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The notion of climate sensitivity has become synonymous with equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), or the equilibrium response of the Earth system to a doubling of CO2. But there is a hierarchy of measures of climate sensitivity, which can be arranged in order of increasing complexity and societal relevance and which mirror the historical development of climate modeling. Elements of this hierarchy include the well-known ECS and transient climate response and the lesser-known transient climate response to cumulative emissions and zero emissions commitment. This article describes this hierarchy of climate sensitivities and associated modeling approaches. Key concepts reviewed along the way include climate forcing and feedback, ocean heat uptake, and the airborne fraction of cumulative emissions. We employ simplified theoretical models throughout to encapsulate well-understood aspects of these quantities and to highlight gaps in our understanding and areas for future progress.▪There is a hierarchy of measures of climate sensitivity, which exhibit a range of complexity and societal relevance.▪Equilibrium climate sensitivity is only one of these measures, and our understanding of it may have reached a plateau.▪The more complex measures introduce new quantities, such as ocean heat uptake coefficient and airborne fraction, which deserve increased attention.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available May 30, 2026
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Farmer, Jesse R; Martínez‐García, Alfredo; Sentman, Lori T; Schiebel, Ralf; Arns, Anthea; Yehudai, Maayan; Tiedemann, Ralf; Sigman, Daniel M; Haug, Gerald H (, Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology)The formation of the Isthmus of Panama closed the Central American Seaway, severing the only Late Cenozoic low‐latitude connection between the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. Here we clarify the Early Pliocene (5.3–3.6 million years ago [Ma]) sequence of events associated with the shoaling of the Central American Seaway based on differences in upper ocean biogeochemical properties between the eastern tropical North Pacific (ETNP) and the Caribbean Sea. Foraminifera‐bound nitrogen isotopes (FB‐δ15N) are elevated in the ETNP relative to the Caribbean Sea throughout the Early Pliocene. Whereas ETNP FB‐δ15N shows no long‐term trend across the Early Pliocene, FB‐δ15N in the Caribbean Sea declines by ∼0.5‰ between 4.6 and 4.5 Ma, and by an additional ∼1‰ between 4.35 and 4.25 Ma. We interpret the divergence between ETNP and Caribbean Sea FB‐δ15N to indicate progressive isolation of their subsurface nutrient pools due to CAS shoaling. The oxygen isotopic composition of seawater (δ18Osw) derived from planktonic foraminiferδ18O and Mg/Ca shows a small but variable gradient between the ETNP and Caribbean Sea over the Early Pliocene, with a trend toward a largerδ18Oswgradient after 4.25 Ma. We suggest that the development of persistent chemical differences in both thermocline nutrients and surface waters between the ETNP and Caribbean Sea after 4.1 Ma reflects the cessation of basin‐scale oceanic exchanges across the Central American Seaway.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available April 1, 2026
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