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We consider the problem of learning fair policies for multi-stage selection problems from observational data. This problem arises in several high-stakes domains such as company hiring, loan approval, or bail decisions where outcomes (e.g., career success, loan repayment, recidivism) are only observed for those selected. We propose a multi-stage framework that can be augmented with various fairness constraints, such as demographic parity or equal opportunity. This problem is a highly intractable infinite chance-constrained program involving the unknown joint distribution of covariates and outcomes. Motivated by the potential impact of selection decisions on people’s lives and livelihoods, we propose to focus on interpretable linear selection rules. Leveraging tools from causal inference and sample average approximation, we obtain an asymptotically consistent solution to this selection problem by solving a mixed binary conic optimization problem, which can be solved using standard off-the-shelf solvers. We conduct extensive computational experiments on a variety of datasets adapted from the UCI repository on which we show that our proposed approaches can achieve an 11.6% improvement in precision and a 38% reduction in the measure of unfairness compared to the existing selection policy.

 

We study critical systems that allocate scarce resources to satisfy basic needs, such as homeless services that provide housing. These systems often support communities disproportionately affected by systemic racial, gender, or other injustices, so it is crucial to design these systems with fairness considerations in mind. To address this problem, we propose a framework for evaluating fairness in contextual resource allocation systems that is inspired by fairness metrics in machine learning. This framework can be applied to evaluate the fairness properties of a historical policy, as well as to impose constraints in the design of new (counterfactual) allocation policies. Our work culminates with a set of incompatibility results that investigate the interplay between the different fairness metrics we propose. Notably, we demonstrate that: 1) fairness in allocation and fairness in outcomes are usually incompatible; 2) policies that prioritize based on a vulnerability score will usually result in unequal outcomes across groups, even if the score is perfectly calibrated; 3) policies using contextual information beyond what is needed to characterize baseline risk and treatment effects can be fairer in their outcomes than those using just baseline risk and treatment effects; and 4) policies using group status in addition to baseline risk and treatment effects are as fair as possible given all available information. Our framework can help guide the discussion among stakeholders in deciding which fairness metrics to impose when allocating scarce resources. 

Over the last two decades, robust optimization has emerged as a popular means to address decision-making problems affected by uncertainty. This includes single-stage and multi-stage problems involving real-valued and/or binary decisions and affected by exogenous (decision-independent) and/or endogenous (decision-dependent) uncertain parameters. Robust optimization techniques rely on duality theory potentially augmented with approximations to transform a (semi-)infinite optimization problem to a finite program, the robust counterpart. Whereas writing down the model for a robust optimization problem is usually a simple task, obtaining the robust counterpart requires expertise. To date, very few solutions are available that can facilitate the modeling and solution of such problems. This has been a major impediment to their being put to practical use. In this paper, we propose ROC++, an open-source C++ based platform for automatic robust optimization, applicable to a wide array of single-stage and multi-stage robust problems with both exogenous and endogenous uncertain parameters, that is easy to both use and extend. It also applies to certain classes of stochastic programs involving continuously distributed uncertain parameters and endogenous uncertainty. Our platform naturally extends existing off-the-shelf deterministic optimization platforms and offers ROPy, a Python interface in the form of a callable library, and the ROB file format for storing and sharing robust problems. We showcase the modeling power of ROC++ on several decision-making problems of practical interest. Our platform can help streamline the modeling and solution of stochastic and robust optimization problems for both researchers and practitioners. It comes with detailed documentation to facilitate its use and expansion. The latest version of ROC++ can be downloaded from https://sites.google.com/usc.edu/robust-opt-cpp/ . Summary of Contribution: The paper “ROC++: Robust Optimization in C++” proposes a new open-source C++ based platform for modeling, automatically reformulating, and solving robust optimization problems. ROC++ can address both single-stage and multi-stage problems involving exogenous and/or endogenous uncertain parameters and real- and/or binary-valued adaptive variables. The ROC++ modeling language is similar to the one provided for the deterministic case by state-of-the-art deterministic optimization solvers. ROC++ comes with detailed documentation to facilitate its use and expansion. It also offers ROPy, a Python interface in the form of a callable library. The latest version of ROC++ can be downloaded from https://sites.google.com/usc.edu/robust-opt-cpp/ . History: Accepted by Ted Ralphs, Area Editor for Software Tools. Funding: This material is based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. 1763108. This support is gratefully acknowledged. Supplemental Material: The software that supports the findings of this study is available within the paper and its Supplementary Information ( https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/suppl/10.1287/ijoc.2022.1209 ) or is available from the IJOC GitHub software repository ( https://github.com/INFORMSJoC ) at ( https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6360996 ). 

We study the problem of learning, from observational data, fair and interpretable policies that effectively match heterogeneous individuals to scarce resources of different types. We model this problem as a multi-class multi-server queuing system where both individuals and resources arrive stochastically over time. Each individual, upon arrival, is assigned to a queue where they wait to be matched to a resource. The resources are assigned in a first come first served (FCFS) fashion according to an eligibility structure that encodes the resource types that serve each queue. We propose a methodology based on techniques in modern causal inference to construct the individual queues as well as learn the matching outcomes and provide a mixed-integer optimization (MIO) formulation to optimize the eligibility structure. The MIO problem maximizes policy outcome subject to wait time and fairness constraints. It is very flexible, allowing for additional linear domain constraints. We conduct extensive analyses using synthetic and real-world data. In particular, we evaluate our framework using data from the U.S. Homeless Management Information System (HMIS). We obtain wait times as low as an FCFS policy while improving the rate of exit from homelessness for underserved or vulnerable groups (7% higher for the Black individuals and 15% higher for those below 17 years old) and overall. 

In the small town of Sitka, Alaska, frequent and often catastrophic landslides threaten residents. One challenge associated with disaster preparedness is access to timely and reliable risk information. As with many small but diverse towns, who or what is a trustworthy source of information is often contested. To help improve landslide communication in Sitka, we used a community-partnered approach to social network analysis to identify (1) potential key actors for landslide risk communication and (2) structural holes that may inhibit efficient and equitable communication. This short take describes how we built trust and developed adaptive data collection methods to build an approach that was acceptable and actionable for Sitka, Alaska. This approach could be useful to other researchers for conducting social network analysis to improve risk communication, particularly in rural and remote contexts.

 

An important way cyber adversaries ind vulnerabilities in mod- ern networks is through reconnaissance, in which they attempt to identify coniguration speciics of network hosts. To increase un- certainty of adversarial reconnaissance, the network administrator (henceforth, defender) can introduce deception into responses to network scans, such as obscuring certain system characteristics. We introduce a novel game theoretic model of deceptive interac- tions of this kind between a defender and a cyber attacker, which we call the Cyber Deception Game. We consider both a powerful (rational) attacker, who is aware of the defender’s exact deception strategy, and a naive attacker who is not. We show that computing the optimal deception strategy is NP-hard for both types of attackers. For the case with a powerful attacker, we provide a mixed-integer linear program solution as well as a fast and efective greedy algo- rithm. Similarly, we provide complexity results and propose exact and heuristic approaches when the attacker is naive. Our exten- sive experimental analysis demonstrates the efectiveness of our approaches.