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Many complex disordered systems in statistical mechanics are characterized by intricate energy landscapes. The ground state, the configuration with lowest energy, lies at the base of the deepest valley. In important examples, such as Gaussian polymers and spin glass models, the landscape has many valleys and the abundance of near-ground states (at the base of valleys) indicates the phenomenon ofchaos, under which the ground state alters profoundly when the disorder of the model is slightly perturbed. In this article, we compute the critical exponent that governs the onset of chaos in a dynamic manifestation of a canonical model in the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang [KPZ] universality class, Brownian last passage percolation [LPP]. In this model in its static form, semidiscrete polymers advance through Brownian noise, their energy given by the integral of the white noise encountered along their journey. A ground state is ageodesic, of extremal energy given its endpoints. We perturb Brownian LPP by evolving the disorder under an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck flow. We prove that, for polymers of length $n$, a sharp phase transition marking the onset of chaos is witnessed at the critical time $n^{-<\#comment/>1/3}$. Indeed, the overlap between the geodesics at times zero and $t>0$that travel a given distance of order $n$will be shown to be of order $n$when $t\ll <\#comment/>n^{-<\#comment/>1/3}$; and to be of smaller order when $t\gg <\#comment/>n^{-<\#comment/>1/3}$. We expect this exponent to be universal across a wide range of interface models. The present work thus sheds light on the dynamical aspect of the KPZ class; it builds on several recent advances. These include Chatterjee’s harmonic analytic theory [Superconcentration and related topics, Springer, Cham, 2014] of equivalence ofsuperconcentrationandchaosin Gaussian spaces; a refined understanding of the static landscape geometry of Brownian LPP developed in the companion paper (see S. Ganguly and A. Hammond [Electron. J. Probab. 28 (2023), 80 pp.]); and, underlying the latter, strong comparison estimates of the geodesic energy profile to Brownian motion (see J. Calvert, A. Hammond, and M. Hegde [Astérisque 441 (2023), pp. v+119]). 

Trona, nahcolite, and other Na-carbonate evaporite minerals in lakes are often closely associated with active volcanism, suggesting that the excess alkalinity required for their formation may arise from fluid-rock interactions involving hydrothermal waters that contain magmatic CO2. Paradoxically, the world’s largest Na-carbonate occurrence, contained within the Eocene Green River Formation in Wyoming, was not associated with nearby active magmatism. Magmatism was active ~200 km southeast in the Colorado Mineral Belt however, suggesting that a river draining this area could have supplied excess alkalinity to Eocene lakes. Sedimentologic studies in southwestern Wyoming, along the course of the hypothesized Aspen paleoriver, document fluvial and deltaic sandstone with generally northwest-directed paleocurrent indicators. Sandstone framework grain compositions and detrital zircon ages are consistent with derivation from the Colorado Mineral Belt and its host rocks. These results provide the first confirmation of a fluvial connection to downstream Eocene lakes, and indicate that lake deposits may offer a unique perspective on upstream magmatic and hydrothermal histories.