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ABSTRACT Climate means and variability are shifting rapidly, leading to mismatches between climate and locally adapted plant traits. Phenotypic plasticity, the ability of a plant to respond to environmental conditions within a lifetime, may provide a buffer for plants to persist under increasing temperature and water stress. We used two reciprocal common gardens across a steep temperature gradient to investigate plasticity in six populations of Fremont cottonwood, an important foundation tree species in arid riparian ecosystems. We investigated two components of leaf hydraulic architecture: Leaf venation and stomatal morphology, both of which regulate leaf water potential and photosynthesis. These traits will likely affect plant performance under climate stressors, but it is unclear whether they are controlled by genetic or environmental factors and whether they respond to the environment in parallel or independent directions. We found that: (1) Populations had divergent responses to a hotter growing environment, increasing or decreasing vein density. (2) Populations showed surprisingly independent responses of venation vs. stomatal traits. (3) As a result of these different responses, plasticity in hydraulic architecture traits was not predictable from historic climate conditions at population source locations and often varied substantially within populations. (4) Hydraulic architecture was clearly linked to growth, with higher vein and stomatal density predicting greater tree growth in the hottest growing environment. However, higher plasticity in these traits did not increase average growth across multiple environments. Thus,P. fremontiipopulations and genotypes vary in their capacity to adjust their leaf hydraulic architecture and support growth in contrasting environments, but this plasticity is not clearly predictable or beneficial. Identifying genotypes suitable for future conditions will depend on the relative importance of multiple traits and on both evolutionary and ecological responses to changing temperature and water availability. 

Abstract Understanding how vegetation responds to drought is fundamental for understanding the broader implications of climate change on foundation tree species that support high biodiversity. Leveraging remote sensing technology provides a unique vantage point to explore these responses across and within species.We investigated interspecific drought responses of twoPopulusspecies (P.fremontii,P.angustifolia) and their naturally occurring hybrids using leaf‐level visible through shortwave infrared (VSWIR; 400–2500 nm) reflectance. AsF₁hybrids backcross with either species, resulting in a range of backcross genotypes, we heretofore refer to the two species and their hybrids collectively as ‘cross types’. We additionally explored intraspecific variation inP. fremontiidrought response at the leaf and canopy levels using reflectance data and thermal unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) imagery. We employed several analyses to assess genotype‐by‐environment (G × E) interactions concerning drought, including principal component analysis, support vector machine and spectral similarity index.Five key findings emerged: (1) Spectra of all three cross types shifted significantly in response to drought. The magnitude of these reaction norms can be ranked from hybrids>P. fremontii>P. angustifolia, suggesting differential variation in response to drought; (2) Spectral space among cross types constricted under drought, indicating spectral—and phenotypic—convergence; (3) Experimentally, populations ofP. fremontiifrom cool regions had different responses to drought than populations from warm regions, with source population mean annual temperature driving the magnitude and direction of change in VSWIR reflectance. (4) UAV thermal imagery revealed that watered, warm‐adapted populations maintained lower leaf temperatures and retained more leaves than cool‐adapted populations, but differences in leaf retention decreased when droughted. (5) These findings are consistent with patterns of local adaptation to drought and temperature stress, demonstrating the ability of leaf spectra to detect ecological and evolutionary responses to drought as a function of adaptation to different environments.Synthesis.Leaf‐level spectroscopy and canopy‐level UAV thermal data captured inter‐ and intraspecific responses to water stress in cottonwoods, which are widely distributed in arid environments. This study demonstrates the potential of remote sensing to monitor and predict the impacts of drought on scales varying from leaves to landscapes. 

Summary Populus fremontiiis among the most dominant, and ecologically important riparian tree species in the western United States and can thrive in hyper‐arid riparian corridors. Yet,P. fremontiiforests have rapidly declined over the last decade, particularly in places where temperatures sometimes exceed 50°C.We evaluated high temperature tolerance of leaf metabolism, leaf thermoregulation, and leaf hydraulic function in eightP. fremontiipopulations spanning a 5.3°C mean annual temperature gradient in a well‐watered common garden, and at source locations throughout the lower Colorado River Basin.Two major results emerged. First, despite having an exceptionally highT_crit(the temperature at which Photosystem II is disrupted) relative to other tree taxa, recent heat waves exceededT_crit, requiring evaporative leaf cooling to maintain leaf‐to‐air thermal safety margins. Second, in midsummer, genotypes from the warmest locations maintained lower midday leaf temperatures, a higher midday stomatal conductance, and maintained turgor pressure at lower water potentials than genotypes from more temperate locations.Taken together, results suggest that under well‐watered conditions,P. fremontiican regulate leaf temperature belowT_critalong the warm edge of its distribution. Nevertheless, reduced Colorado River flows threaten to lower water tables below levels needed for evaporative cooling during episodic heat waves.