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This content will become publicly available on February 14, 2026

Title: Elephant seals as ecosystem sentinels for the northeast Pacific Ocean twilight zone
The open ocean twilight zone holds most of the global fish biomass but is poorly understood owing to difficulties of measuring subsurface ecosystem processes at scale. We demonstrate that a wide-ranging carnivore—the northern elephant seal—can serve as an ecosystem sentinel for the twilight zone. We link ocean basin–scale foraging success with oceanographic indices to estimate twilight zone fish abundance five decades into the past, and into the future. We discovered that a small variation in maternal foraging success amplified into larger changes in offspring body mass and enormous variation in first-year survival and recruitment. Worsening oceanographic conditions could shift predator population trajectories from current growth to sharp declines. As ocean integrators, wide-ranging predators could reveal impacts of future anthropogenic change on open ocean ecosystems.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1911853 2052497
PAR ID:
10610246
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; more » ; ; ; ; « less
Publisher / Repository:
Science
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Science
Volume:
387
Issue:
6735
ISSN:
0036-8075
Page Range / eLocation ID:
764 to 769
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
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