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Future climate change may bring local benefits or penalties to surface air pollution, resulting from changing temperature, precipitation, and transport patterns, as well as changes in climate-sensitive natural precursor emissions. Here, we estimate the climate penalties and benefits at the end of this century with regard to surface ozone and fine particulate matter (PM ; excluding dust and smoke) using a one-way offline coupling between a general circulation model and a global 3-D chemical-transport model. We archive meteorology for the present day (2005 to 2014) and end of this century (2090 to 2099) for seven future scenarios developed for Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. The model isolates the impact of forecasted anthropogenic precursor emission changes versus that of climate-only driven changes on surface ozone and PM for scenarios ranging from extreme mitigation to extreme warming. We then relate these changes to impacts on human mortality and crop production. We find ozone penalties over nearly all land areas with increasing warming. We find net benefits due to climate-driven changes in PM in the Northern Extratropics, but net penalties in the Tropics and Southern Hemisphere, where most population growth is forecast for the coming century.more » « less
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Abstract Hyporheic exchange leads to the transfer of gases, solutes, and fine particles across the sediment‐water interface, playing a critical role in biogeochemical cycles and pollutant transport in aquatic environments. While in‐channel vegetation has been recognized to enhance hyporheic exchange, the mechanisms remain poorly understood. Here, we investigated how an emergent vegetation canopy impacts hyporheic exchange using refractive index‐matched flume experiments and coupled numerical simulations. Our results show that at the same mean surface flow velocity, vegetation increases the hyporheic exchange velocity by four times compared to the non‐vegetated channel. However, the hyporheic exchange velocity does not increase further with increasing vegetation density. In addition, our results show that the hyporheic exchange velocity scales with the square root of sediment permeability. Our findings provide a predictive framework for hyporheic exchange in vegetated channels with varying vegetation densities and sediment permeabilities and could guide the future design of environmental management and restoration projects using vegetation.more » « less
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ABSTRACT Interferometric experiments designed to detect the highly redshifted 21-cm signal from neutral hydrogen are producing increasingly stringent constraints on the 21-cm power spectrum, but some k-modes remain systematics-dominated. Mutual coupling is a major systematic that must be overcome in order to detect the 21-cm signal, and simulations that reproduce effects seen in the data can guide strategies for mitigating mutual coupling. In this paper, we analyse 12 nights of data from the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array and compare the data against simulations that include a computationally efficient and physically motivated semi-analytic treatment of mutual coupling. We find that simulated coupling features qualitatively agree with coupling features in the data; however, coupling features in the data are brighter than the simulated features, indicating the presence of additional coupling mechanisms not captured by our model. We explore the use of fringe-rate filters as mutual coupling mitigation tools and use our simulations to investigate the effects of mutual coupling on a simulated cosmological 21-cm power spectrum in a ‘worst case’ scenario where the foregrounds are particularly bright. We find that mutual coupling contaminates a large portion of the ‘EoR Window’, and the contamination is several orders-of-magnitude larger than our simulated cosmic signal across a wide range of cosmological Fourier modes. While our fiducial fringe-rate filtering strategy reduces mutual coupling by roughly a factor of 100 in power, a non-negligible amount of coupling cannot be excised with fringe-rate filters, so more sophisticated mitigation strategies are required.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available July 7, 2026
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Abstract The biggest volcanic eruption since 1991 happened on 15 January 2022 on the island of Hunga Tonga‐Hunga Haʻapai (20.6°S; 175.4°W) in the South Pacific between 4:00 and 4:16 UT. The updrafts from the eruption reached 58 km height. In order to observe its ionospheric effects, approximately 750 GNSS receivers in New Zealand and Australia were used to calculate the detrended total electron content (dTEC). Traveling ionospheric disturbances (TIDs) were observed over New Zealand 1.0–1.5 hr after the volcano eruption, with a horizontal wavelength () of 1,525 km, horizontal phase velocity () of 635 m/s, period (τ) of 40 min, and azimuth (α) of 214°. On the other hand, TIDs were observed 2–3 hr after the eruption in Australia with , ,τ, andαof 922 km, 375 m/s, 41 min, and 266°, respectively. Using reverse ray tracing, we found that these GWs originated atz > 100 km at a location ∼500 km south of Tonga, in agreement with model results for the location of a large amplitude body force created from the breaking of primary GWs from the eruption. Thus, we found that these fast GWs were secondary, not primary GWs from the Tonga eruption.more » « less
