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  1. Abstract

    Ionospheric total electron content (TEC) derived from multi-frequency Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) signals and the relevant products have become one of the most utilized parameters in the space weather and ionospheric research community. However, there are a couple of challenges in using the global TEC map data including large data gaps over oceans and the potential of losing meso-scale ionospheric structures when applying traditional reconstruction and smoothing algorithms. In this paper, we describe and release a global TEC map database, constructed and completed based on the Madrigal TEC database with a novel video imputation algorithm called VISTA (Video Imputation with SoftImpute, Temporal smoothing and Auxiliary data). The complete TEC maps reveal important large-scale TEC structures and preserve the observed meso-scale structures. Basic ideas and the pipeline of the video imputation algorithm are introduced briefly, followed by discussions on the computational costs and fine tuning of the adopted algorithm. Discussions on potential usages of the complete TEC database are given, together with a concrete example of applying this database.

     
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  2. Abstract

    We develop a mixed long short‐term memory (LSTM) regression model to predict the maximum solar flare intensity within a 24‐hr time window 0–24, 6–30, 12–36, and 24–48 hr ahead of time using 6, 12, 24, and 48 hr of data (predictors) for each Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) Active Region Patch (HARP). The model makes use of (1) the Space‐Weather HMI Active Region Patch (SHARP) parameters as predictors and (2) the exact flare intensities instead of class labels recorded in the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) data set, which serves as the source of the response variables. Compared to solar flare classification, the model offers us more detailed information about the exact maximum flux level, that is, intensity, for each occurrence of a flare. We also consider classification models built on top of the regression model and obtain better results in solar flare classifications as compared to Chen et al. (2019,https://doi.org/10.1029/2019SW002214). Our results suggest that the most efficient time period for predicting the solar activity is within 24 hr before the prediction time using the SHARP parameters and the LSTM model.

     
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