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Creators/Authors contains: "Ellsworth, William L"

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  1. ABSTRACT We measure maximum amplitudes in the time domain on recordings of the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence to convert ground-motion amplitudes to source spectra. To do this, we modify Richter’s local magnitude relation to measure frequency-dependent empirical amplitude-decay curves and station corrections for a series of narrowband time-domain filters. Peak displacement amplitude in each frequency band is used to construct the displacement spectrum. After correction for attenuation, we determine corner frequency and moment from the resulting source spectra. By this approach, we measure moment magnitudes reliably to as small as ML 1.0. We find stress drop increases with both depth and magnitude and discuss whether this could be an artifact through assumptions about the source, path, and site. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available January 9, 2026
  2. Abstract Earthquake location programs employ diverse approaches to address the challenges posed by incomplete knowledge and simplified representation of complex Earth structures. Assessing their reliability in location and uncertainty characterization remains challenging as benchmark datasets with known event locations are rare, and usually confined to particular sources, such as quarry blasts. This study evaluates eight earthquake location methods (GrowClust, HypoDD, Hypoinverse, HypoSVI, NonLinLoc, NonLinLoc_SSST, VELEST, and XCORLOC) through a controlled synthetic computational experiment on 1000 clustered earthquakes based on the setting of the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake sequence. We construct a travel-time dataset using the fast-marching method and a 3D velocity model extracted from the Community Velocity Model, supplemented with a von Karman perturbation to represent small-scale heterogeneity, and including elevation effects. Picking errors, phase availability, and outliers are introduced to mimic difficulties encountered in seismic network monitoring. We compare the location results from eight programs applied to the same travel-time dataset and 1D velocity structure against the ground-truth locations. For this aftershock sequence, our results reveal the superior accuracy and precision of differential time-based location methods compared to single-event location methods. The results validate the significance of compensating for deviations from assumed 1D velocity structure either by path or site correction modeling or by cancellation of unmodeled structure using differential arrival times. We also evaluate the uncertainty quantification of each program and find that most of the programs underestimate the errors. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 3, 2025
  3. Abstract The 2016–2017 central Italy seismic sequence occurred on an 80 km long normal-fault system. The sequence initiated with the Mw 6.0 Amatrice event on 24 August 2016, followed by the Mw 5.9 Visso event on 26 October and the Mw 6.5 Norcia event on 30 October. We analyze continuous data from a dense network of 139 seismic stations to build a high-precision catalog of ∼900,000 earthquakes spanning a 1 yr period, based on arrival times derived using a deep-neural-network-based picker. Our catalog contains an order of magnitude more events than the catalog routinely produced by the local earthquake monitoring agency. Aftershock activity reveals the geometry of complex fault structures activated during the earthquake sequence and provides additional insights into the potential factors controlling the development of the largest events. Activated fault structures in the northern and southern regions appear complementary to faults activated during the 1997 Colfiorito and 2009 L’Aquila sequences, suggesting that earthquake triggering primarily occurs on critically stressed faults. Delineated major fault zones are relatively thick compared to estimated earthquake location uncertainties, and a large number of kilometer-long faults and diffuse seismicity were activated during the sequence. These properties might be related to fault age, roughness, and the complexity of inherited structures. The rich details resolvable in this catalog will facilitate continued investigation of this energetic and well-recorded earthquake sequence. 
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  4. ABSTRACT Rapid association of seismic phases and event location are crucial for real‐time seismic monitoring. We propose a new method, named rapid earthquake association and location (REAL), for associating seismic phases and locating seismic events rapidly, simultaneously, and automatically. REAL combines the advantages of both pick‐based and waveform‐based detection and location methods. It associates arrivals of different seismic phases and locates seismic events primarily through counting the number of P and S picks and secondarily from travel‐time residuals. A group of picks are associated with a particular earthquake if there are enough picks within the theoretical travel‐time windows. The location is determined to be at the grid point with the most picks, and if multiple locations have the same maximum number of picks, the grid point among them with smallest travel‐time residuals. We refine seismic locations using a least‐squares location method (VELEST) and a high‐precision relative location method (hypoDD). REAL can be used for rapid seismic characterization due to its computational efficiency. As an example application, we apply REAL to earthquakes in the 2016 central Apennines, Italy, earthquake sequence occurring during a five‐day period in October 2016, midway in time between the two largest earthquakes. We associate and locate more than three times as many events (3341) as are in Italy's National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology routine catalog (862). The spatial distribution of these relocated earthquakes shows a similar but more concentrated pattern relative to the cataloged events. Our study demonstrates that it is possible to characterize seismicity automatically and quickly using REAL and seismic picks. 
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  6. Abstract Foreshocks provide valuable information on the nucleation process of an upcoming large earthquake. We applied high‐resolution similar‐waveform techniques for earthquake detection, location, and source parameter estimation to understand the space‐time evolution of a foreshock sequence and its relationship to the mainshock hypocenter. The 1999Mw7.1 Hector Mine, California, earthquake was preceded by 50 foreshocks (−0.4 ≤ M ≤ 3.7) during the 20 hr before the mainshock. Foreshock activity did not accelerate leading up to the mainshock. Their locations moved north with time, rupturing adjacent areas along the fault plane with little overlap, but remained within a compact <2 km3volume. The mainshock initiated at a location where previous foreshocks had locally increased the shear stress. These observations are consistent with a triggered cascade of stress transfer, where previous foreshocks load adjacent fault patches to rupture as additional foreshocks, and eventually the mainshock. 
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