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Abstract We analyze daytime quiet‐time MSTIDs between 2013 and 2015 at the geomagnetic equatorial and low latitude regions of the Chilean and Argentinian Andes using keograms of detrended total electron content (dTEC). The MSTIDs had a higher occurrence rate at geomagnetic equatorial latitudes in the June solstice (winter) and spring (SON). The propagation directions changed with the season: summer (DJF) [southeast, south, southwest, and west], winter (JJA) [north and northeast], and equinoxes [north, northeast, south, southwest, and west]. In addition, the MSTIDs at low latitudes observed between 8:00 and 12:00 UT occur more often during the December solstice and propagate northwestward and northeastward. After 12:00 UT, they are mostly observed in the equinoxes and June solstice. Their predominant propagation directions depend on the season: summer (all directions with a preference for northeastward), autumn (MAM) [north and northeast], winter (north and northeast), and spring (north, northeast, and southwest). The MSTID propagation direction at different latitudes was explained by the location of the possible sources. Besides, we calculated MSTIDs parameters at geomagnetic low latitudes over the Andes Mountains and compared them with those estimated at the geomagnetic equatorial latitudes. We found that the former is smaller on average than the latter. Also, our observations validate recent model results obtained during geomagnetically quiet‐time as well as daytime MSTIDs during winter over the south of South America. These results suggest that secondary or high‐order gravity waves (GWs) from orographic forcing are the most likely source of these MSTIDs.more » « less
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Context.Blazars exhibit strong variability across the entire electromagnetic spectrum, including periods of high-flux states commonly known as flares. The physical mechanisms in blazar jets responsible for flares remain poorly understood to date. Aims.Our aim is to better understand the emission mechanisms during blazar flares using X-ray polarimetry and broadband observations from the archetypical TeV blazar Mrk 421, which can be studied with higher accuracy than other blazars that are dimmer and/or located farther away. Methods.We studied a flaring activity from December 2023 that was characterized from radio to very high-energy (VHE;E > 0.1 TeV) gamma rays with MAGIC,Fermi-LAT,Swift,XMM-Newton, and several optical and radio telescopes. These observations included, for the first time for a gamma-ray flare of a blazar, simultaneous X-ray polarization measurements with IXPE, in addition to optical and radio polarimetry data. We quantify the variability and correlations among the multi-band flux and polarization measurements, and describe the varying broadband emission within a theoretical scenario constrained by the polarization data. Results.We find substantial variability in both X-rays and VHE gamma rays throughout the campaign, with the highest VHE flux above 0.2 TeV occurring during the IXPE observing window, and exceeding twice the flux of the Crab Nebula. However, the VHE and X-ray spectra are on average softer, and the correlation between these two bands is weaker than those reported in the previous flares of Mrk 421. IXPE reveals an X-ray polarization degree significantly higher than that at radio and optical frequencies, similar to previous results for Mrk 421 and other high synchrotron peaked blazars. Differently to past observations, the X-ray polarization angle varies by ∼100° on timescales of days, and the polarization degree changes by more than a factor of 4. The highest X-ray polarization degree, analyzed in 12 h time intervals, reaches 26 ± 2%, around which an X-ray counter-clockwise hysteresis loop is measured withXMM-Newton. It suggests that the X-ray emission comes from particles close to the high-energy cutoff, hence possibly probing an extreme case of the Turbulent Extreme Multi-Zone model for which the chromatic trend in the polarization may be more pronounced than theoretically predicted. We model the broadband emission with a simplified stratified jet model throughout the flare. The polarization measurements imply an electron distribution in the X-ray emitting region with a very high minimum Lorentz factor ($$ \gamma\prime_{\mathrm{min}}\gtrsim10^4 $$), which is expected in electron-ion plasma, as well as a variation of the emitting region size of up to a factor of 3 during the flaring activity. We find no correlation between the fluxes and the evolution of the model parameters, which indicates a stochastic nature of the underlying physical mechanism that likely explains the lack of a tight X-ray/VHE correlation during this flaring activity. Such behavior would be expected in a highly turbulent electron-ion plasma crossing a shock front.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available March 1, 2026
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Abstract We present the Young Supernova Experiment Data Release 1 (YSE DR1), comprised of processed multicolor PanSTARRS1grizand Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF)grphotometry of 1975 transients with host–galaxy associations, redshifts, spectroscopic and/or photometric classifications, and additional data products from 2019 November 24 to 2021 December 20. YSE DR1 spans discoveries and observations from young and fast-rising supernovae (SNe) to transients that persist for over a year, with a redshift distribution reachingz≈ 0.5. We present relative SN rates from YSE’s magnitude- and volume-limited surveys, which are consistent with previously published values within estimated uncertainties for untargeted surveys. We combine YSE and ZTF data, and create multisurvey SN simulations to train the ParSNIP and SuperRAENN photometric classification algorithms; when validating our ParSNIP classifier on 472 spectroscopically classified YSE DR1 SNe, we achieve 82% accuracy across three SN classes (SNe Ia, II, Ib/Ic) and 90% accuracy across two SN classes (SNe Ia, core-collapse SNe). Our classifier performs particularly well on SNe Ia, with high (>90%) individual completeness and purity, which will help build an anchor photometric SNe Ia sample for cosmology. We then use our photometric classifier to characterize our photometric sample of 1483 SNe, labeling 1048 (∼71%) SNe Ia, 339 (∼23%) SNe II, and 96 (∼6%) SNe Ib/Ic. YSE DR1 provides a training ground for building discovery, anomaly detection, and classification algorithms, performing cosmological analyses, understanding the nature of red and rare transients, exploring tidal disruption events and nuclear variability, and preparing for the forthcoming Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time.more » « less
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