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Groundwater and surface water are interconnected in most climatic regions. Baseflow, the contribution of streamflow not directly associated with precipitation forcing, is a critical component of streamflow prediction and water resource allocation. Baseflow is often considered to be a low-frequency component of streamflow and many of the methods for estimating it are based on this premise. The climatic and physiographic attributes of a region will contribute to the low-flow behavior of its surface waterways. For example, baseflow in a snowmelt-driven basin may produce a distinct hydrologic signature compared to baseflow in a precipitation-driven basin.In this study, we developed a unique metric based on the variable drought threshold method (VDTM) for characterizing historical streamflow timeseries and performed cluster analysis on a large set of gages in the continental United States (CONUS). Our study goal was to observe correlations between low-flow characteristics and distinct hydrologic, physiographic, and climatic regions to provide insight into the underlying mechanisms influencing baseflow.The VDTM applies a non-exceedance percentile (NEP) computed based on the distribution of flow recorded at a stream gage over a given time frame (i.e., month, season) throughout the complete record of measurement. This study used daily streamflow records for 1,462 reference quality gages across the CONUS from the USGS GAGES-II data set; each gage contained at least 20 years of complete daily streamflow measurements. We computed the 10th NEP for each month at all 1,462 gages and normalized this value by the mean streamflow to develop the parameter r10. We performed K-means clustering on the monthly r10 values, forming seven clusters of low-flow behavior.We observed clusters with distinct low-flow behavior across different ecoregions related to possible mechanisms driving streamflow and baseflow in those regions. For example, a cluster located in the intermountain-west shows unique behavior largely seen nowhere else in the CONUS, possibly a result of the predominantly snowmelt-driven shallow subsurface flow that contributes to baseflow seen in that region. Conversely, clusters located in the Pacific Northwest and parts of the Appalachians show a different behavior, possibly a result of the predominantly rainfall-driven streamflow observed in those regions. Principal components analysis suggests that the critical months associated with clustered gages are during the summer (June, July) and winter (January, February).The spatial distribution of the clusters largely adheres to the defined physiographic and climatic regions of the CONUS despite the absence of any physiographic or climatic variables used for clustering, suggesting a possible linkage between these attributes and the low-flow behavior of surface waterways. Analysis of the trend and magnitude of r10 may provide insight into whether (and when) a stream is losing water to or gaining water from groundwater as well as the magnitude of the transfer. The results of this study suggest that using NEPs and the r10 metric may be an effective method for defining regionalization based on low-flow metrics.more » « less
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Abstract Precision agriculture (PA) has been defined as a “management strategy that gathers, processes and analyzes temporal, spatial and individual data and combines it with other information to support management decisions according to estimated variability for improved resource use efficiency, productivity, quality, profitability and sustainability of agricultural production.” This definition suggests that because PA should simultaneously increase food production and reduce the environmental footprint, the barriers to adoption of PA should be explored. These barriers include (1) the financial constraints associated with adopting decision support system (DSS); (2) the hesitancy of farmers to change from their trusted advisor to a computer program that often behaves as a black box; (3) questions about data ownership and privacy; and (4) the lack of a trained workforce to provide the necessary training to implement DSSs on individual farms. This paper also discusses the lessons learned from successful and unsuccessful efforts to implement DSSs, the importance of communication with end users during DSS development, and potential career opportunities that DSSs are creating in PA.more » « less
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Abstract Artificial intelligence (AI) represents technologies with human‐like cognitive abilities to learn, perform, and make decisions. AI in precision agriculture (PA) enables farmers and farm managers to deploy highly targeted and precise farming practices based on site‐specific agroclimatic field measurements. The foundational and applied development of AI has matured considerably over the last 30 years. The time is now right to engage seriously with the ethics and responsible practice of AI for the well‐being of farmers and farm managers. In this paper, we identify and discuss both challenges and opportunities for improving farmers’ trust in those providing AI solutions for PA. We highlight that farmers’ trust can be moderated by how the benefits and risks of AI are perceived, shared, and distributed. We propose four recommendations for improving farmers’ trust. First, AI developers should improve model transparency and explainability. Second, clear responsibility and accountability should be assigned to AI decisions. Third, concerns about the fairness of AI need to be overcome to improve human‐machine partnerships in agriculture. Finally, regulation and voluntary compliance of data ownership, privacy, and security are needed, if AI systems are to become accepted and used by farmers.more » « less
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