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Less than 5% of polystyrene is recycled, motivating a search for energy efficient and economical methods for polystyrene recycling that can be deployed at scale. One option is chemical recycling, consisting of thermal depolymerization and purification to produce monomer-grade styrene (>99%) and other co-products. Thermal depolymerization and distillation are readily scalable, well-established technologies; however, to be considered practical, they must be thermodynamically efficient, economically feasible, and environmentally responsible. Accordingly, mass and energy balances of a pyrolysis reactor for thermal depolymerization and two distillation columns to separate styrene from α-methyl styrene, styrene dimer, toluene, and ethyl benzene co-products, were simulated using ASPEN to evaluate thermodynamic and economic feasibility. These simulations indicate that monomer-grade styrene can be recovered with energy inputs <10MJ/kg, comparable to the energy content of pyrolysis co-products. Thermodynamic sensitivity analysis indicates the scope to reduce these values and enhance the robustness of the predictions. A probabilistic economic analysis of multiple scenarios combined with detailed sensitivity analysis indicates that the cost for recycled styrene is approximately twice the historical market value of fossil-derived styrene when styrene costs are fixed at 15% of the total product cost or less than the historical value when feedstock costs are assumed to be zero. A Monte Carlo and Net Present Value-based economic performance analysis indicates that chemical recycling is economically viable for scenarios assuming realistic feedstock costs. Furthermore, the CO2 abatement cost is roughly $1.5 per ton of averted CO2, relative to a pyrolysis process system to produce fuels. As much as 60% of all polystyrene used today could be replaced by chemically recycled styrene, thus quantifying the potential benefits of this readily scalable approach. 

The open ocean twilight zone holds most of the global fish biomass but is poorly understood owing to difficulties of measuring subsurface ecosystem processes at scale. We demonstrate that a wide-ranging carnivore—the northern elephant seal—can serve as an ecosystem sentinel for the twilight zone. We link ocean basin–scale foraging success with oceanographic indices to estimate twilight zone fish abundance five decades into the past, and into the future. We discovered that a small variation in maternal foraging success amplified into larger changes in offspring body mass and enormous variation in first-year survival and recruitment. Worsening oceanographic conditions could shift predator population trajectories from current growth to sharp declines. As ocean integrators, wide-ranging predators could reveal impacts of future anthropogenic change on open ocean ecosystems.