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Construction materials generate nearly one-third of global carbon emissions, yet conventional accounting captures only a fraction of this impact. Using EXIOBASE data spanning 25 years, we tracked emissions across construction supply chains for cement, steel, metals, and plastics. While global construction demand nearly tripled, regional patterns diverged significantly. The EU reduced emissions despite increased demand through renewable energy adoption and emissions trading, while China’s construction boom—driving most global growth—significantly increased domestic emissions. Manufacturing contributes most to embodied emissions compared to resource extraction and waste treatment. Increased reliance on offshore production undermines domestic emission control strategies, highlighting the need for expanded carbon border adjustment mechanisms. Without policies addressing full supply chain emissions, even aggressive climate initiatives will be compromised by carbon leakage, creating an emissions trajectory incompatible with global climate targets.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available July 22, 2026
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Calcium silicates are abundant, but sparingly soluble, feedstocks of interest for making low-carbon alternative cements. Under hydrothermal and alkaline conditions, they can form crystalline calcium silicate hydrate (CCSH) products, which are abundant in Roman concrete, or they can form carbonates when CO2 is present. To understand when co-precipitation of CCSH and carbonate phases is possible, we studied the hydrothermal carbonation of a model calcium silicate, pseudowollastonite (-CaSiO3), at 150ºC and high pH as a function of CO2 source (CO2(g) or Na2CO3) and different concentrations of sodium, alumina, and silica. Our experiments produced a range of CCSH phases including tobermorite – 13Å, rhodesite, and pectolite, as early as one day after the start of our experiments. About 10.7% hydrated product was observed after 7 days of curing in 2 M NaOH solution. We also observed the formation of CaCO3 as both aragonite and calcite when carbon was introduced to our experimental system. The carbon source impacted the ratio of CaCO3 to CCSH phases in the reaction products. Availability of Na2CO3 produced a balance between CaCO3 and CCSH phases whereas CO2(g) produced more CaCO3 at about 36.4% by mass at the highest. Higher concentrations of Na+ increased precipitation of both CaCO3 and/or CCSH phases. The presence of excess silica, in the form of dissolved borosilicate glass from our reaction vessels under alkaline reaction conditions, also enhanced the formation of CCSH phases formed in some experiments. Supplemental Al2O3, a common constituent in many silicate feedstocks, also enhanced CCSH formation, likely by forming aluminum substituted phases under the conditions tested here. These chemical insights can be enabling in designing formulation and curing guidelines for novel cementitious materials.more » « less
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Abstract China has large, estimated potential for direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS) but its deployment locations and impacts at the subnational scale remain unclear. This is largely because higher spatial resolution studies on carbon dioxide removal (CDR) in China have focused mainly on bioenergy with carbon capture and storage. This study uses a spatially detailed integrated energy-economy-climate model to evaluate DACCS for 31 provinces in China as the country pursues its goal of climate neutrality by 2060. We find that DACCS could expand China’s negative emissions capacity, particularly under sustainability-minded limits on bioenergy supply that are informed by bottom-up studies. But providing low-carbon electricity for multiple GtCO2yr−1DACCS may require over 600 GW of additional wind and solar capacity nationwide and comprise up to 30% of electricity demand in China’s northern provinces. Investment requirements for DACCS range from $330 to $530 billion by 2060 but could be repaid manyfold in the form of avoided mitigation costs, which DACCS deployment could reduce by up to $6 trillion over the same period. Enhanced efforts to lower residual CO2emissions that must be offset with CDR under a net-zero paradigm reduce but do not eliminate the use of DACCS for mitigation. For decision-makers and the energy-economy models guiding them, our results highlight the value of expanding beyond the current reliance on biomass for negative emissions in China.more » « less
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