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Traditional causal discovery methods mainly focus on estimating causal relations among measured variables, but in many real-world problems, such as questionnaire-based psychometric studies, measured variables are generated by latent variables that are causally related. Accordingly, this paper investigates the problem of discovering the hidden causal variables and estimating the causal structure, including both the causal relations among latent variables and those between latent and measured variables. We relax the frequently-used measurement assumption and allow the children of latent variables to be latent as well, and hence deal with a specific type of latent hierarchical causal structure. In particular, we define a minimal latent hierarchical structure and show that for linear non-Gaussian models with the minimal latent hierarchical structure, the whole structure is identifiable from only the measured variables. Moreover, we develop a principled method to identify the structure by testing for Generalized Independent Noise (GIN) conditions in specific ways. Experimental results on both synthetic and real-world data show the effectiveness of the proposed approach. 

This paper investigates the problem of selecting instrumental variables relative to a target causal influence X→Y from observational data generated by linear non-Gaussian acyclic causal models in the presence of unmeasured confounders. We propose a necessary condition for detecting variables that cannot serve as instrumental variables. Unlike many existing conditions for continuous variables, i.e., that at least two or more valid instrumental variables are present in the system, our condition is designed with a single instrumental variable. We then characterize the graphical implications of our condition in linear non-Gaussian acyclic causal models. Given that the existing graphical criteria for the instrument validity are not directly testable given observational data, we further show whether and how such graphical criteria can be checked by exploiting our condition. Finally, we develop a method to select the set of candidate instrumental variables given observational data. Experimental results on both synthetic and real-world data show the effectiveness of the proposed method. 

Discovering patterns from a set of text or, more generally, categorical data is an important problem in many disciplines such as biomedical research, linguistics, artificial intelligence and sociology. We consider here the well-known ‘market basket’ problem that is often discussed in the data mining community, and is also quite ubiquitous in biomedical research. The data under consideration are a set of ‘baskets’, where each basket contains a list of ‘items’. Our goal is to discover ‘themes’, which are defined as subsets of items that tend to co-occur in a basket. We describe a generative model, i.e. the theme dictionary model, for such data structures and describe two likelihood-based methods to infer themes that are hidden in a collection of baskets. We also propose a novel sequential Monte Carlo method to overcome computational challenges. Using both simulation studies and real applications, we demonstrate that the new approach proposed is significantly more powerful than existing methods, such as association rule mining and topic modelling, in detecting weak and subtle interactions in the data.