0, we investigate the nonlinear correlations between various driving factors (model inputs) and dropouts (model output) and rank their relative importance. Only time series of geomagnetic indices and solar wind parameters are adopted as model inputs. A comparison of the performance of the SVM models that uses only one driving factor at a time enables us to identify the most informative parameter and its optimal length of time history. Its accuracy and the ability to correctly predict dropouts identifies the SYMâH index as the governing factor atL = 4.0â4.5, while solar wind parameters dominate the dropouts at higher Lâshells (L = 6.0). Our SVM model also gives good prediction of dropouts during completely outâofâsample storms.more » « less
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Hiss waves play an important role in removing energetic electrons from Earthâs radiation belts by precipitating them into the upper atmosphere. Compared to plasmaspheric hiss that has been studied extensively, the evolution and effects of plume hiss are less understood due to the challenge of obtaining their global observations at high cadence. In this study, we use a neural network approach to model the global evolution of both the total electron density and the hiss wave amplitudes in the plasmasphere and plume. After describing the model development, we apply the model to a storm event that occurred on 14 May 2019 and find that the hiss wave amplitude first increased at dawn and then shifted towards dusk, where it was further excited within a narrow region of high density, namely, a plasmaspheric plume. During the recovery phase of the storm, the plume rotated and wrapped around Earth, while the hiss wave amplitude decayed quickly over the nightside. Moreover, we simulated the overall energetic electron evolution during this storm event, and the simulated flux decay rate agrees well with the observations. By separating the modeled plasmaspheric and plume hiss waves, we quantified the effect of plume hiss on energetic electron dynamics. Our simulation demonstrates that, under relatively quiet geomagnetic conditions, the region with plume hiss can vary from L = 4 to 6 and can account for up to an 80% decrease in electron fluxes at hundreds of keV at L > 4 over 3 days. This study highlights the importance of including the dynamic hiss distribution in future simulations of radiation belt electron dynamics.more » « less
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Abstract Relativistic microbursts are impulsive, subâsecond precipitation bursts of relativistic electrons. They are one of the main loss mechanisms of outer radiation belt electrons, and are driven by chorus waves. The scale size of relativistic microbursts is still not fully understood. In this work a global modeling of the microburst spatial distribution is conducted to study the scale size of relativistic microburst induced by chorus waves. A primary precipitation burst is induced near the source region by quasiâparallel waves, and a secondary precipitation (SP) is induced on higher Lâshells by furtherâpropagating, oblique waves. The SP has a significant scale size even with a pointâsource assumption because of wave spreading due to propagation effect. The secondary relativistic microburst scale size is âź40(20) km on the counter (co)âstreaming side, consistent with previous observations. Our modeling results indicate chorus wave propagation effects are one of the primary factors controlling the relativistic microburst scale size.more » « less