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Transforming building materials from net life-cycle CO2e emitters to carbon sinks is a key pathway towards decarbonizing the industrial sector. Current life-cycle assessments of materials (particularly “low-carbon” materials) often focus on cradle-to-gate emissions, which can exclude emissions and uptake (i.e., fluxes) later in the materials’ life-cycle. Further, conventional CO2e emission characterization disregards the dynamic effects of the timing of emissions and uptake on cumulative radiative forcing from processes like manufacturing, biomass growth, and the decadal carbon storage in long-lived building materials. This work presents a framework to analyze the cradle-to-grave CO2e balance of building materials using a time-dependent global warming potential calculation. We apply this framework in the dynamic accounting of carbon uptake in the built environment (D-CUBE) tool and examine two case studies: concrete and cross-laminated timber (CLT). When accounting for dynamic effects, the long storage time of biogenic carbon in CLT results in reduced warming, while the slow rate of uptake via concrete carbonation does not result in significant reductions in global warming. The D-CUBE tool allows for consistent comparisons across materials and emissions mitigation strategies at varying life-cycle stages and can be adapted to other materials or systems with different lifespans and applications. The flexibility of D-CUBE and the ability to identify CO2e emission hot-spot life-cycle stages will be instrumental in identifying pathways to achieving net-carbon-sequestering building materials.more » « less
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Abstract Rapid decarbonization of the cement industry is critical to meeting climate goals. Oversimplification of direct air capture benefits from hydrated cement carbonation has skewed the ability to derive decarbonization solutions. Here, we present both global cement carbonation magnitude and its dynamic effect on cumulative radiative forcing. From 1930–2015, models suggest approximately 13.8 billion metric tons (Gt) of CO2was re-absorbed globally. However, we show that the slow rate of carbonation leads to a climate effect that is approximately 60% smaller than these apparent benefits. Further, we show that on a per kilogram (kg) basis, demolition emissions from crushing concrete at end-of-life could roughly equal the magnitude of carbon-uptake during the demolition phase. We investigate the sensitivity of common decarbonization strategies, such as utilizing supplementary cementitious materials, on the carbonation process and highlight the importance of the timing of emissions release and uptake on influencing cumulative radiative forcing. Given the urgency of determining effective pathways for decarbonizing cement, this work provides a reference for overcoming some flawed interpretations of the benefits of carbonation.more » « less
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